This Matchweek

BirminghamSouthampton

Birmingham v Southampton result

Full-time · Birmingham 1–1 Southampton

Championship · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Southampton

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 1–1 Southampton — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.76 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham and Southampton drew 1–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September. Southampton have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Southampton: Keven Schlotterbeck (45’, assisted by Leo Scienza); Birmingham: A. Priske (55’, assisted by Patrick Roberts).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Priske’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Birmingham out-shot Southampton 16 to 13 and created the better chances, 1.55 xG to 1.02 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

A. Backhouse showed five yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Birmingham: Bright Osayi-Samuel (45+1’), J. Solis (77’) and Luis Vázquez (90+2’); Southampton: Divin Mubama (72’) and Nathan Wood (90+2’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Keven Schlotterbeck (Southampton) 9.5, Flynn Downes (Southampton) 6.7 and Leo Scienza (Southampton) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Southampton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Birmingham, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Birmingham next host Swansea on 7 November 2026.

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 1–1 Southampton · Championship
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: A. Backhouse
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Birmingham 0 · draws 1 · Southampton 3 · 4.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 2W 2D 1L · Southampton 3W 0D 2L

Birmingham 1–1 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.71
Corners
against 3.88 / 6.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.38 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5 yellows
Referee · A. Backhouse
21.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
10.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
16.43 for · 16.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.29 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
7.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: A. Backhouse — 5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Beadle492366 min102.5 /9030.7 /9000 /90
R. Allsop19090 min22 /9066 /9000 /90
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890.8
2.25/3
R. Allsop n 890
2.46/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Klarer591456 min71.4 /90122.4 /9040.8 /90407.9 /9040.8 /9000 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel582410 min122.6 /9030.7 /9000 /90255.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90
P. Neumann576381 min61.4 /90122.8 /9010.2 /90276.4 /9051.2 /9000 /90
A. Cochrane569344 min92.4 /9030.8 /9000 /90195 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Laird23569 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.9 /9033.9 /9000 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Solis n 873.5
1.46/3
1.13/2
F. Downes
C. Klarer n 890.8
1.16/2
13/2
James Bree
Carlos Vicente n 886.6
1.36/3
1.96/5
Leo Scienza
B. Osayi-Samuel n 874.4
0.85/0
1.77/3
James Bree
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.73/1
1.24/2
James Bree
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Solis n 873.5
1.57/2
C. Klarer n 890.8
15/3
Carlos Vicente n 886.6
0.95/1
B. Osayi-Samuel n 874.4
36/6
P. Neumann n 881.4
1.57/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Priske570349 min10.3 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
D. Gray539195 min20.9 /9000 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9041.8 /90
J. Solis591456 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9000 /9030.6 /9081.6 /90
Carlos Vicente585423 min00 /9010.2 /9040.9 /9000 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
J. Stansfield567333 min00 /9000 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Solis n 873.5
0.64/0
0.21/0
C. Klarer n 890.8
0.22/0
00/0
Carlos Vicente n 886.6
16/2
0.32/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 874.4
0.32/0
00/0
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.42/1
0.42/1
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Solis n 873.5
0.21/0
00/0
C. Klarer n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Carlos Vicente n 886.6
00/0
0.11/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 874.4
00/0
00/0
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.42/1
00/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz591456 min153 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890.8
3.76/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
James Bree591456 min81.6 /9051 /9010.2 /90122.4 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
J. Stephens492366 min10.2 /9041 /9082 /9092.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Ryan Manning492366 min30.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90153.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
Nathan Wood390270 min41.3 /9000 /9051.7 /90155 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Taylor Harwood-Bellis293186 min31.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90115.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
James Bree n 882.3
16/1
0.42/1
P. Neumann
Daniel Peretz n 890.8
00/0
0.21/1
—
K. Matsuki n 867.8
0.85/0
1.56/1
—
Leo Scienza n 880
0.32/0
2.87/5
Carlos Vicente
F. Downes n 869
2.16/3
1.55/3
J. Solis
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Bree n 882.3
1.47/2
K. Matsuki n 867.8
1.36/1
Leo Scienza n 880
0.63/1
F. Downes n 869
2.15/3
Finn Azaz n 857.3
14/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cyle Larin463252 min51.8 /9000 /90134.6 /9093.2 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
D. Mubama343130 min00 /9000 /9042.8 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.4 /90
B. Brereton16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Cameron Archer12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Matsuki575375 min00 /9000 /9041 /9000 /9051.2 /9041 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
James Bree n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
Daniel Peretz n 890.8
00/0
00/0
K. Matsuki n 867.8
0.83/1
00/0
Leo Scienza n 880
1.58/3
0.74/1
F. Downes n 869
0.31/1
00/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890.8
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 882.3
00/0
00/0
K. Matsuki n 867.8
00/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 880
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Downes n 869
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamSouthampton
37%Possession63%
1.55Expected goals (xG)1.02
16Shots13
4Shots on target4
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box12
3Corners5
2Offsides5
12Fouls8
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
287Passes505
69%Pass accuracy81%

Birmingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Cochrane9000002207.3
J. Beadle9000000006.9
T. Iwata9000201006.5
C. Klarer9000000206.7
P. Neumann9000111006.6
B. Osayi-Samuel90000000Y6.2
J. Solis90001022Y6.6
J. Stansfield8700201306.2
Carlos Vicente8600101306.9
A. Priske8610420007.2
P. Roberts7001112007.3
D. Gray sub2000001006.7
E. Laird sub800000006.7
L. Vázquez sub8000000Y6.7
Paik Seung-Ho sub30000010–

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nathan Wood90000001Y6.7
K. Schlotterbeck9010110108
Ryan Manning9000001006.6
F. Downes9000000307.5
James Bree9000101006.5
Finn Azaz9000002006.3
Daniel Peretz9000000006.5
Leo Scienza8101004207.3
Cyle Larin6900310106.2
Tom Fellows6100000006.2
Cameron Bragg6100000106.2
K. Matsuki sub2900000006.6
J. Ward-Prowse sub2900221106.9
D. Mubama sub21002010Y6.2
L. Dobbin sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
SouthamptonWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Birmingham 0 · 1 draw · Southampton 3 · 4.25 goals/game
  • 2025-12-29 Birmingham 1–1 Southampton
  • 2025-12-06 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham
  • 2024-03-02 Birmingham 3–4 Southampton
  • 2023-10-28 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham
League standing · 2026/27
Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD
Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham scored1.86
Southampton scored2.07
Birmingham conceded0.93
Southampton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.76 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Southampton?
In their last 4 meetings, Birmingham won 0, Southampton won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Southampton?
Recent form — Birmingham 2W 2D 1L; Southampton 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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