This Matchweek

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Mönchengladbach · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach — Borussia Mönchengladbach won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.28 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2.69 to 1.99 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 49th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3–2 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Friday 23 October.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirović (5’, assisted by Dženan Pejčinović; 83’, assisted by Jamie Leweling); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Joseph Scally (38’, assisted by Zento Uno), Shuto Machino (51’, assisted by Wael Mohya) and Wael Mohya (66’, assisted by Joseph Scally).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Shuto Machino’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: Leo Sauer (44’) and Atakan Karazor (45’); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Florian Neuhaus (45+3’), Zento Uno (53’), Joseph Scally (54’) and Lukas Ullrich (79’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart move down from 13th to 14th (seven league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach stay 18th after this result (seven league matches played). Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

VfB Stuttgart are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Wael Mohya (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 10.4, Ermedin Demirović (VfB Stuttgart) 9.8 and Joseph Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next travel to Galatasaray on 3 November 2026.

Borussia Mönchengladbach next travel to Hamburger SV on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday 3 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
  • Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 4 · draws 0 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L

VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
7.25 / 5.75
Corners
against 4.63 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 7.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
4our book
2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
17.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bredlow790630 min243.4 /9091.3 /9000 /90
D. Seimen390270 min82.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 890
3.26/4
D. Seimen n 390
2.73/1

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Chabot1087866 min161.7 /90171.8 /9040.4 /90778 /90141.5 /9010.1 /90
J. Vagnoman1078778 min80.9 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90222.5 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch980719 min91.1 /9081 /9040.5 /90425.3 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90
M. Mittelstädt888704 min222.8 /90131.7 /9070.9 /90516.5 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
R. Hendriks778549 min101.6 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90345.6 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Chabot n 887.8
1.25/4
1.26/3
—
A. Stiller n 881.8
15/2
1.16/2
—
J. Vagnoman n 875.9
0.73/1
0.73/2
—
D. Undav n 875.1
2.16/5
0.32/0
—
G. Prömel n 880.9
1.47/3
0.85/1
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Chabot n 887.8
1.35/4
A. Stiller n 881.8
0.83/2
J. Vagnoman n 875.9
0.64/0
D. Undav n 875.1
0.42/1
G. Prömel n 880.9
14/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav1077765 min10.1 /9040.5 /90141.6 /9070.8 /90222.6 /9030.4 /90
E. Demirović855436 min40.8 /9000 /90183.7 /90112.3 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
J. Leweling848381 min10.2 /9000 /9071.7 /9030.7 /9061.4 /90133.1 /90
D. Pejčinović765454 min30.6 /9000 /90112.2 /9051 /9051 /9020.4 /90
Tiago Tomás274148 min10.6 /9010.6 /9053 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Chabot n 887.8
15/3
0.32/0
A. Stiller n 881.8
0.73/1
0.11/0
J. Vagnoman n 875.9
1.66/4
0.75/0
D. Undav n 875.1
1.96/3
15/1
G. Prömel n 880.9
1.57/3
0.64/0
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Chabot n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Stiller n 881.8
00/0
0.63/1
J. Vagnoman n 875.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Undav n 875.1
0.11/0
0.31/1
G. Prömel n 880.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas790630 min344.9 /90202.9 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.67/7

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Diks790630 min60.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90304.3 /9050.7 /9040.6 /90
L. Ullrich680478 min101.9 /90112.1 /9010.2 /90244.5 /90101.9 /9010.2 /90
K. Itakura577387 min30.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90122.8 /9040.9 /9000 /90
D. Hashioka469276 min51.6 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90154.9 /9020.7 /9000 /90
J. Leszczyński376227 min20.8 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Sander n 889.5
1.97/4
0.54/0
—
K. Diks n 890
0.84/2
0.95/2
—
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
—
H. Bolin n 876.8
1.25/2
1.56/3
—
W. Mohya n 856.9
1.25/1
14/1
—
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
2.47/6
K. Diks n 890
0.95/2
H. Bolin n 876.8
1.96/4
W. Mohya n 856.9
25/4
L. Ullrich n 876.6
2.16/6
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Lidberg657344 min10.3 /9000 /90102.6 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
S. Machino529145 min10.6 /9000 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
T. Kleindienst373219 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
N. Kühn12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
P. Sander790630 min00 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9030.4 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
1.35/3
0.42/1
K. Diks n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Bolin n 876.8
2.66/4
2.26/4
W. Mohya n 856.9
1.45/1
0.84/0
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Diks n 890
0.11/0
00/0
P. Sander n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Bolin n 876.8
0.73/2
0.11/0
W. Mohya n 856.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
70%Possession30%
1.60Expected goals (xG)2.66
15Shots16
5Shots on target6
8Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box12
6Corners5
2Offsides2
9Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves3
691Passes288

