ChelseaPort Vale

Chelsea v Port Vale result

Full-time · Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale

FA Cup · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale — Chelsea won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chelsea beat Port Vale 7–0 at Stamford Bridge in the FA Cup on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

Chelsea led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Chelsea: Jorrel Hato (2’), João Pedro (25’, assisted by Pedro Neto), T. Adarabioyo (57’, assisted by Malo Gusto), Andrey Santos (69’, assisted by Estêvão), Estêvão (82’) and A. Garnacho (90’ pen); Port Vale: an own goal by Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (43’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Chelsea 4.13, Port Vale 0.07, from 20 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Hallam showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Port Vale: Martin Sherif (33’).

What it changes

Chelsea sit sixth on 15 points from five games with a goal difference of +18 (2025/26 so far). Chelsea have scored 21 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded three goals, the 33rd-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Port Vale sit eighth on 15 points from six games with a goal difference of +1 (2025/26 so far). Port Vale have scored nine goals, the 308th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Port Vale have conceded eight goals, the 237th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Port Vale have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Port Vale have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Estêvão (Chelsea) 10.3, Andrey Santos (Chelsea) 9.4 and A. Garnacho (Chelsea) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Accrington ST on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale · FA Cup
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
  • Referee: F. Hallam
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Chelsea 1W 0D 4L · Port Vale 1W 1D 3L

Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8 / 2.57
Corners
against 3.14 / 7.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 2.71
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 1.71
Cards
against 1.29 / 1.43 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChelsea for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
8 for · 3.14 against n 7
9.5standard
2.57 for · 7.14 against n 7
Shots
13.86 for · 9.57 against n 7
19.5standard
9.29 for · 17.43 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
2.71 for · 5.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.57 for · 10.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11.14 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: F. Hallam.

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Robert Sánchez43893825 min1212.8 /90531.2 /9000 /90
F. Jörgensen1185939 min161.5 /90161.5 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 890
2.87/5
F. Jörgensen n 884.4
25/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Chalobah43853659 min360.9 /90461.1 /90190.5 /901603.9 /90240.6 /9040.1 /90
Marc Cucurella43783371 min772.1 /90401.1 /90140.4 /901634.4 /90621.7 /9090.2 /90
M. Gusto43662848 min762.4 /90471.5 /9040.1 /901364.3 /90260.8 /9070.2 /90
R. James36752688 min622.1 /90461.5 /9090.3 /901384.6 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
W. Fofana27741989 min211 /90401.8 /90190.9 /901185.3 /90271.2 /9070.3 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Fernández n 876.9
1.24/2
1.56/3
—
Pedro Neto n 876.8
0.73/2
0.43/0
—
João Pedro n 881.9
1.26/3
1.67/4
—
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
T. Chalobah n 889.5
0.83/3
0.53/1
—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 876.9
1.35/3
Pedro Neto n 876.8
0.11/0
João Pedro n 881.9
1.15/2
T. Chalobah n 889.5
0.65/0
M. Caicedo n 881.3
2.97/6
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
João Pedro44723150 min200.6 /9060.2 /90661.9 /90381.1 /90361 /90401.1 /90
L. Delap28461282 min30.2 /9040.3 /90332.3 /90201.4 /90110.8 /90130.9 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens23461066 min10.1 /9050.4 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90171.4 /90353 /90
Tyrique George1148528 min40.7 /9010.2 /9091.5 /9081.4 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90
Marc Guiu949438 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.7 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 876.9
1.25/2
0.94/1
Pedro Neto n 876.8
12/2
0.61/1
João Pedro n 881.9
38/6
1.57/2
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Chalobah n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 876.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Pedro Neto n 876.8
0.41/1
0.32/0
João Pedro n 881.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Chalobah n 889.5
00/0
00/0
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Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Gauci31902801 min782.5 /90361.2 /9000 /90
Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Gauci n 890
4.37/5

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Hall35873060 min401.2 /90351 /90110.3 /902306.8 /90240.7 /9040.1 /90
C. Humphreys35852965 min290.9 /90310.9 /90190.6 /901394.2 /90220.7 /9050.2 /90
K. John27741987 min492.2 /90281.3 /90120.5 /901376.2 /90120.5 /9050.2 /90
J. Headley24631511 min422.5 /90120.7 /9070.4 /901106.6 /90211.3 /9030.2 /90
J. Lawrence-Gabriel22721586 min251.4 /9070.4 /9080.5 /901136.4 /90211.2 /9050.3 /90
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Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Hall n 890
0.42/1
0.43/0
—
C. Humphreys n 884.4
0.73/1
00/0
—
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Hall n 866.4
1.25/1
2.57/4
—
F. Ojo n 879.9
1.16/1
1.47/1
—
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Hall n 890
2.17/6
C. Humphreys n 884.4
1.26/3
G. Hall n 866.4
3.67/7
F. Ojo n 879.9
1.46/2
K. John n 884.1
2.57/5
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Cole22821806 min80.4 /9040.2 /90311.5 /90201 /90170.8 /90271.3 /90
J. Stockley22481047 min30.3 /9000 /90161.4 /9090.8 /9080.7 /9040.3 /90
D. Brown1546693 min10.1 /9020.3 /9091.2 /9030.4 /9091.2 /9091.2 /90
M. Faal1243514 min10.2 /9000 /90162.8 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90
A. Gray943385 min00 /9000 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Hall n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Humphreys n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 866.4
1.24/2
0.84/1
F. Ojo n 879.9
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Humphreys n 884.4
00/0
00/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 866.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
F. Ojo n 879.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChelseaPort Vale
76%Possession24%
4.13Expected goals (xG)0.07
20Shots4
11Shots on target0
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box1
8Corners2
3Offsides1
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves5
702Passes213
92%Pass accuracy68%

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Robert Sánchez9000000006.6
W. Fofana9000000007.7
T. Adarabioyo9010110008.7
J. Hato9010111008
Andrey Santos9010112508.3
Estêvão9011424108.9
M. Gusto8501112007.5
R. Lavia7800000206.6
C. Palmer6200322006.9
Pedro Neto6101111007.5
João Pedro6110111007.6
L. Delap sub2900000006.3
A. Garnacho sub2910311007.7
Dário Essugo sub2800001006.9
R. Kavuma McQueen sub1200000006.5
Joshua Kofi Acheampong sub800000006.7

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gauci9000000005.3
J. Lawrence-Gabriel9000000204.2
C. Humphreys9000001205.7
C. Hall9000100204.9
R. Walters9000100106.5
F. Ojo9000000206.3
K. John8500000105
B. Garrity7400000306.2
L. Gordon6500100506
B. Waine6500000106.6
Martin Sherif65000010Y6.3
Elijah Xavier Campbell sub2500000006
G. Hall sub2500000106.5
A. Gray sub2500000006.3
E. Archer sub1600000006.2
T. Magloire sub800000005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChelseaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Port ValeDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Chelsea scored1.2
Port Vale scored0.6
Chelsea conceded2.8
Port Vale conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Port Vale was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Port Vale?
Recent form — Chelsea 1W 0D 4L; Port Vale 1W 1D 3L.

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