Rennes v Marseille result
Team pages: Rennes · Marseille · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Rennes 1–0 Marseille — Rennes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
What xG said
xG said Marseille: 2.08 to 1.32 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 38th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Rennes beat Marseille 1–0 at Roazhon Park in Ligue 1 on Friday 15 August. Rennes have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rennes: Ludovic Blas (90’, assisted by Quentin Merlin). Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal (31’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ludovic Blas’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
J. Pignard showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rennes: Mousa Tamari (37’) and Valentin Rongier (89’); Marseille: A. Rabiot (26’), U. Garcia (84’) and L. Balerdi (90+4’).
What it changes
Rennes are first after this result (one league match played). Rennes have scored 56 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Rennes have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Marseille are 18th after this result (one league match played). Marseille have scored 59 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Quentin Merlin (Rennes) 7.1, Conrad Egan-Riley (Marseille) 5.3 and L. Balerdi (Marseille) 4.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).
Next up
Rennes next host Lille on 8 November 2026.
Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Rennes: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Rennes 1–0 Marseille · Ligue 1
- Venue: Roazhon Park · Rennes
- Referee: J. Pignard
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 1 · draws 1 · Marseille 4 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Rennes 2W 0D 3L · Marseille 4W 1D 0L
Rennes 1–0 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rennes for / against | Line | Marseille for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.75 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.63 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Pignard — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 25.08 fouls over 12 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Match Statistics & Details
| Rennes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 28% | Possession | 72% |
| 1.47 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 12 | Shots | 24 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 13 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 15 |
| 1 | Corners | 12 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 284 | Passes | 718 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 92% |
Rennes Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Samba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Jérémy Jacquet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Rouault | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Q. Merlin | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| V. Rongier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| S. Fofana | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Przemysław Frankowski | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Mousa Tamari | 84 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| F. Rieder | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Meïté | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Ait Boudlal | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 5.6 |
| C. Wooh sub | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Camara sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| I. Salah sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Nagida sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Blas sub | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
Marseille Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Egan-Riley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.7 |
| L. Balerdi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Y | 7.7 |
| P. Højbjerg | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Greenwood | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Rabiot | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Gomes | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Gouiri | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Murillo | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Rowe | 63 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Kondogbia | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Weah sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Aubameyang sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| U. Garcia sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| R. Vaz sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Bakola sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Rennes v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-17 Marseille 4–2 Rennes
- 2025-01-11 Rennes 1–2 Marseille
- 2024-03-17 Rennes 2–0 Marseille
- 2024-01-21 Rennes 1–1 Marseille
- 2023-12-03 Marseille 2–0 Rennes
- 2023-03-05 Rennes 0–1 Marseille
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Rennes 1.32 xG from 12 shots, Marseille 2.08 from 24. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 12 | 1 | 1.32 |
| Marseille | 24 | 0 | 2.08 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Marseille led on xG, 0.83 to 0.33. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 2.08 to 1.32. The widest gap was 1.48 xG to Marseille, in the 82nd minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Rennes v Marseille?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Marseille was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Marseille?
- In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 1, Marseille won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rennes and Marseille?
- Recent form — Rennes 2W 0D 3L; Marseille 4W 1D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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