ChelseaLeeds

Chelsea v Leeds result

Full-time · Chelsea 1–0 Leeds

FA Cup · · Wembley Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Leeds · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 1–0 Leeds — Chelsea won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chelsea beat Leeds 1–0 at Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup on Sunday 26 April.

The goals

Chelsea led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea: Enzo Fernández (23’, assisted by Pedro Neto).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Enzo Fernández’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chelsea 0.40, Leeds 0.68, from 8 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Gillett showed seven yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Chelsea: M. Caicedo (60’), Cole Palmer (77’) and Pedro Neto (90+4’); Leeds: Pascal Struijk (76’), Ethan Ampadu (78’), Lukas Nmecha (84’) and Jayden Bogle (90+4’).

What it changes

Chelsea have scored 21 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded four goals, the 36th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Leeds have scored nine goals, the 254th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Leeds have conceded five goals, the 64th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) 9.3, Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) 5.9 and Pedro Neto (Chelsea) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chelsea 1–0 Leeds · FA Cup
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
  • Referee: J. Gillett
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 3 · draws 1 · Leeds 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea 1W 0D 4L · Leeds 2W 3D 0L

Chelsea 1–0 Leeds (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 5.14
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChelsea for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.14 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
15 for · 9.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.14 for · 10.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.86 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: J. Gillett.

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Robert Sánchez47894185 min1312.8 /90601.3 /9000 /90
F. Jörgensen1185939 min161.5 /90161.5 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 890
36/5
F. Jörgensen n 884.4
25/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Gusto47683191 min822.3 /90511.4 /9050.1 /901524.3 /90270.8 /9070.2 /90
Marc Cucurella46793641 min802 /90471.2 /90160.4 /901714.2 /90651.6 /90100.2 /90
T. Chalobah44853749 min360.9 /90471.1 /90200.5 /901654 /90240.6 /9040.1 /90
R. James36752688 min622.1 /90461.5 /9090.3 /901384.6 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
W. Fofana31742295 min240.9 /90451.8 /90240.9 /901335.2 /90281.1 /9080.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Fernández n 884.1
0.73/1
1.36/3
B. Aaronson
Pedro Neto n 881.4
1.14/3
0.63/1
B. Aaronson
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Gusto n 874.5
0.32/0
1.46/2
P. Struijk
M. Caicedo n 883.9
1.16/1
1.56/3
E. Ampadu
See more players · Pro
Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
1.57/3
Pedro Neto n 881.4
0.11/0
M. Gusto n 874.5
1.84/3
M. Caicedo n 883.9
2.37/5
Marc Cucurella n 882
0.84/2
See more players · Pro

Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
João Pedro46723292 min210.6 /9060.2 /90681.9 /90391.1 /90371 /90441.2 /90
L. Delap31481473 min30.2 /9040.2 /90342.1 /90201.2 /90120.7 /90161 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens23461066 min10.1 /9050.4 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90171.4 /90353 /90
Tyrique George1148528 min40.7 /9010.2 /9091.5 /9081.4 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90
Marc Guiu1046456 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.6 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
1.25/3
0.95/1
Pedro Neto n 881.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Gusto n 874.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Caicedo n 883.9
0.43/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
Pedro Neto n 881.4
00/0
0.32/0
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Gusto n 874.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Caicedo n 883.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Darlow19901710 min492.6 /90231.2 /9000 /90
Lucas Perri17901530 min412.4 /90291.7 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Darlow n 890
2.65/4
Lucas Perri n 890
2.56/4

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Gudmundsson33832729 min682.2 /90270.9 /9070.2 /901856.1 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
J. Bogle32832648 min612.1 /90301 /9050.2 /901284.4 /90391.3 /9060.2 /90
P. Struijk31882713 min381.3 /90301 /90170.6 /901645.4 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
J. Rodon30862592 min331.1 /90270.9 /90180.6 /901304.5 /90130.5 /9010 /90
J. Bijol22791743 min251.3 /90271.4 /9080.4 /901035.3 /90191 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.37/3
1.36/2
M. Caicedo
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
0.74/1
2.98/5
—
J. Bogle n 867.5
28/3
13/2
—
B. Aaronson n 871.6
0.84/1
1.95/4
Pedro Neto
P. Struijk n 880.4
0.85/1
0.84/2
M. Gusto
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.57/6
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
1.77/4
J. Bogle n 867.5
1.86/3
B. Aaronson n 871.6
1.15/1
P. Struijk n 880.4
1.46/3
See more players · Pro

Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Aaronson32702234 min40.2 /9050.2 /90271.1 /90160.6 /90311.2 /90271.1 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31772388 min110.4 /9010 /90602.3 /90301.1 /90170.6 /9060.2 /90
N. Okafor25631569 min70.4 /9010.1 /90271.5 /90150.9 /90201.1 /90382.2 /90
L. Nmecha22481057 min40.3 /9030.3 /90242 /90131.1 /90100.9 /9050.4 /90
W. Gnonto1441572 min10.2 /9010.2 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90111.7 /9050.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
0.94/2
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 867.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
B. Aaronson n 871.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 867.5
00/0
00/0
B. Aaronson n 871.6
00/0
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChelseaLeeds
55%Possession45%
0.40Expected goals (xG)0.68
8Shots10
2Shots on target3
3Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
6Corners4
2Offsides0
14Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves1
494Passes400
86%Pass accuracy81%

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Robert Sánchez9000000007.9
M. Gusto9000000407
T. Chalobah9000001107
T. Adarabioyo9000000007.5
Marc Cucurella9000000107.2
M. Caicedo90000001Y6.9
Pedro Neto90010012Y7.2
E. Fernández9010223308.7
João Pedro8900202006.5
A. Garnacho7100000506.6
R. Lavia6600001006.3
Andrey Santos sub2400000406.9
C. Palmer sub19001000Y6.3
L. Delap sub10000000–

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Perri9000000006.5
P. Struijk90000010Y5.3
J. Bogle90000004Y6.9
E. Ampadu90000005Y7.7
G. Gudmundsson9000000207.2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9000111106.3
B. Aaronson8600110607.5
A. Tanaka7400200106.7
N. Okafor7400101006.9
J. Justin4500000006.5
J. Bijol4500000006.3
J. Rodon sub4500001006.6
A. Stach sub4500310206.6
W. Gnonto sub1600000006.3
L. Nmecha sub16000010Y6.5
S. Longstaff sub1400000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChelseaLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
LeedsDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chelsea 3 · 1 draw · Leeds 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds
  • 2025-12-03 Leeds 3–1 Chelsea
  • 2024-02-28 Chelsea 3–2 Leeds
  • 2023-03-04 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds
  • 2022-08-21 Leeds 3–0 Chelsea
  • 2022-05-11 Leeds 0–3 Chelsea
Goals per game
Chelsea scored1.4
Leeds scored1.8
Chelsea conceded2
Leeds conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Leeds was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 3, Leeds won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Leeds?
Recent form — Chelsea 1W 0D 4L; Leeds 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+