VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga · Sat, 09 May 2026 14:30 BST · MHPArena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Bayer Leverkusen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Goal both halves — Yes.

Free pick

Goal both halves — Yes

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: 9 of 14 calls the model rated 70% or more on Goal both halves — Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said VfB Stuttgart: 3.43 to 0.63 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 20 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

VfB Stuttgart beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 May. VfB Stuttgart have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

VfB Stuttgart led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Bayer Leverkusen: Aleix García (1’, assisted by Christian Kofane); VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirović (5’, assisted by Nikolas Nartey), Maximilian Mittelstädt (45’ pen) and Deniz Undav (58’, assisted by Jamie Leweling).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maximilian Mittelstädt’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

Robert Schröder, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: Chris Führich (80’) and Tiago Tomás (90+7’); Bayer Leverkusen: Exequiel Palacios (90+7’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart stay fourth after this result (33 league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 49 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen move down from fourth to sixth (33 league matches played). Bayer Leverkusen have scored 68 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 47 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

VfB Stuttgart are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ermedin Demirović (VfB Stuttgart) 7.3, Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 6.8 and Nikolas Nartey (VfB Stuttgart) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Goal both halves — Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 9 of 14 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Bayer Leverkusen next travel to 1. FC Köln on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayer Leverkusen: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 1 · draws 3 · Bayer Leverkusen 2 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 2D 1L · Bayer Leverkusen 3W 0D 2L

VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

7.29 / 7.13

Corners

against 3.86 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.29 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 5.71 / 6.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.86 / 2 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.73 yellows

Referee · Robert Schröder, Germany

22.27 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	VfB Stuttgart for / against	Line	Bayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.29 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.29 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16.25 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.29 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	7.75 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 22.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Nübel	44	903966 min	1282.9 /90	591.3 /90	10 /90
F. Bredlow	4	90360 min	82 /90	41 /90	00 /90

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 8	90	3.5 7/5
F. Bredlow n 8	90	3 7/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Mittelstädt	42	763211 min	1002.8 /90	541.5 /90	140.4 /90	2136 /90	190.5 /90	60.2 /90
J. Chabot	37	853132 min	481.4 /90	471.4 /90	260.7 /90	2657.6 /90	491.4 /90	80.2 /90
R. Hendriks	37	772867 min	471.5 /90	341.1 /90	150.5 /90	1414.4 /90	230.7 /90	30.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch	30	772302 min	301.2 /90	281.1 /90	220.9 /90	1024 /90	281.1 /90	40.2 /90
J. Vagnoman	25	781950 min	281.3 /90	30.1 /90	50.2 /90	753.5 /90	271.2 /90	30.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Stiller n 8	85.3	0.5 3/1	1.5 4/3	Aleix García
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Mittelstädt n 8	62.6	0.7 3/1	1.6 7/2	R. Andrich
J. Leweling n 8	76.5	1 3/2	1.3 5/4	Álex Grimaldo
C. Führich n 8	67.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	Aleix García
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 8	85.3	2 7/6
M. Mittelstädt n 8	62.6	2.2 6/4
J. Leweling n 8	76.5	0.9 3/2
C. Führich n 8	67.9	0.7 3/1
D. Undav n 8	87.6	0.6 4/1
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Undav	40	803192 min	230.6 /90	140.4 /90	1173.3 /90	601.7 /90	752.1 /90	110.3 /90
Tiago Tomás	29	491431 min	50.3 /90	20.1 /90	322 /90	120.8 /90	120.8 /90	231.4 /90
E. Demirović	27	691855 min	100.5 /90	30.1 /90	391.9 /90	190.9 /90	211 /90	90.4 /90
A. Stiller	46	823759 min	20 /90	60.1 /90	160.4 /90	80.2 /90	811.9 /90	190.5 /90
J. Leweling	42	733063 min	110.3 /90	100.3 /90	531.6 /90	300.9 /90	531.6 /90	451.3 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 8	85.3	0.7 3/2	0.4 3/0
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Mittelstädt n 8	62.6	1.1 4/1	0.7 2/1
J. Leweling n 8	76.5	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
C. Führich n 8	67.9	3 7/6	1.8 6/4
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Nübel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Mittelstädt n 8	62.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Leweling n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
C. Führich n 8	67.9	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Flekken	31	892760 min	1093.6 /90	481.6 /90	00 /90
J. Blaswich	18	871560 min	563.2 /90	140.8 /90	00 /90

