SunderlandHull City

Sunderland v Hull City result

Full-time · Sunderland 1–0 Hull City

League Cup · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sunderland · Hull City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 1–0 Hull City — Sunderland won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.92 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 54.9% of 144 landed (95% range 46.7–62.8%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sunderland beat Hull City 1–0 at Stadium of Light in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September. Sunderland have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sunderland: Chemsdine Talbi (71’, assisted by Thomas Meunier).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Chemsdine Talbi’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sunderland 1.04, Hull City 0.79, from 13 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Tierney showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Sunderland: L. O'Nien (62’); Hull City: Lucas Gourna-Douath (54’), John Egan (72’) and Elliot Stroud (90+4’).

What it changes

Sunderland are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Trai Hume (Sunderland) 7.1, Jules Ahoka (Sunderland) 5.3 and Chemsdine Talbi (Sunderland) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 1–0 Hull City · League Cup
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: P. Tierney
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sunderland 2 · draws 2 · Hull City 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 3W 1D 1L · Hull City 3W 2D 0L

Sunderland 1–0 Hull City (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.29
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.14
Cards
against 2.75 / 0.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineHull City for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
13 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.86 for · 13.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
8.43 for · 9 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 0.86 against n 7

Referee: P. Tierney.

Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs390270 min20.7 /9031 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
24/2

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dan Ballard390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90248 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Reinildo390270 min72.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90196.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Meunier381244 min20.7 /9041.5 /9000 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9000 /90
N. Mukiele290180 min63 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90168 /9010.5 /9000 /90
K. Danso19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Reinildo n 882.1
1.14/3
15/2
—
Dan Ballard n 870.6
1.15/2
1.16/1
—
G. Xhaka n 890
0.54/0
1.97/4
—
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.65/0
—
E. Le Fée n 888.5
0.83/2
1.57/4
—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Reinildo n 882.1
2.17/4
G. Xhaka n 890
1.56/4
Dan Ballard n 870.6
1.47/2
E. Le Fée n 888.5
2.88/6
N. Sadiki n 884.1
0.52/1
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Brobbey374221 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9000 /90
W. Isidor32575 min11.2 /9000 /9056 /9022.4 /9000 /9011.2 /90
M. Fofana11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /90
G. Xhaka390270 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Le Fée386259 min10.3 /9000 /9072.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9041.4 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dan Ballard n 870.6
0.82/1
0.31/1
G. Xhaka n 890
0.54/0
00/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
Reinildo n 882.1
00/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 888.5
1.76/4
0.85/1
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Xhaka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
Reinildo n 882.1
00/0
00/0
Dan Ballard n 870.6
00/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 888.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Tzolakis390270 min93 /9000 /9000 /90
Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 390
32/2

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Egan390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9041.3 /90124 /9010.3 /9000 /90
R. Giles388265 min31 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Ajayi381244 min31.1 /9031.1 /9000 /90103.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
N. Mendy365194 min52.3 /9020.9 /9041.9 /9073.2 /9031.4 /9000 /90
L. Coyle360179 min10.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Slater n 880.3
1.15/2
14/1
—
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
16/2
1.67/4
—
J. Egan n 884.4
0.54/0
0.73/1
—
K. Tzolakis n 390
00/0
1.33/1
—
R. Giles n 885.5
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Slater n 880.3
27/3
J. Egan n 884.4
1.56/3
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
0.42/1
R. Giles n 885.5
1.36/2
M. Belloumi n 868.9
2.16/4
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie390270 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9041.3 /9031 /90
L. Millar22550 min11.8 /9000 /9035.4 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Thomas12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /90
R. Slater390270 min00 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
M. Belloumi385255 min00 /9010.4 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
2.17/5
1.45/3
J. Egan n 884.4
0.72/1
0.11/0
R. Slater n 880.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
K. Tzolakis n 390
00/0
00/0
R. Giles n 885.5
0.11/0
00/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
0.42/1
00/0
J. Egan n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
R. Slater n 880.3
00/0
0.11/0
K. Tzolakis n 390
00/0
00/0
R. Giles n 885.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandHull City
55%Possession45%
1.04Expected goals (xG)0.79
13Shots7
3Shots on target1
8Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box1
7Corners12
5Offsides1
8Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves2
418Passes397
87%Pass accuracy82%

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jules Ahoka9000300307.2
M. Ellborg9000000006.9
O. Alderete9000001007.2
T. Hume9000003607.6
L. O'Nien90000001Y6.9
C. Rigg9000105207.3
J. T. Bi9000310206.1
Jocelin Ta Bi9000210206.1
C. Talbi8610220008.2
M. Fofana7900101006.7
W. Isidor7900300006.4
D. Methalie6500000107.1
T. Meunier2501001006.9
A. Browne1100000006.6
T. Tuterov1100100006.5
T. Proctor400000006.5
Timur Tuterov sub1100100006.2

Hull City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Thomas9000112106.9
Jens Hjertø-Dahl9000100206.5
L. Herrington9000000106.3
L. Coyle9000000306.9
M. Cho9000200106.3
D. Phillips9000000007
M. Targett7600000206.7
R. Vaz6000000006.1
L. Gourna-Douath60000003Y6.9
M. Crooks5900000106.8
J. Egan45000000Y5.4
N. Mendy4500100006.7
J. Gelhardt3100100006
C. Mouzakitis3000001006.3
R. Slater3000101106.5
E. Stroud14000001Y6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Hull City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Hull CityWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sunderland 2 · 2 draws · Hull City 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 Sunderland 0–1 Hull City
  • 2024-10-20 Hull City 0–1 Sunderland
  • 2024-01-19 Sunderland 0–1 Hull City
  • 2023-12-26 Hull City 0–1 Sunderland
  • 2023-04-07 Sunderland 4–4 Hull City
  • 2022-12-17 Hull City 1–1 Sunderland
Goals per game
Sunderland scored1.6
Hull City scored1
Sunderland conceded1
Hull City conceded0.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Hull City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Hull City was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.92 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Hull City?
In their last 6 meetings, Sunderland won 2, Hull City won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Hull City?
Recent form — Sunderland 3W 1D 1L; Hull City 3W 2D 0L.

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