LorientMarseille

Lorient v Marseille result

Full-time · Lorient 2–0 Marseille

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lorient · Marseille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lorient 2–0 Marseille — Lorient won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Marseille: 2.13 to 1.29 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 52nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lorient beat Marseille 2–0 in Ligue 1 on Saturday 18 April.

The goals

Lorient led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lorient: Panos Katseris (28’) and B. Dieng (58’, assisted by Pablo Pagis).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Panos Katseris’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

E. Wattellier showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Marseille: Benjamin Pavard (57’), Bilal Nadir (74’) and Timothy Weah (90’).

What it changes

Lorient stay ninth after this result (30 league matches played). Lorient have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Marseille move down from third to fourth (30 league matches played). Marseille have scored 59 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 6.9, B. Dieng (Lorient) 6.3 and Panos Katseris (Lorient) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Marseille are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lorient, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lorient or Marseille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lorient 2–0 Marseille · Ligue 1
  • Referee: E. Wattellier
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 0 · draws 1 · Marseille 5 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lorient 1W 2D 2L · Marseille 3W 0D 2L

Lorient 2–0 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.86 / 6
Corners
against 5.14 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.14 / 5.43
Shots on target
against 4.14 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2.57
Cards
against 2.71 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · E. Wattellier
18.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLorient for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.86 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
6 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
10.86 for · 11.43 against n 7
19.5standard
16 for · 9.71 against n 7
Shots on target
4.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.43 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.43 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.57 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.57 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: E. Wattellier — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 18.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo26902340 min612.3 /90321.2 /9000 /90
B. Kamara690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.55/5
B. Kamara n 690
2.54/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi27902430 min210.8 /90230.9 /90200.7 /901134.2 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
B. Meité23841929 min251.2 /90130.6 /90140.7 /901225.7 /90341.6 /9050.2 /90
D. Yongwa18691245 min302.2 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90825.9 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
Igor Silva16861378 min231.5 /90161 /9080.5 /90644.2 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Faye13811053 min232 /90221.9 /9050.4 /90716.1 /90232 /9070.6 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kouassi n 877
0.32/0
2.27/5
—
T. Le Bris n 868.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
J. Makengo n 868
0.32/0
14/2
M. Greenwood
D. Karim n 846.4
14/0
2.95/3
—
M. Talbi n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
—
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 877
0.73/2
T. Le Bris n 868.4
1.87/2
J. Makengo n 868
1.25/1
D. Karim n 846.4
13/1
M. Talbi n 890
15/3
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo28601669 min30.2 /9020.1 /90271.5 /90130.7 /90201.1 /90231.2 /90
P. Pagis25631568 min80.5 /9020.1 /90402.3 /90171 /90432.5 /90211.2 /90
S. Soumano2440951 min40.4 /9020.2 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90100.9 /9060.6 /90
A. Tosin2144928 min40.4 /9000 /90232.2 /90121.2 /90101 /9090.9 /90
B. Dieng17601014 min131.2 /9010.1 /90363.2 /90211.9 /90131.2 /9060.5 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 877
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Le Bris n 868.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Makengo n 868
1.25/2
0.53/0
D. Karim n 846.4
0.72/1
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
0.31/1
0.31/1
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 877
00/0
0.32/0
T. Le Bris n 868.4
00/0
00/0
J. Makengo n 868
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Karim n 846.4
00/0
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
00/0
00/0
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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Rulli33902970 min1023.1 /90421.3 /9010 /90
J. de Lange790630 min172.4 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 890
2.16/2
J. de Lange n 890
2.45/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Pavard30792365 min361.4 /90341.3 /90140.5 /901033.9 /90281.1 /9060.2 /90
Emerson29792293 min512 /90351.4 /90100.4 /901074.2 /90230.9 /9040.2 /90
L. Balerdi27812198 min532.2 /90341.4 /90160.7 /901204.9 /90291.2 /9060.2 /90
N. Aguerd21881849 min321.6 /90361.8 /90110.5 /90874.2 /90271.3 /9060.3 /90
F. Medina20741485 min231.4 /90150.9 /9060.4 /90533.2 /90221.3 /9060.4 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Greenwood n 875.5
1.35/3
0.94/1
J. Makengo
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
1.46/4
1.16/3
—
T. Weah n 889.1
1.16/2
0.95/2
—
Igor Paixão n 872.9
0.84/1
1.55/3
—
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 875.5
0.73/2
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
1.86/4
T. Weah n 889.1
2.37/6
Igor Paixão n 872.9
1.15/2
P. Aubameyang n 878.8
0.62/1
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Aubameyang33702324 min120.5 /9090.3 /90582.2 /90361.4 /90331.3 /90150.6 /90
A. Gouiri22621360 min100.7 /9050.3 /90342.3 /90211.4 /90302 /90181.2 /90
R. Vaz1038380 min40.9 /9020.5 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Rowe16363 min00 /9000 /9045.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Greenwood38793011 min230.7 /90100.3 /901053.1 /90651.9 /90732.2 /90641.9 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 875.5
47/6
1.96/4
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
0.84/2
0.43/0
T. Weah n 889.1
0.65/0
0.11/0
Igor Paixão n 872.9
2.27/3
1.15/1
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 875.5
0.32/0
0.31/1
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 889.1
00/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 872.9
0.32/0
0.53/0
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LorientMarseille
43%Possession57%
1.33Expected goals (xG)1.65
11Shots16
4Shots on target2
6Shots off target13
1Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box11
1Corners7
2Offsides0
6Fouls10
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
382Passes485
83%Pass accuracy88%

