Lyon v Marseille result

Full-time · Lyon 1–0 Marseille

Ligue 1 · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lyon · Marseille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lyon 1–0 Marseille — Lyon won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lyon: 3.54 to 0.90 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lyon beat Marseille 1–0 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 31 August. Lyon have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lyon: Pavel Šulc (87’). Conrad Egan-Riley (29’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pavel Šulc’s goal on 87 minutes.

Discipline

F. Letexier showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lyon: Abner (22’) and Pavel Šulc (80’); Marseille: Adilson Gomes (41’) and A. Murillo (90+4’).

What it changes

Lyon move down from first to second (three league matches played).

Marseille move down from second to 10th (three league matches played).

Lyon have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Moussa Niakhaté (Lyon) 4.6, Rémy Descamps (Lyon) 3.8 and Pavel Šulc (Lyon) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lyon or Marseille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Lyon next travel to Paris Saint-Germain on 25 October 2026.

Marseille next host Le Havre on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lyon: Paris Saint-Germain v Lyon, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Marseille: Marseille v Le Havre, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Lyon 1–0 Marseille · Ligue 1
Referee: F. Letexier
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lyon 1 · draws 0 · Marseille 5 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Lyon 3W 0D 2L · Marseille 3W 1D 1L

Lyon 1–0 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.13 / 6.38

Corners

against 5.63 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.1 yellows

Referee · F. Letexier

1.7 home / 2.4 away

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lyon for / against	Line	Marseille for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.5 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: F. Letexier — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 10 matches (1.7 to the home side, 2.4 to the away side).

Home 1.7Away 2.4

Lyon

Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Akouokou n 8	18	3.8 4/2	0 0/0	—
N. Tagliafico n 8	72.8	2.6 7/4	1.4 5/3	—
D. Ćaleta-Car n 8	78.4	2.2 7/5	0.4 2/1	—
C. Tolisso n 8	67.3	2 3/3	2.3 6/5	—
M. Niakhaté n 8	93.8	1.8 8/3	1 6/2	—

Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Mikautadze n 8	57.8	2.9 5/4	1.4 4/2
A. Lacazette n 8	74.8	2.6 8/5	1.7 6/3
R. Cherki n 8	36.8	2.1 5/2	1.8 5/1
C. Tolisso n 8	67.3	1.3 5/3	0.8 4/1
J. Veretout n 8	50.8	1.3 4/2	0.2 1/0

Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	36.8	0.9 3/0	0.6 2/0
A. Lacazette n 8	74.8	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
G. Mikautadze n 8	57.8	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
C. Tolisso n 8	67.3	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
P. Šulc n 8	76.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0

Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Akouokou n 8	18	6.3 5/2
R. Cherki n 8	36.8	2.8 4/3
T. Tessmann n 8	65.8	2.7 6/6
J. Veretout n 8	50.8	2.7 7/5
A. Maitland-Niles n 8	88.1	2.4 8/3

Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Descamps n 8	90	4.3 7/6
Lucas Perri n 8	93.8	1.9 5/4

Marseille

Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Bennacer n 8	49.8	2.5 5/3	2 5/4	—
J. Rowe n 8	42.4	1.9 3/2	2.9 6/3	—
V. Rongier n 8	78.4	1.7 6/4	1.1 5/2	—
A. Dedić n 8	76.8	1.6 6/3	1.3 4/3	—
D. Cornelius n 8	59.5	1.5 5/2	0.4 2/0	—

Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 8	88.4	2.9 8/7	1.7 6/4
P. Aubameyang n 8	78.6	2.9 7/5	1.7 5/5
J. Rowe n 8	42.4	2.7 6/2	0.8 3/0
A. Gouiri n 8	75	2.1 8/4	1.8 8/3
A. Harit n 8	28.3	2 3/2	1.2 2/1

Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 8	88.4	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1
A. Gouiri n 8	75	0.9 3/2	0 0/0
B. Nadir n 8	25.8	0 0/0	0.9 1/1
A. Rabiot n 8	90.8	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
A. Harit n 8	28.3	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0

Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Nadir n 8	25.8	3.1 5/2
Luiz Felipe n 8	47.1	2.9 6/3
L. Balerdi n 8	81.4	2.8 6/5
G. Kondogbia n 8	82.9	2.6 7/4
I. Bennacer n 8	49.8	2.5 4/2

Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 8	90	2.4 5/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lyon		Marseille
58%	Possession	42%
3.04	Expected goals (xG)	0.77
18	Shots	5
6	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	1
5	Blocked shots	2
12	Shots inside the box	3
9	Corners	4
1	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
2	Saves	4
429	Passes	321
86%	Pass accuracy	79%

Lyon player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Descamps	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
A. Maitland-Niles	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
Clinton Mata	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Niakhaté	90	0	1	0	1	1	0	7.9
T. Tessmann	90	0	3	1	1	0	0	7.2
T. Morton	90	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.3
C. Tolisso	90	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.7
Adam Karabec	89	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Abner	71	0	1	1	1	2	Y	6.3
K. Merah	71	0	0	0	3	0	0	6.6
M. Fofana	53	0	2	2	1	0	0	7.2
N. Tagliafico sub	37	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
P. Šulc sub	19	1	2	2	0	0	Y	6.3
Afonso Moreira sub	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
R. Kluivert sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Marseille player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Rulli	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
A. Murillo	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6.5
L. Balerdi	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
A. Gomes	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
P. Højbjerg	90	2	1	0	0	0	6.5
H. Traorè	86	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
P. Aubameyang	85	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
T. Weah	72	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
M. Greenwood	45	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
B. Nadir	34	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Egan-Riley	29	0	0	0	0	R	5.2
D. Cornelius sub	56	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
U. Garcia sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Pol Lirola sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
R. Vaz sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
D. Bakola sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lyon v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LyonLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

MarseilleDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lyon 1 · 0 draws · Marseille 5 · 3 goals/game

2025-02-02 Marseille 3–2 Lyon
2024-09-22 Lyon 2–3 Marseille
2024-02-04 Lyon 1–0 Marseille
2023-12-06 Marseille 3–0 Lyon
2023-04-23 Lyon 1–2 Marseille
2022-11-06 Marseille 1–0 Lyon

League standing · 2025/26

Lyon#4 pos60 pts34 pl+13 GD

Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Lyon scored1.56

Marseille scored1.85

Lyon conceded1.18

Marseille conceded1.32

Shot map and expected goals

Lyon 3.54 xG from 17 shots, Marseille 0.90 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lyon (attacking right)Marseille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lyon	17	0	3.54
Marseille	6	0	0.90

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lyon v Marseille?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Marseille was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Marseille?: In their last 6 meetings, Lyon won 1, Marseille won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lyon and Marseille?: Recent form — Lyon 3W 0D 2L; Marseille 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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