Brentford v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace

Premier League · Sun, 17 May 2026 15:00 BST · Gtech Community Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brentford · Crystal Palace · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brentford: 1.56 to 1.84 in expected goals, 0.76 of Crystal Palace’s from a penalty, from 14 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 87th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Brentford and Crystal Palace drew 2–2 at Gtech Community Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Ismaïla Sarr (6’ pen) and Adam Wharton (52’, assisted by D. Muñoz); Brentford: Dango Ouattara (40’; 88’, assisted by S. van den Berg).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dango Ouattara’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brentford: Michael Kayode (90+5’); Crystal Palace: Christopher Richards (83’), J. Lerma (89’) and Dean Henderson (90+5’).

What it changes

Brentford stay eighth after this result (37 league matches played). Brentford have scored 55 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brentford have conceded 52 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace move up from 15th to 14th (37 league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Crystal Palace have conceded 51 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dango Ouattara (Brentford) 9.8, Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace) 8.5 and Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace · Premier League
Venue: Gtech Community Stadium · Brentford, Middlesex
Referee: S. Barrott
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 2 · draws 2 · Crystal Palace 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Brentford 1W 2D 2L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.71 / 3.13

Corners

against 5.71 / 7.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 5 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.29 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.57 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.32 yellows

Referee · S. Barrott

18.21 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 19 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Brentford for / against	Line	Crystal Palace for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.71 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.86 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.88 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.43 for · 8.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.29 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Barrott — 3.32 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.21 fouls over 19 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Kelleher	35	903150 min	992.8 /90	461.3 /90	30.1 /90
H. Valdimarsson	6	91546 min	162.6 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90

Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	3.2 7/5
H. Valdimarsson n 8	90.8	2.2 4/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Michael Kayode	39	853305 min	681.9 /90	391.1 /90	140.4 /90	2165.9 /90	250.7 /90	80.2 /90
N. Collins	37	823039 min	290.9 /90	341 /90	391.2 /90	1454.3 /90	200.6 /90	60.2 /90
S. van den Berg	34	882998 min	220.7 /90	300.9 /90	250.8 /90	1815.4 /90	150.5 /90	20.1 /90
R. Henry	26	631649 min	191 /90	90.5 /90	60.3 /90	844.6 /90	170.9 /90	20.1 /90
K. Ajer	24	781880 min	391.9 /90	160.8 /90	180.9 /90	1055 /90	231.1 /90	40.2 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.9 4/2	1.5 7/3	M. Lacroix
Thiago n 8	90	2.1 7/4	0.4 3/0	—
N. Collins n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	M. Lacroix
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	72.4	0.5 2/1	0.5 2/1	T. Mitchell
K. Schade n 8	82.3	1.4 6/3	1.1 5/1	—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Thiago n 8	90	1.6 7/4
N. Collins n 8	90	0.6 5/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	72.4	2.5 6/5
K. Schade n 8	82.3	1 4/2
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Thiago	37	853140 min	230.7 /90	10 /90	661.9 /90	441.3 /90	230.7 /90	300.9 /90
K. Lewis-Potter	29	671936 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	251.2 /90	140.7 /90	200.9 /90	180.8 /90
R. Nelson	7	42291 min	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	72.2 /90	61.9 /90	51.5 /90	92.8 /90
Kaye Iyowuna Furo	1	7171 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Gustavo Gomes	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Thiago n 8	90	1.4 6/4	0.9 4/3
N. Collins n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
K. Schade n 8	82.3	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Thiago n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
N. Collins n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Schade n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Henderson	48	904320 min	1222.5 /90	561.2 /90	10 /90
W. Benítez	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 8	90	2.6 5/5
W. Benítez n 5	90	1.4 2/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Lacroix	49	884301 min	791.7 /90	561.2 /90	210.4 /90	2695.6 /90	521.1 /90	50.1 /90
C. Richards	44	893908 min	902.1 /90	581.3 /90	230.5 /90	2606 /90	270.6 /90	40.1 /90
M. Guéhi	30	862591 min	401.4 /90	421.5 /90	150.5 /90	1394.8 /90	240.8 /90	70.2 /90
J. Canvot	27	802162 min	512.1 /90	210.9 /90	220.9 /90	1205 /90	271.1 /90	60.2 /90
C. Riad	8	64512 min	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90	264.6 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0.7 2/2	0.3 2/0	N. Collins
D. Henderson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Mitchell n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1	0.9 5/1	Y. Yarmolyuk
A. Wharton n 8	61.3	1.5 5/2	0.9 4/1	—
C. Richards n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	1.7 7/4
T. Mitchell n 8	78.8	4.3 7/6
A. Wharton n 8	61.3	2.9 5/3
C. Richards n 8	90	1.4 6/3
Yeremy Pino n 8	62	1.6 6/2
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yeremy Pino	42	662790 min	50.2 /90	40.1 /90	371.2 /90	190.6 /90	692.2 /90	290.9 /90
J. Mateta	41	722947 min	130.4 /90	30.1 /90	782.4 /90	431.3 /90	190.6 /90	160.5 /90
I. Sarr	40	793177 min	170.5 /90	10 /90	641.8 /90	391.1 /90	260.7 /90	260.7 /90
B. Johnson	20	641285 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90	181.3 /90	70.5 /90
J. Strand Larsen	18	611104 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	191.5 /90	90.7 /90	60.5 /90	100.8 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mitchell n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
A. Wharton n 8	61.3	0.9 3/2	0.6 2/1
C. Richards n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mitchell n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Wharton n 8	61.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Richards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Brentford		Crystal Palace
58%	Possession	42%
1.71	Expected goals (xG)	1.72
14	Shots	16
3	Shots on target	5
8	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	6
11	Shots inside the box	10
9	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
7	Fouls	5
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
467	Passes	344
80%	Pass accuracy	67%

