This Matchweek

Crystal PalaceManchester City

Crystal Palace v Manchester City result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City

Premier League · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 2.57 to 0.93 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Crystal Palace have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Manchester City won 4–1 at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on Friday 28 August.

The goals

Manchester City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (17’, assisted by Antoine Semenyo; 84’, assisted by Philip Foden), R. Cherki (54’, assisted by Philip Foden; 59’, assisted by Joško Gvardiol) and an own goal by Gianluigi Donnarumma (56’).

Discipline

Andy Madley, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Anan Khalaili (68’); Manchester City: R. Cherki (33’) and Elliot Anderson (55’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace move down from 18th to 20th (two league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Manchester City move up from sixth to first (two league matches played). Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Cherki (Manchester City) 9.7, Anan Khalaili (Crystal Palace) 9.0 and Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 8.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City · Premier League
  • Venue: Selhurst Park · London
  • Referee: Andy Madley, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crystal Palace 1 · draws 1 · Manchester City 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 1W 1D 3L · Manchester City 2W 1D 2L

Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
2.75 / 7.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
2.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Andy Madley, England.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson19090 min33 /90–00 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
35/5

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Richards19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Canvot19090 min44 /9000 /9011 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Riad17272 min11.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9033.8 /9022.5 /9000 /90
T. Tomiyasu11818 min00 /9015 /9000 /90210 /9015 /9000 /90
A. Wharton19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Kamada n 869.1
1.35/2
2.36/5
—
A. Wharton n 867.6
14/1
1.26/1
—
C. Richards n 882.4
0.75/0
0.32/0
Rúben Dias
J. Canvot n 890
0.42/1
0.63/2
J. Gvardiol
T. Mitchell n 878.8
0.42/1
1.16/2
—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Mitchell n 878.8
3.37/6
A. Wharton n 867.6
37/4
D. Kamada n 869.1
2.67/5
J. Canvot n 890
1.96/5
C. Richards n 882.4
1.55/4
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. McNeil16363 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Mateta16363 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
E. Nketiah15555 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9023.3 /9000 /90
A. Khalaili13535 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9025.1 /9012.6 /90
E. Guessand12727 min00 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wharton n 867.6
1.24/2
0.73/1
T. Mitchell n 878.8
0.63/1
0.32/0
C. Richards n 882.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
J. Canvot n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Kamada n 869.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Wharton n 867.6
0.21/0
00/0
T. Mitchell n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Canvot n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Richards n 882.4
00/0
00/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma290180 min52.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
26/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Khusanov290180 min73.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90136.5 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Gvardiol290180 min42 /9042 /9010.5 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Rúben Dias290180 min10.5 /9000 /9000 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
R. Lewis24487 min11 /9022.1 /9000 /9066.2 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Semenyo290180 min10.5 /9000 /9000 /9073.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Semenyo n 879.8
1.46/3
0.62/2
—
J. Gvardiol n 865.9
13/2
0.32/0
J. Canvot
Rúben Dias n 878.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
C. Richards
A. Khusanov n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Khusanov n 890
1.87/3
J. Gvardiol n 865.9
1.75/4
Rúben Dias n 878.8
0.94/1
A. Semenyo n 879.8
0.63/1
E. Haaland n 876.5
0.11/0
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland272143 min00 /9000 /9063.8 /9031.9 /9000 /9010.6 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
A. Semenyo290180 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9021 /9031.5 /90
P. Foden271142 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
M. Guéhi264127 min10.7 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 879.8
1.78/3
0.86/0
J. Gvardiol n 865.9
1.56/2
0.53/0
A. Khusanov n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
Rúben Dias n 878.8
0.32/0
00/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 879.8
0.43/0
00/0
J. Gvardiol n 865.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Khusanov n 890
00/0
00/0
Rúben Dias n 878.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceManchester City
28%Possession72%
0.66Expected goals (xG)2.21
9Shots18
1Shots on target9
7Shots off target7
1Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box13
2Corners6
3Offsides0
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
291Passes788
81%Pass accuracy93%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000006.6
J. Canvot9000000106.2
C. Richards9000110205.9
A. Wharton9000002407.3
D. Kamada9000000607.2
T. Mitchell9000202206.7
A. Khalaili750010010Y7.3
T. Tomiyasu7400000105.6
Yeremy Pino6800102206.9
E. Nketiah6800201206.2
J. Strand Larsen6300100107.7
E. Guessand sub2700000006.5
D. McNeil sub2200000006.5
Z. Gozo sub2200000106.2
A. Disasi sub1600000106.3
Óscar Mingueza sub1500000106.2

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Donnarumma9000000006.2
Rúben Dias9000112107.7
M. Guéhi9000001007.7
P. Foden9002203106.9
A. Semenyo9001113106.2
E. Haaland9020530008.3
A. Khusanov8900000407.2
N. O'Reilly8900100106.2
E. Anderson82002115Y7.6
R. Cherki82203330Y8.7
J. Gvardiol7501002106.7
M. Kovačić sub1500000006.7
A. Bouaddi sub800000007
R. McAidoo sub800100006.3
Vitor Nunes sub10000000–
K. Braithwaite sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Manchester CityWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crystal Palace 1 · 1 draw · Manchester City 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-13 Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-12-14 Crystal Palace 0–3 Manchester City
  • 2025-05-17 Crystal Palace 1–0 Manchester City
  • 2025-04-12 Manchester City 5–2 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-12-07 Crystal Palace 2–2 Manchester City
  • 2024-04-06 Crystal Palace 2–4 Manchester City
League standing · 2026/27
Crystal Palace#18 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1
Manchester City scored2.22
Crystal Palace conceded2.33
Manchester City conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Crystal Palace 0.93 xG from 9 shots, Manchester City 2.57 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Phil Foden 27' · 0.46 xGEddie Nketiah 49' · 0.45 xGPhil Foden 20' · 0.34 xGTyrick Mitchell 33' · 0.23 xGRyan McAidoo 82' · 0.18 xGErling Haaland 7' · 0.13 xGErling Haaland 6' · 0.09 xGAntoine Semenyo 46' · 0.08 xGRúben Dias 6' · 0.08 xGMathis Cherki 46' · 0.08 xGEddie Nketiah 1' · 0.06 xGErling Haaland 43' · 0.06 xGYeremi Pino 55' · 0.05 xGAntoine Semenyo 37' · 0.04 xGDaichi Kamada 2' · 0.04 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 32' · 0.04 xGPhil Foden 47' · 0.04 xGElliot Anderson 6' · 0.03 xGChris Richards 38' · 0.02 xGElliot Anderson 52' · 0.02 xGAnan Khalaili 44' · 0.02 xGTyrick Mitchell 4' · 0.01 xGNico O'Reilly 21' · 0.01 xGGianluigi Donnarumma 55' · 0.00 xGMathis Cherki 53' · 0.50 xG · goalErling Haaland 16' · 0.29 xG · goalErling Haaland 83' · 0.12 xG · goalMathis Cherki 58' · 0.03 xG · goal
Crystal Palace (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Crystal Palace900.93
Manchester City1942.57

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 1.52 to 0.43. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 2.57 to 0.93. The widest gap was 1.64 xG to Manchester City, in the 83rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 16 minGoal - Manchester City 53 minGoal - Manchester City 58 minGoal - Manchester City 83 min
Crystal Palace 0.93 xGManchester City 2.57 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Manchester City?
In their last 6 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Manchester City won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Manchester City?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 1W 1D 3L; Manchester City 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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