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000007.7
B. Meité9000000207
N. Adjei9000000006.9
A. Faye9000000307.2
A. Avom9000000307.2
N. Cadiou9000100007.3
D. Yongwa9000002307.3
P. Katseris8210111108
P. Pagis8201412207.2
B. Dieng7510220207.7
J. Makengo6900000206.9
L. Abergel sub2100000006.6
A. Tosin sub1500100006.6
Igor Silva sub800100006.6
S. Soumano sub800000006.2

Marseille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Rulli9000000006.3
B. Pavard90001001Y6.5
L. Balerdi9000000107.2
Emerson9000005007.3
H. Traorè9000301006.3
M. Greenwood9000212106.6
P. Højbjerg7600200106.6
P. Aubameyang7600300006.3
H. Abdelli5900100206.3
A. Gouiri5900002206.7
Igor Paixão4500000206.7
T. Weah sub45001101Y6.5
E. Nwaneri sub3100100006.2
B. Nadir sub31000020Y6.7
A. Vermeeren sub1400001006.6
U. Lamare El Kadmiri sub1400100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LorientDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MarseilleWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lorient 0 · 1 draw · Marseille 5 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-09-12 Marseille 4–0 Lorient
  • 2024-05-12 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
  • 2023-12-10 Lorient 2–4 Marseille
  • 2023-04-09 Lorient 0–0 Marseille
  • 2023-01-14 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
  • 2022-05-08 Lorient 0–3 Marseille
League standing · 2025/26
Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD
Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Lorient scored1.41
Marseille scored1.85
Lorient conceded1.5
Marseille conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lorient 1.29 xG from 11 shots, Marseille 2.13 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 52' · 0.52 xGUgo El Kadmiri 92' · 0.52 xGHamed Junior Traore 35' · 0.51 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 48' · 0.13 xGBenjamin Pavard 82' · 0.12 xGPablo Pagis 61' · 0.10 xGAiyegun Tosin 77' · 0.09 xGPablo Pagis 46' · 0.08 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 59' · 0.08 xGPablo Pagis 50' · 0.06 xGHamed Junior Traore 91' · 0.06 xGHamed Junior Traore 78' · 0.05 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 31' · 0.05 xGEthan Nwaneri 71' · 0.05 xGMason Greenwood 9' · 0.04 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 54' · 0.04 xGTimothy Weah 49' · 0.03 xGPablo Pagis 74' · 0.03 xGEmerson 60' · 0.03 xGIgor Silva 83' · 0.02 xGHimad Abdelli 47' · 0.02 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 18' · 0.01 xGPablo Pagis 50' · 0.01 xGNoah Cadiou 10' · 0.01 xGMason Greenwood 12' · 0.01 xGPanos Katseris 27' · 0.40 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng 57' · 0.35 xG · goal
Lorient (attacking right)Marseille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lorient1121.29
Marseille1602.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lorient 0.42, Marseille 0.62. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 2.13 to 1.29. The widest gap was 0.84 xG to Marseille, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lorient 27 minGoal - Lorient 57 min
Lorient 1.29 xGMarseille 2.13 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lorient v Marseille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Marseille was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 0, Marseille won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Marseille?
Recent form — Lorient 1W 2D 2L; Marseille 3W 0D 2L.

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