Brentford Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Kelleher	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Michael Kayode	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	6.3
N. Collins	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
K. Lewis-Potter	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Ouattara	90	2	0	5	3	1	0	0	8.3
M. Damsgaard	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.5
Thiago	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Y. Yarmolyuk	89	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
K. Ajer	82	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
V. Janelt	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
M. Jensen	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
J. Henderson sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
K. Schade sub	27	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Josh Dasilva sub	13	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
S. van den Berg sub	8	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	8

Crystal Palace Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Canvot	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
D. Muñoz	90	0	1	2	1	3	3	0	7.2
D. Kamada	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
A. Wharton	90	1	0	3	2	4	2	0	8.2
T. Mitchell	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.5
I. Sarr	89	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
C. Riad	74	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
M. Lacroix	61	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Strand Larsen	61	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	5.9
Yeremy Pino	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
B. Johnson sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. Richards sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
J. Mateta sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Lerma sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
E. Guessand sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BrentfordDDLWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Crystal PalaceWLWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Brentford 2 · 2 draws · Crystal Palace 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-11-01 Crystal Palace 2–0 Brentford
2025-01-26 Crystal Palace 1–2 Brentford
2024-08-18 Brentford 2–1 Crystal Palace
2023-12-30 Crystal Palace 3–1 Brentford
2023-08-26 Brentford 1–1 Crystal Palace
2023-02-18 Brentford 1–1 Crystal Palace

League standing · 2025/26

Brentford#9 pos53 pts38 pl+3 GD

Crystal Palace#15 pos45 pts38 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Brentford scored1.45

Crystal Palace scored1.08

Brentford conceded1.37

Crystal Palace conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brentford 1.56 xG from 14 shots, Crystal Palace 1.84 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Brentford (attacking right)Crystal Palace (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Brentford	14	2	1.56
Crystal Palace	16	2	1.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Crystal Palace led on xG, 1.74 to 0.28, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, xG was level: Brentford 1.56, Crystal Palace 1.84, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.51 xG to Crystal Palace, in the 32nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Brentford 1.56 xGCrystal Palace 1.84 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brentford v Crystal Palace?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Crystal Palace was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Crystal Palace?: In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 2, Crystal Palace won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Crystal Palace?: Recent form — Brentford 1W 2D 2L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.