CardiffPort Vale

Cardiff v Port Vale result

Full-time · Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cardiff · Port Vale

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale — Cardiff won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff beat Port Vale 1–0 in League One on Wednesday 22 April. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (79’, assisted by Christopher Willock).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rubin Colwill’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.00, Port Vale 0.00, from 14 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rock showed one yellow card — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: David Turnbull (81’).

What it changes

Cardiff stay second after this result (44 league matches played).

Port Vale stay 23rd after this result (43 league matches played).

Cardiff have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rubin Colwill (Cardiff) 5.6, Alexander Robertson (Cardiff) 4.3 and Benjamin Garrity (Port Vale) 4.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cardiff to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 277).

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Accrington ST on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale · League One
  • Referee: D. Rock
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Cardiff 0 · draws 1 · Port Vale 0 · 0 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 2W 3D 0L · Port Vale 2W 2D 1L

Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
10.25 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 2.13
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · D. Rock
20.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
10.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
20.75 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
8.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 7.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Rock — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott44903960 min1072.4 /90471.1 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
2.54/3

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan47833881 min791.8 /90310.7 /90170.4 /901894.4 /90340.8 /9090.2 /90
P. Ng36802875 min672.1 /90270.8 /90120.4 /901815.7 /90351.1 /9050.2 /90
D. Lawlor29782260 min241 /90281.1 /90241 /90893.5 /90190.8 /9060.2 /90
C. Chambers27822211 min291.2 /90341.4 /90170.7 /901084.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
R. Wintle42853572 min441.1 /90451.1 /90170.4 /901233.1 /90180.5 /9060.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joel Bagan n 880.5
15/2
0.84/2
—
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Wintle n 889.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
C. Willock n 846.6
0.73/0
0.52/0
—
Cian Ashford n 867
00/0
1.35/3
—
See more players · Pro
Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
27/4
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.36/1
C. Willock n 846.6
0.73/0
Cian Ashford n 867
1.25/2
P. Ng n 890
1.87/4
See more players · Pro

Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech33712355 min140.5 /9040.2 /90762.9 /90321.2 /90281.1 /90130.5 /90
C. Robinson31381193 min70.5 /9020.2 /90292.2 /90191.4 /90120.9 /9090.7 /90
R. Wintle42853572 min10 /9070.2 /90260.7 /90130.3 /90451.1 /90100.3 /90
C. Willock41592427 min80.3 /9050.2 /90311.1 /90150.6 /90542 /90391.4 /90
Cian Ashford39652533 min50.2 /9030.1 /90361.3 /90190.7 /90301.1 /90491.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.67/3
0.84/1
C. Willock n 846.6
13/1
0.52/0
Cian Ashford n 867
27/3
0.84/1
See more players · Pro
Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
00/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
00/0
0.42/1
C. Willock n 846.6
0.21/0
00/0
Cian Ashford n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Gauci36903251 min952.6 /90441.2 /9010 /90
Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Gauci n 890
3.27/4

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Humphreys40843344 min361 /90340.9 /90220.6 /901634.4 /90260.7 /9060.2 /90
C. Hall39883420 min441.2 /90360.9 /90140.4 /902476.5 /90260.7 /9040.1 /90
K. John29752162 min522.2 /90321.3 /90120.5 /901466.1 /90140.6 /9050.2 /90
J. Lawrence-Gabriel26721878 min311.5 /9080.4 /9080.4 /901346.4 /90281.3 /9050.2 /90
J. Headley26621601 min432.4 /90120.7 /9080.4 /901186.6 /90211.2 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Humphreys n 875.5
1.26/1
0.32/0
—
C. Hall n 890
0.53/1
0.54/0
—
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Hall n 869.9
0.85/0
1.86/2
—
R. Croasdale n 881.4
1.15/2
1.16/2
—
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 875.5
1.87/4
C. Hall n 890
1.36/3
G. Hall n 869.9
2.98/6
R. Croasdale n 881.4
1.55/4
K. John n 883.6
27/4
See more players · Pro

Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Stockley24471121 min30.2 /9000 /90181.4 /9090.7 /9080.6 /9040.3 /90
D. Cole22821806 min80.4 /9040.2 /90311.5 /90201 /90170.8 /90271.3 /90
D. Brown1746783 min10.1 /9020.2 /90101.1 /9030.3 /9091 /90101.1 /90
Martin Sherif1256675 min10.1 /9000 /9050.7 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
M. Faal1243514 min10.2 /9000 /90162.8 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 875.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Hall n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 869.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
R. Croasdale n 881.4
0.74/1
0.43/0
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 875.5
00/0
00/0
C. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 869.9
0.21/0
00/0
R. Croasdale n 881.4
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffPort Vale
66%Possession34%
14Shots6
4Shots on target2
7Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box6
6Corners6
2Offsides3
3Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves3
576Passes291
86%Pass accuracy70%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000007.2
R. Kpakio9000001207.9
D. Lawlor9000000007.2
D. Turnbull90000021Y7.3
R. Colwill9010112107.6
Y. Salech9000310106.3
J. Colwill8900200207.2
C. Scanlon8300001207
G. Osho6200000107.2
A. Robertson6200112107.9
C. Robinson6200211006.6
W. Fish sub2800000006.6
C. Willock sub2801102007.2
O. Kellyman sub2800101307
Joel Bagan sub1500000106.9
R. Wintle sub10000000–

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gauci9000000007.3
C. Humphreys9000000006.7
C. Hall9000000006.7
Elijah Xavier Campbell9000000006.3
R. Walters9000000106.9
B. Garrity9000110406.3
R. Croasdale8500002106.7
J. Lawrence-Gabriel7200000107
G. Hall7200000106.3
L. Gordon7200101106.6
Martin Sherif7200000206.3
E. Archer sub1800001006.7
J. Headley sub1800001006
O. Hernández sub1800001107
B. Waine sub1800210006.2
J. Shipley sub1300000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Port ValeLWDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Cardiff 0 · 1 draw · Port Vale 0 · 0 goals/game
  • 2025-08-07 Port Vale 0–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2025/26
Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD
Port Vale#22 pos42 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.96
Port Vale scored0.78
Cardiff conceded1.09
Port Vale conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Port Vale was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Port Vale?
In their last 1 meetings, Cardiff won 0, Port Vale won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Port Vale?
Recent form — Cardiff 2W 3D 0L; Port Vale 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+