ToulouseLille

Toulouse v Lille result

Full-time · Toulouse 0–4 Lille

Ligue 1 · · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 0–4 Lille — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lille: 2.09 to 1.61 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 15 shots to 9 (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lille won 4–0 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

Lille led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Thomas Meunier (23’, assisted by Hákon Haraldsson), Romain Perraud (50’), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (55’, assisted by Benjamin André) and Olivier Giroud (88’ pen). Mark McKenzie (48’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thomas Meunier’s goal on 23 minutes.

Discipline

H. Ben El Hadj Salem showed two yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toulouse: Emersonn (63’) and Dayann Methalie (80’).

What it changes

Toulouse move down from ninth to 10th (29 league matches played). Toulouse have scored 45 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Toulouse have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lille stay third after this result (29 league matches played). Lille have scored 51 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lille have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lille’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 29, across nine matches. Lille have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thomas Meunier (Lille) 7.2, Benjamin André (Lille) 6.7 and Romain Perraud (Lille) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lille are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Toulouse.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Toulouse or Lille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Toulouse 0–4 Lille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
  • Referee: H. Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Lille 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toulouse 2W 1D 2L · Lille 3W 0D 2L

Toulouse 0–4 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.86 / 3.71
Corners
against 3.57 / 3.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.57
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · H. Ben El Hadj Salem
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameToulouse for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
3.71 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
15 for · 10.14 against n 7
19.5standard
9.71 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.86 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.57 for · 2.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.14 for · 8.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9.71 for · 12 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.57 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: H. Ben El Hadj Salem — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guillaume Restes28892490 min612.2 /90341.2 /9000 /90
K. Haug370210 min31.3 /9020.9 /9000 /90
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
2.25/3
K. Haug n 878.3
1.63/0

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Nicolaisen27812200 min190.8 /90391.6 /90130.5 /901024.2 /90281.1 /9030.1 /90
M. McKenzie26872258 min391.6 /90230.9 /90110.4 /90913.6 /90291.2 /9050.2 /90
C. Cresswell24902160 min231 /90231 /90261.1 /901526.3 /90281.2 /9060.3 /90
W. Kamanzi1649782 min192.2 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90384.4 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
S. Koumbassa581407 min71.5 /9030.7 /9000 /90143.1 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Gboho n 890
0.43/0
1.67/3
Félix Correia
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
C. Cásseres n 883.1
1.98/3
1.26/3
—
R. Nicolaisen n 886.5
0.84/2
0.75/0
—
D. Sidibé n 887.5
1.46/4
0.42/1
—
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 890
1.16/3
C. Cásseres n 883.1
3.77/6
R. Nicolaisen n 886.5
0.73/2
D. Sidibé n 887.5
1.98/4
M. McKenzie n 890
1.46/3
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Gboho29872524 min90.3 /9020.1 /90321.1 /90160.6 /90582.1 /90732.6 /90
Emersonn24621477 min50.3 /9020.1 /90402.4 /90191.2 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90
F. Magri17741264 min50.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90120.9 /90141 /90100.7 /90
S. Hidalgo1758994 min30.3 /9030.3 /90211.9 /9080.7 /9090.8 /9080.7 /90
N. Edjouma634204 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9052.2 /9062.6 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 890
1.47/3
0.64/1
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
C. Cásseres n 883.1
0.74/1
0.43/0
R. Nicolaisen n 886.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
D. Sidibé n 887.5
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 890
0.31/1
00/0
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
C. Cásseres n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
R. Nicolaisen n 886.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Sidibé n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer37893287 min832.3 /90431.2 /9040.1 /90
A. Bodart581406 min112.4 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 884.3
1.63/2
A. Bodart n 581.2
2.43/2