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 8	86.3	3.5 7/5
J. Blaswich n 8	90	4.5 6/6

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Andrich	42	833491 min	521.3 /90	461.2 /90	250.6 /90	1333.4 /90	421.1 /90	80.2 /90
E. Tapsoba	40	893566 min	461.2 /90	340.9 /90	320.8 /90	1543.9 /90	391 /90	120.3 /90
J. Quansah	40	873474 min	340.9 /90	411.1 /90	170.4 /90	1413.7 /90	200.5 /90	90.2 /90
L. Badé	28	802241 min	502 /90	271.1 /90	261 /90	1265.1 /90	200.8 /90	50.2 /90
J. Belocian	7	57398 min	71.6 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	143.2 /90	61.4 /90	00 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix García n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	1.1 4/2	C. Führich
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.5 3/1	J. Leweling
R. Andrich n 8	88	1 7/1	0.4 2/1	M. Mittelstädt
E. Tapsoba n 8	90	1.3 6/2	0 0/0	—
J. Quansah n 8	87.1	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.5	1.1 7/1
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	2 7/4
R. Andrich n 8	88	1.4 6/2
E. Tapsoba n 8	90	1.4 7/4
J. Quansah n 8	87.1	0.9 5/2
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Maza	39	702712 min	40.1 /90	60.2 /90	471.6 /90	170.6 /90	401.3 /90	672.2 /90
E. Poku	39	612361 min	50.2 /90	50.2 /90	261 /90	120.5 /90	371.4 /90	411.6 /90
P. Schick	38	692625 min	220.8 /90	40.1 /90	762.6 /90	451.5 /90	180.6 /90	160.5 /90
M. Tillman	35	642225 min	70.3 /90	00 /90	291.2 /90	130.5 /90	281.1 /90	150.6 /90
Christian Kofane	31	571775 min	60.3 /90	40.2 /90	472.4 /90	231.2 /90	221.1 /90	100.5 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	1.4 5/3	0.5 1/1
R. Andrich n 8	88	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
E. Tapsoba n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/1
J. Quansah n 8	87.1	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Álex Grimaldo n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.4 2/1
R. Andrich n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Tapsoba n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Quansah n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB Stuttgart		Bayer Leverkusen
49%	Possession	51%
3.04	Expected goals (xG)	0.54
20	Shots	6
9	Shots on target	5
5	Shots off target	1
6	Blocked shots	0
13	Shots inside the box	4
7	Corners	6
3	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	5
384	Passes	401
84%	Pass accuracy	81%

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Nübel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
R. Hendriks	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
J. Chabot	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
José María Andrés Baixauli	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
A. Stiller	90	0	0	1	1	3	4	0	8.2
E. Demirović	90	1	0	6	3	1	1	0	7.9
J. Leweling	87	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	8.3
C. Führich	87	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	6.9
N. Nartey	78	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	7.9
M. Mittelstädt	78	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.7
D. Undav	68	1	0	4	3	0	0	0	7.3
Tiago Tomás sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
L. Jaquez sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
B. El Khannouss sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
L. Assignon sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Vagnoman sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Flekken	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
R. Andrich	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Tapsoba	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
E. Palacios	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
Álex Grimaldo	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.2
I. Maza	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.9
P. Schick	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
J. Quansah	86	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Christian Kofane	78	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	7.2
M. Culbreath	65	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
Aleix García	65	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.7
Arthur sub	25	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
M. Tillman sub	25	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
E. Poku sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Ben Seghir sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VfB StuttgartWLWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Bayer LeverkusenWLLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

VfB Stuttgart 1 · 3 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 2 · 4.17 goals/game

2026-01-10 Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart
2025-03-16 VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
2024-11-01 Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart
2024-08-17 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
2024-04-27 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
2024-02-06 Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 VfB Stuttgart

League standing · 2025/26

VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD

Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos59 pts34 pl+21 GD

Goals per game

VfB Stuttgart scored2.09

Bayer Leverkusen scored2

VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44

Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 3.43 xG from 20 shots, Bayer Leverkusen 0.63 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Bayer Leverkusen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
VfB Stuttgart	20	3	3.43
Bayer Leverkusen	6	1	0.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 1.49 to 0.53. At full time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 3.43 to 0.63, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.90 xG to VfB Stuttgart, in the 62nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

VfB Stuttgart 3.43 xGBayer Leverkusen 0.63 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen was Goal both halves — Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen?: In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 1, Bayer Leverkusen won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen?: Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 2D 1L; Bayer Leverkusen 3W 0D 2L.

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