Bournemouth v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace

Premier League · Sun, 03 May 2026 14:00 BST · Vitality Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bournemouth · Crystal Palace · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace — Bournemouth won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 2.30 to 0.68 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 16 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the eighth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bournemouth beat Crystal Palace 3–0 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May. Bournemouth are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Crystal Palace: an own goal by J. Lerma (10’); Bournemouth: E. Kroupi (32’ pen) and Rayan (77’, assisted by David Brooks).

Discipline

R. Jones showed two yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Jaydee Canvot (6’) and Maxence Lacroix (38’).

What it changes

Bournemouth move up from seventh to sixth (35 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bournemouth have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace move down from 13th to 15th (34 league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Crystal Palace have conceded 51 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

It is Bournemouth’s first win over Crystal Palace since 2 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Bournemouth have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Kroupi (Bournemouth) 7.4, M. Senesi (Bournemouth) 7.2 and Rayan (Bournemouth) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Crystal Palace.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace · Premier League
Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset
Referee: R. Jones
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bournemouth 2 · draws 3 · Crystal Palace 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.86

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.13 / 4.14

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 3.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.85 yellows

Referee · R. Jones

23.15 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bournemouth for / against	Line	Crystal Palace for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.71 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.14 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.57 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: R. Jones — 4.85 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.15 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Đ. Petrović	35	903156 min	1002.9 /90	501.4 /90	00 /90

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	2.5 8/3

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Adrien Truffert	34	893020 min	902.7 /90	461.4 /90	100.3 /90	1885.6 /90	371.1 /90	40.1 /90
M. Senesi	34	882981 min	561.7 /90	511.5 /90	411.2 /90	1815.5 /90	310.9 /90	80.2 /90
Álex Jiménez	29	772230 min	652.6 /90	261 /90	110.4 /90	1355.4 /90	331.3 /90	90.4 /90
J. Hill	23	801836 min	331.6 /90	331.6 /90	140.7 /90	1527.5 /90	110.5 /90	30.1 /90
B. Diakité	16	821305 min	201.4 /90	120.8 /90	50.3 /90	604.1 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	1.3 6/2	1 5/1	M. Lacroix
M. Senesi n 8	90	1.1 5/2	1.4 7/3	M. Lacroix
Alex Scott n 8	90	1.4 5/4	1.8 5/5	—
Evanilson n 8	81	1 5/2	0.8 4/2	—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	2 8/6
M. Senesi n 8	90	1.5 5/4
Alex Scott n 8	90	2.3 8/3
Evanilson n 8	81	0.4 1/1
M. Tavernier n 8	86.3	1 4/3
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Evanilson	33	762504 min	60.2 /90	10 /90	541.9 /90	240.9 /90	291 /90	130.5 /90
A. Adli	24	461114 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	131.1 /90	80.6 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90
E. Ünal	4	25101 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
B. Doak	2	3162 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Alex Scott	34	792685 min	30.1 /90	10 /90	301 /90	120.4 /90	280.9 /90	280.9 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
M. Senesi n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Alex Scott n 8	90	1.4 6/4	0.6 4/1
Evanilson n 8	81	1.5 6/2	0.6 3/1
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Senesi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Alex Scott n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Evanilson n 8	81	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Henderson	44	903960 min	1082.5 /90	471.1 /90	10 /90
W. Benítez	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 8	90	1.8 5/3
W. Benítez n 5	90	1.4 2/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Lacroix	45	883941 min	701.6 /90	531.2 /90	200.5 /90	2445.6 /90	491.1 /90	40.1 /90
C. Richards	41	893638 min	832.1 /90	561.4 /90	230.6 /90	2385.9 /90	250.6 /90	40.1 /90
M. Guéhi	30	862591 min	401.4 /90	421.5 /90	150.5 /90	1394.8 /90	240.8 /90	70.2 /90
J. Canvot	23	781802 min	462.3 /90	190.9 /90	190.9 /90	1025.1 /90	251.2 /90	50.2 /90
C. Riad	7	62436 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	224.5 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	1.6 5/3	0.4 3/0	M. Senesi
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Mitchell n 8	84.3	1.2 4/3	0.5 4/0	—
A. Wharton n 8	65.8	1.5 6/3	0.9 4/1	—
C. Richards n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0.9 5/2
T. Mitchell n 8	84.3	3.2 7/5
A. Wharton n 8	65.8	1.2 3/2
C. Richards n 8	90	0.9 4/2
Yeremy Pino n 8	55.1	1.4 5/2
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yeremy Pino	39	672607 min	50.2 /90	40.1 /90	371.3 /90	190.7 /90	682.3 /90	281 /90
J. Mateta	37	752771 min	120.4 /90	30.1 /90	722.3 /90	411.3 /90	160.5 /90	160.5 /90
I. Sarr	36	812922 min	150.5 /90	10 /90	561.7 /90	341 /90	230.7 /90	250.8 /90
B. Johnson	17	611040 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	121 /90	30.3 /90	151.3 /90	60.5 /90
E. Nketiah	17	37631 min	40.6 /90	10.1 /90	182.6 /90	111.6 /90	142 /90	60.9 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0.7 3/2	0.3 1/1
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mitchell n 8	84.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
A. Wharton n 8	65.8	0.7 3/1	0.5 2/1
C. Richards n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mitchell n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Wharton n 8	65.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
C. Richards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bournemouth		Crystal Palace
50%	Possession	50%
2.08	Expected goals (xG)	0.89
16	Shots	7
5	Shots on target	1
5	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	1
3	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	11
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
391	Passes	405
82%	Pass accuracy	78%