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Ngoy31852625 min401.4 /90401.4 /90140.5 /90883 /90220.8 /9090.3 /90
A. Mandi31842610 min391.3 /90471.6 /90180.6 /901184.1 /90200.7 /9080.3 /90
R. Perraud30802398 min522 /90271 /9050.2 /901274.8 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
T. Meunier29732109 min331.4 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90743.2 /90301.3 /9020.1 /90
Tiago Santos20611222 min171.3 /90100.7 /9000 /90685 /90151.1 /9000 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Félix Correia n 860.5
0.74/0
1.76/3
Y. Gboho
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Haraldsson n 867.1
0.21/0
1.56/3
—
A. Bouaddi n 879.4
1.15/3
1.65/3
—
O. Giroud n 850.9
1.54/2
0.41/1
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Félix Correia n 860.5
2.27/3
H. Haraldsson n 867.1
00/0
A. Bouaddi n 879.4
2.17/4
O. Giroud n 850.9
1.14/1
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.6
0.94/2
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Giroud34642164 min70.3 /9010 /90461.9 /90210.9 /90251 /9020.1 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo33742444 min60.2 /9060.2 /90411.5 /90301.1 /90391.4 /90361.3 /90
H. Igamane1450699 min81 /9010.1 /90303.9 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90182.3 /90
M. Broholm1043430 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /90102.1 /9061.3 /90
S. Diaoune824195 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9062.8 /9052.3 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Félix Correia n 860.5
0.92/2
0.41/1
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 867.1
13/3
0.73/1
A. Bouaddi n 879.4
0.11/0
00/0
O. Giroud n 850.9
1.84/3
0.72/1
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Félix Correia n 860.5
0.21/0
00/0
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 867.1
0.32/0
00/0
A. Bouaddi n 879.4
00/0
00/0
O. Giroud n 850.9
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ToulouseLille
37%Possession63%
0.96Expected goals (xG)2.30
9Shots15
1Shots on target9
3Shots off target2
5Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box9
4Corners2
0Offsides3
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
5Saves1
371Passes644
82%Pass accuracy90%

Toulouse Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guillaume Restes9000000007.3
S. Koumbassa9000100306.7
R. Nicolaisen9000100006
C. Cásseres9000002207.2
D. Methalie90001001Y5.9
Y. Gboho7600001007.5
Emersonn71000021Y6.5
P. Diop6000000106.3
A. Dønnum6000000106.7
D. Sidibé5900110306.9
M. McKenzie48000000R5.2
C. Cresswell sub3100000006
A. Vossah sub3000000006.5
W. Kamanzi sub3000000006.3
J. Russell-Rowe sub1900000106.7
S. Hidalgo sub1400000006.5

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000108.2
N. Ngoy9000000107.3
A. Mandi9000000007.5
N. Bentaleb9000000207.2
H. Haraldsson9001322106.2
M. Fernandez-Pardo9010332008.2
R. Perraud8310211207.9
T. Meunier8210111307.9
B. André7601001307.2
N. Mukau7100001206.9
Félix Correia7100002306.9
G. Perrin sub1900001006.7
E. Mbappé sub1900110006.6
O. Giroud sub1410110007
C. Verdonk sub1400000006.6
Tiago Santos sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ToulouseDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
LilleLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toulouse 1 · 1 draw · Lille 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
  • 2025-04-12 Toulouse 1–2 Lille
  • 2024-10-05 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
  • 2024-02-25 Toulouse 3–1 Lille
  • 2023-11-12 Lille 1–1 Toulouse
  • 2023-03-18 Toulouse 0–2 Lille
League standing · 2025/26
Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Toulouse scored1.42
Lille scored1.53
Toulouse conceded1.39
Lille conceded1.09

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Toulouse 1.61 xG from 9 shots, Lille 2.09 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Yann Gboho 15' · 0.62 xGDjibril Sidibe 15' · 0.54 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 72' · 0.36 xGRasmus Nicolaisen 15' · 0.23 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 4' · 0.12 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 83' · 0.11 xGHákon Haraldsson 10' · 0.10 xGPape Diop 34' · 0.10 xGRomain Perraud 25' · 0.08 xGHákon Haraldsson 27' · 0.08 xGEthan Mbappé 80' · 0.06 xGHákon Haraldsson 12' · 0.05 xGFelix Correia 18' · 0.04 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 40' · 0.04 xGDayann Methalie 32' · 0.04 xGRomain Perraud 40' · 0.03 xGYann Gboho 44' · 0.03 xGSeny Koumbassa 45' · 0.02 xGYann Gboho 0' · 0.02 xGAron Dønnum 15' · 0.02 xGOlivier Giroud 87' · 0.76 xG · goalMatias Fernandez-Pardo 54' · 0.10 xG · goalThomas Meunier 22' · 0.08 xG · goalRomain Perraud 49' · 0.07 xG · goal
Toulouse (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Toulouse901.61
Lille1542.09

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Toulouse led on xG, 1.61 to 0.62. At full time, Lille led on xG, 2.09 to 1.61, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.15 xG to Toulouse, in the 15th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lille 22 minGoal - Lille 49 minGoal - Lille 54 minGoal - Lille 87 min
Toulouse 1.61 xGLille 2.09 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Lille was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lille?
In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 1, Lille won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Lille?
Recent form — Toulouse 2W 1D 2L; Lille 3W 0D 2L.

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