ElcheValencia

Elche v Valencia result

Full-time · Elche 0–1 Valencia

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 0–1 Valencia — Valencia won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Valencia won 1–0 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Sunday 1 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Elche out-shot Valencia 16 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.33 xG to 0.96 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Valencia: U. Sadiq (69’, assisted by A. Danjuma).

Discipline

The bookings — Elche: Germán Valera (36’), Víctor Chust (42’) and Facundo Buonanotte (62’); Valencia: Javi Guerra (73’) and Stole Dimitrievski (90+1’).

What it changes

Elche move down from 12th to 17th (11 league matches played). Elche have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Elche have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Valencia stay 19th after this result (11 league matches played). Valencia have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Valencia have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gonzalo Villar (Elche) 6.7, U. Sadiq (Valencia) 5.3 and M. Dituro (Elche) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Elche or Valencia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Elche 0–1 Valencia · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 1 · draws 2 · Valencia 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 3W 2D 0L · Valencia 1W 2D 2L

Elche 0–1 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.57 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.29 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 3
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.43 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameElche for / againstLineValencia for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11.29 for · 17.14 against n 7
19.5standard
10.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.14 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.

Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dituro1090900 min272.7 /90171.7 /9000 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
2.97/5

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Víctor Chust1090900 min161.6 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90333.3 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
Germán Valera1084842 min111.2 /9070.7 /9000 /90434.6 /9091 /9010.1 /90
Buba Sangaré979713 min172.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90303.8 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Roy Revivo688527 min30.5 /9081.4 /9020.3 /90223.8 /9061 /9010.2 /90
F. Redondo678466 min152.9 /90122.3 /9010.2 /90224.2 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Víctor Chust n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
Pepelu
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Germán Valera n 883.9
1.15/2
2.17/6
Pepelu
Gonzalo Villar n 874.9
1.86/4
2.17/4
Pablo Maffeo
Fer Niño n 861.1
1.35/2
1.85/3
A. Danjuma
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 890
1.56/4
Germán Valera n 883.9
1.24/3
Gonzalo Villar n 874.9
2.37/5
Fer Niño n 861.1
1.35/2
Buba Sangaré n 877.9
2.27/4
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Fer Niño1063627 min60.9 /9000 /90152.2 /90101.4 /9020.3 /9060.9 /90
Tete Morente954487 min00 /9020.4 /9091.7 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9061.1 /90
L. Cepeda942375 min00 /9020.5 /90102.4 /9081.9 /9092.2 /9061.4 /90
A. Osorio743300 min10.3 /9000 /9092.7 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
E. Ponce340121 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 883.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
Gonzalo Villar n 874.9
0.64/0
0.53/0
Fer Niño n 861.1
2.67/4
1.75/3
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 883.9
0.32/0
00/0
Gonzalo Villar n 874.9
00/0
00/0
Fer Niño n 861.1
1.15/1
00/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Dimitrievski1090900 min333.3 /90171.7 /9000 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
3.56/6

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pepelu1084838 min161.7 /90101.1 /9030.3 /90252.7 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90
Pablo Maffeo965583 min101.5 /90121.9 /9040.6 /90335.1 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90
José Gayà878625 min162.3 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90294.2 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90
César Tárrega773510 min111.9 /90101.8 /9020.4 /90274.8 /9091.6 /9010.2 /90
J. de Haas676458 min51 /9061.2 /9040.8 /90173.3 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Pepelu n 882.5
1.44/3
0.73/1
Germán Valera
Javi Guerra n 878.8
1.14/3
15/2
—
A. Danjuma n 876.6
0.64/0
1.27/1
Fer Niño
Pablo Maffeo n 870.3
1.45/3
0.85/0
Gonzalo Villar
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pepelu n 882.5
1.97/4
Javi Guerra n 878.8
1.66/3
A. Danjuma n 876.6
0.31/1
Pablo Maffeo n 870.3
1.66/2
José Gayà n 878.1
2.36/4
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Danjuma1075751 min00 /9000 /90151.8 /9060.7 /9091.1 /90131.6 /90
Hugo Duro756389 min00 /9010.2 /9051.2 /9000 /9030.7 /9000 /90
David Otorbi747329 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9061.6 /90
Luis Rioja548240 min10.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9051.9 /9020.8 /90
U. Sadiq353158 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 882.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Javi Guerra n 878.8
1.64/4
0.42/1
A. Danjuma n 876.6
1.67/3
0.74/1
Pablo Maffeo n 870.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 882.5
0.11/0
00/0
Javi Guerra n 878.8
00/0
0.32/0
A. Danjuma n 876.6
00/0
00/0
Pablo Maffeo n 870.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheValencia
69%Possession31%
1.33Expected goals (xG)0.96
16Shots5
3Shots on target3
10Shots off target2
3Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box4
6Corners2
2Offsides6
9Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
616Passes280

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000101006.9
Víctor Chust90001021Y6.9
F. Redondo9000210206.8
Roy Revivo9000211007
Gonzalo Villar9000004507.1
Fer Niño9000401206
J. Morcillo7800000006.6
Buba Sangaré6800000206.6
L. Cepeda6800210006.2
Germán Valera68001010Y6.7
F. Buonanotte66003000Y6.4
T. Lemar2400000106.8
A. Osorio2200000006.3
Tete Morente2200000006.4
Rubén Sánchez2200002106.6
G. Diangana1200000006.3

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski90000000Y7
Arnau Martínez9000000206.6
Pepelu9000000307.1
César Tárrega9000100407.1
José Gayà9000000206.4
G. Rodríguez9000000206.9
Javi Guerra88000021Y6.3
A. Danjuma8801001006.9
Aaron Mayol7800000006.5
Luis Rioja7800001006.5
Pablo Maffeo6100100006.2
U. Sadiq2910330007.4
Dani Raba1200000006.7
F. Ugrinic1200000006.1
M. Diakhaby200000006.8
Jesús Vázquez200000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Elche v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
ValenciaWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 1 · 2 draws · Valencia 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Elche 1–0 Valencia
  • 2026-01-10 Valencia 1–1 Elche
  • 2023-04-23 Elche 0–2 Valencia
  • 2022-10-15 Valencia 2–2 Elche
  • 2022-03-19 Elche 0–1 Valencia
  • 2021-12-11 Valencia 2–1 Elche
League standing · 2026/27
Elche#17 pos10 pts11 pl-4 GD
Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.27
Valencia scored0.73
Elche conceded1.64
Valencia conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Valencia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Valencia was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Valencia?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 1, Valencia won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Valencia?
Recent form — Elche 3W 2D 0L; Valencia 1W 2D 2L.

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