Bournemouth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Đ. Petrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Álex Jiménez	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	7.5
J. Hill	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	7.7
M. Senesi	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	8.2
Adrien Truffert	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Alex Scott	90	0	0	1	1	2	2	7
Rayan	86	1	0	4	1	0	2	7.9
M. Tavernier	86	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.9
Evanilson	80	0	0	2	0	1	0	6.9
E. Kroupi	70	1	0	2	2	0	1	6.9
T. Adams	69	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
R. Christie sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.7
D. Brooks sub	20	0	1	0	0	1	0	7
E. Ünal sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Doak sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Adli sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Crystal Palace Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. Canvot	90	0	0	0	3	Y	5.9
M. Lacroix	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
J. Lerma	90	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
J. Devenny	90	0	0	0	7	0	6.6
B. Johnson	90	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. Riad	76	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
J. Strand Larsen	65	2	1	1	1	0	6.3
D. Muñoz	45	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
D. Kamada	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Yeremy Pino	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Mitchell sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
A. Wharton sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
I. Sarr sub	45	2	0	1	0	0	6
J. Mateta sub	25	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
C. Richards sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BournemouthDDWWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Crystal PalaceWLDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bournemouth 2 · 3 draws · Crystal Palace 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2025-10-18 Crystal Palace 3–3 Bournemouth
2025-04-19 Crystal Palace 0–0 Bournemouth
2024-12-26 Bournemouth 0–0 Crystal Palace
2024-04-02 Bournemouth 1–0 Crystal Palace
2023-12-06 Crystal Palace 0–2 Bournemouth
2023-05-13 Crystal Palace 2–0 Bournemouth

League standing · 2025/26

Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD

Crystal Palace#15 pos45 pts38 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Bournemouth scored1.53

Crystal Palace scored1.08

Bournemouth conceded1.42

Crystal Palace conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 2.30 xG from 16 shots, Crystal Palace 0.68 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bournemouth (attacking right)Crystal Palace (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Bournemouth	16	2	2.30
Crystal Palace	8	0	0.68

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.43 to 0.08, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 2.30 to 0.68, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.92 xG to Bournemouth, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Bournemouth 2.30 xGCrystal Palace 0.68 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Crystal Palace?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Crystal Palace was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Crystal Palace?: In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, Crystal Palace won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Crystal Palace?: Recent form — Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.