This Matchweek

Hull CityManchester United

Hull City v Manchester United result

Full-time · Hull City 2–0 Manchester United

Premier League · · MKM Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United — Hull City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Hull City 1.79, Manchester United 1.78 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0 at MKM Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August. Hull City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Hull City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Hull City: S. Ajayi (17’) and Nobel Mendy (38’, assisted by Regan Slater).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nobel Mendy’s goal on 38 minutes.

Discipline

D. England showed three yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hull City: Matt Crooks (42’) and Liam Millar (90+6’); Manchester United: Patrick Dorgu (34’).

What it changes

Hull City are second after this result (one league match played). Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United are 19th after this result (one league match played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hull City have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Ajayi (Hull City) 5.9, Konstantinos Tzolakis (Hull City) 5.7 and Nobel Mendy (Hull City) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester United to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hull City 2–0 Manchester United · Premier League
  • Venue: MKM Stadium · Hull
  • Referee: D. England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Hull City 3W 1D 1L · Manchester United 4W 1D 0L

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.88
Corners
against 7 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.72 yellows
Referee · D. England
22.28 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHull City for / againstLineManchester United for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: D. England — 4.72 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22.28 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hull CityManchester United
28%Possession72%
1.01Expected goals (xG)1.83
8Shots21
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target8
1Blocked shots8
5Shots inside the box15
1Corners6
0Offsides3
10Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
257Passes669
70%Pass accuracy88%

Hull City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Tzolakis9000000008.2
J. Egan9000000107.7
M. Belloumi9000200406.9
M. Crooks90000004Y7.2
R. Slater9001001107.2
Oliver McBurnie9000222006.6
R. Giles8500001107.2
E. Stroud7100000307
L. Coyle7000001107.2
S. Ajayi6410110007.7
N. Mendy6410110008
L. Herrington sub2600000007
P. McNair sub2600000006.6
C. Drameh sub2000100106.6
L. Millar sub19000001Y6.7
M. Targett sub1200000006.9

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Lammens9000000006.6
H. Maguire9000212007.2
A. Heaven9000100106.2
L. Shaw9000004106.3
B. Mbeumo9000321006.2
Bruno Fernandes9000113007.3
N. Mazraoui8000102106.2
Matheus Cunha8000212005.9
Y. Tielemans6700000006.6
Andrey Santos6700000107.2
P. Dorgu45003000Y5.5
M. Rashford sub4500004006.5
K. Mainoo sub2300000006.6
Benjamin Šeško sub2300000006.3
Diogo Dalot sub1000001206.9
S. Lacey sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hull CityLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Manchester UnitedWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Hull City scored1.22
Manchester United scored1.11
Hull City conceded1.11
Manchester United conceded1.67

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Hull City 1.79 xG from 8 shots, Manchester United 1.78 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Patrick Dorgu 28' · 0.44 xGBryan Mbeumo 77' · 0.43 xGOliver McBurnie 16' · 0.41 xGPatrick Dorgu 43' · 0.12 xGAyden Heaven 55' · 0.11 xGNoussair Mazraoui 66' · 0.09 xGMatheus Cunha 65' · 0.07 xGMatheus Cunha 78' · 0.06 xGPatrick Dorgu 24' · 0.06 xGMatheus Cunha 13' · 0.06 xGBryan Mbeumo 34' · 0.05 xGBryan Mbeumo 75' · 0.05 xGCody Drameh 72' · 0.04 xGBenjamin Sesko 92' · 0.04 xGHarry Maguire 94' · 0.03 xGYouri Tielemans 19' · 0.03 xGRyan John Giles 74' · 0.03 xGMohamed Belloumi 61' · 0.03 xGKobbie Mainoo 83' · 0.03 xGOliver McBurnie 14' · 0.03 xGHarry Maguire 83' · 0.02 xGBryan Mbeumo 12' · 0.02 xGBruno Fernandes 46' · 0.02 xGAyden Heaven 50' · 0.02 xGMohamed Belloumi 20' · 0.02 xGBruno Fernandes 88' · 0.01 xGBruno Fernandes 58' · 0.01 xGSemi Ajayi 16' · 0.71 xG · goalNobel Mendy 37' · 0.53 xG · goal
Hull City (attacking right)Manchester United (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hull City821.79
Manchester United2101.78

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Hull City led on xG, 1.69 to 0.79. At full time, xG was level: Hull City 1.79, Manchester United 1.78. The widest gap was 1.06 xG to Hull City, in the 16th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Hull City 16 minGoal - Hull City 37 min
Hull City 1.79 xGManchester United 1.78 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hull City v Manchester United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Manchester United was Away win (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Hull City and Manchester United?
Recent form — Hull City 3W 1D 1L; Manchester United 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+