Manchester CitySouthampton

Manchester City v Southampton result

Full-time · Manchester City 2–1 Southampton

FA Cup · · Wembley Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Southampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 2–1 Southampton — Manchester City won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Manchester City beat Southampton 2–1 at Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup on Saturday 25 April. Manchester City have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Finn Azaz (79’, assisted by Kuryu Matsuki); Manchester City: Jérémy Doku (82’, assisted by T. Reijnders) and Nico González (87’, assisted by Jérémy Doku).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nico González’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Manchester City 2.27, Southampton 0.30, from 26 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Pawson showed one yellow card — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Southampton: Taylor Harwood-Bellis (90+3’).

What it changes

Manchester City have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded three goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Southampton have scored nine goals, the 254th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Southampton have conceded six goals, the 212th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Manchester City have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) 14.7, Finn Azaz (Southampton) 7.1 and Nico González (Manchester City) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Southampton.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester City 2–1 Southampton · FA Cup
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 4 · draws 1 · Southampton 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester City 5W 0D 0L · Southampton 4W 1D 0L

Manchester City 2–1 Southampton (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
9 / 6.38
Corners
against 3.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
9 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 9.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: C. Pawson.

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma39903510 min902.3 /90370.9 /9020.1 /90
J. Trafford13901170 min312.4 /9090.7 /9010.1 /90
A. Ramsdale19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
2.15/3
J. Trafford n 890
2.46/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. O'Reilly49753698 min1012.5 /90300.7 /90140.3 /902235.4 /90621.5 /9070.2 /90
Matheus Nunes44823597 min731.8 /90421.1 /90100.3 /901904.8 /90300.8 /9060.2 /90
Rúben Dias32832646 min220.7 /90260.9 /90200.7 /901063.6 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
A. Khusanov31782407 min532 /90542 /90110.4 /901013.8 /90240.9 /9060.2 /90
J. Gvardiol24781870 min281.3 /90251.2 /90120.6 /90864.1 /90241.2 /9020.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.74/1
0.43/0
—
N. O'Reilly n 886.8
2.28/5
0.63/2
—
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
1.36/2
0.43/0
—
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.85/1
1.25/4
—
T. Reijnders n 844.3
1.54/2
14/0
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.31/1
N. O'Reilly n 886.8
2.26/4
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
2.15/5
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
1.25/3
T. Reijnders n 844.3
1.34/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland49803910 min370.9 /9080.2 /901433.3 /90841.9 /90350.8 /90190.4 /90
Sávio25551367 min40.3 /9030.2 /90241.6 /90161.1 /90241.6 /90453 /90
Omar Marmoush21541126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90272.2 /90131 /90191.5 /90131 /90
R. McAidoo279158 min10.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9052.8 /90
A. Elanga14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /9024 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
3.27/6
1.86/3
N. O'Reilly n 886.8
1.36/2
1.26/2
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
0.75/0
0.43/0
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
T. Reijnders n 844.3
2.53/2
13/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.84/1
00/0
N. O'Reilly n 886.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
0.11/0
00/0
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
00/0
0.43/0
T. Reijnders n 844.3
00/0
00/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz21901890 min633 /90180.9 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.46/5
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ryan Manning44803527 min681.7 /90421.1 /90120.3 /901754.5 /90290.7 /9060.2 /90
Taylor Harwood-Bellis43893843 min390.9 /90370.9 /90330.8 /902425.7 /90310.7 /90100.2 /90
Nathan Wood33842767 min301 /90240.8 /90311 /901133.7 /90230.7 /9050.2 /90
J. Stephens31872706 min301 /90331.1 /90291 /90842.8 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
James Bree18841517 min281.7 /9080.5 /9050.3 /90523.1 /90171 /9010.1 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.95/2
1.16/2
—
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
1.35/3
—
Finn Azaz n 885
0.84/2
1.56/4
—
F. Downes n 872
2.37/4
0.63/1
—
Leo Scienza n 854.8
0.63/0
2.77/3
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
2.78/7
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
1.35/3
Finn Azaz n 885
25/4
F. Downes n 872
1.66/3
Leo Scienza n 854.8
14/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer24481160 min50.4 /9030.2 /90241.9 /90141.1 /90120.9 /90131 /90
Ross Stewart24441060 min90.8 /9030.3 /90252.1 /90181.5 /90141.2 /9010.1 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Cyle Larin1555830 min60.7 /9010.1 /90151.6 /90101.1 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 885
1.65/4
0.95/2
F. Downes n 872
0.32/0
0.32/0
Leo Scienza n 854.8
1.87/2
0.83/1
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 884.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 885
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 872
0.32/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 854.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester CitySouthampton
69%Possession31%
2.27Expected goals (xG)0.30
26Shots4
6Shots on target3
9Shots off target0
11Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box1
10Corners3
2Offsides3
9Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
619Passes271
90%Pass accuracy74%

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Trafford9000000007.2
Matheus Nunes9000002006.6
J. Stones9000003107.2
N. Aké9000000107
Nico González9010223008.7
R. Cherki9000104106.9
T. Reijnders8501302006.9
R. Aït-Nouri7100002007.5
Omar Marmoush7100310006.3
M. Kovačić5800101007.3
P. Foden5800101106.9
Sávio sub3200320206.6
J. Doku sub32111150010
N. O'Reilly sub1900001006.7
E. Haaland sub1900000006.6
Bernardo Silva sub1300000006.6

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000006
Taylor Harwood-Bellis90000002Y6.7
Nathan Wood9000000006.6
Finn Azaz9010112207.3
Caspar Jander9000000707.2
Leo Scienza9000000206.5
Tom Fellows8900000106.2
James Bree8900000306.3
Welington7600000407.3
Cameron Bragg6100000106.6
Ross Stewart6100110106.2
Shea Charles sub2900000106.9
Cyle Larin sub2900001006.2
K. Matsuki sub1401111107.9
Samuel Edozie sub900000006.5
Cameron Archer sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
SouthamptonWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester City 4 · 1 draw · Southampton 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-05-10 Southampton 0–0 Manchester City
  • 2024-10-26 Manchester City 1–0 Southampton
  • 2023-04-08 Southampton 1–4 Manchester City
  • 2023-01-11 Southampton 2–0 Manchester City
  • 2022-10-08 Manchester City 4–0 Southampton
  • 2022-03-20 Southampton 1–4 Manchester City
Goals per game
Manchester City scored2.4
Southampton scored2.8
Manchester City conceded0.2
Southampton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Southampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 4, Southampton won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Southampton?
Recent form — Manchester City 5W 0D 0L; Southampton 4W 1D 0L.

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