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Seimen9000000005.6
E. Demirović9020420008.1
C. Führich9000006007.2
R. Hendriks9000100006.2
A. Stiller9000110006.1
M. Mittelstädt9000001006.8
Finn Jeltsch8900000006.2
A. Karazor64000010Y5.5
L. Assignon5500210106.3
L. Sauer55001011Y6.3
D. Pejčinović5501201006.8
B. El Khannouss3500111106.1
D. Undav3500100106.4
J. Leweling3501001006.7
G. Prömel2600201006.5
J. Chabot100000000

Borussia Mönchengladbach Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Zento Uno90011010Y6.2
L. Ullrich90000012Y6
P. Sander9000000305.7
F. Neuhaus90003131Y6.3
D. Hashioka9000000005.6
M. Nicolas9000000005.9
S. Machino8410310007.7
H. Bolin8400203106.4
F. Chiarodia7600110206.8
J. Scally70111112Y7.7
W. Mohya7011422008.5
Y. Konoplya2000000006.1
R. Hack2000101006.5
D. Herold1400000006.1
M. Nguefack600000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.6 scored / 3.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 4 · 0 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-08-30 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-09-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-05-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2024-01-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
VfB Stuttgart#10 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos4 pts8 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored1.75
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.38
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.88
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded2.75

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.99 xG from 15 shots, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.69 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Hugo Bolin 49' · 0.35 xGRamon Hendriks 17' · 0.30 xGErmedin Demirovic 63' · 0.13 xGLorenz Assignon 31' · 0.12 xGFabio Chiarodia 35' · 0.12 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 13' · 0.12 xGWael Mohya 49' · 0.09 xGDeniz Undav 92' · 0.09 xGFlorian Neuhaus 85' · 0.08 xGShuto Machino 4' · 0.08 xGGrischa Prömel 63' · 0.08 xGErmedin Demirovic 56' · 0.08 xGWael Mohya 65' · 0.08 xGAngelo Stiller 81' · 0.08 xGFlorian Neuhaus 35' · 0.07 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 31' · 0.07 xGHugo Bolin 6' · 0.06 xGRobin Hack 87' · 0.06 xGLeo Sauer 2' · 0.06 xGZento Uno 37' · 0.05 xGFlorian Neuhaus 48' · 0.05 xGGrischa Prömel 71' · 0.04 xGWael Mohya 49' · 0.04 xGShuto Machino 46' · 0.02 xGLorenz Assignon 15' · 0.02 xGBilal El Khannouss 89' · 0.01 xGWael Mohya 65' · 0.92 xG · goalErmedin Demirovic 82' · 0.78 xG · goalShuto Machino 50' · 0.49 xG · goalJoe Scally 37' · 0.13 xG · goalErmedin Demirovic 4' · 0.02 xG · goal
VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Borussia Mönchengladbach (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
VfB Stuttgart1521.99
Borussia Mönchengladbach1632.69

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: VfB Stuttgart 0.71, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.51. At full time, Borussia Mönchengladbach led on xG, 2.69 to 1.99. The widest gap was 1.55 xG to Borussia Mönchengladbach, in the 65th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.71.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - VfB Stuttgart 4 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 37 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 50 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 65 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 82 min
VfB Stuttgart 1.99 xGBorussia Mönchengladbach 2.69 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.28 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 4, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L.

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