This Matchweek

Manchester CitySunderland

Manchester City v Sunderland result

Full-time · Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland

Premier League · · Etihad Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sunderland: 3.38 to 2.67 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Manchester City beat Sunderland 5–3 at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 20 September. Manchester City have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Enzo Fernández (9’), R. Cherki (29’, assisted by Antoine Semenyo), Antoine Semenyo (43’, assisted by M. Guéhi; 57’) and Erling Haaland (81’, assisted by Joško Gvardiol); Sunderland: Brian Brobbey (12’, assisted by Enzo Le Fée; 33’, assisted by Thomas Meunier; 59’, assisted by N. Angulo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Antoine Semenyo’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Sunderland: Dayann Methalie (8’).

What it changes

Manchester City move up from second to first (five league matches played). Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sunderland stay 14th after this result (five league matches played). Sunderland have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 5, across 10 matches. Manchester City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brian Brobbey (Sunderland) 15.0, Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City) 13.5 and Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland · Premier League
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
  • Referee: Robert Jones, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Manchester City 1 · draws 1 · Sunderland 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester City 5W 0D 0L · Sunderland 3W 1D 1L

Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineSunderland for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 9 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Robert Jones, England.

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma690540 min122 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
26/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rúben Dias690540 min30.5 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90244 /9040.7 /9000 /90
A. Khusanov682491 min173.1 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90315.7 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
M. Guéhi681487 min40.7 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90254.6 /9040.7 /9000 /90
J. Gvardiol681483 min142.6 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90376.9 /9061.1 /9030.6 /90
N. O'Reilly474295 min51.5 /9000 /9000 /90123.7 /9051.5 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Cherki n 848.6
1.64/1
0.93/1
T. Meunier
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.74/1
0.11/0
—
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Semenyo n 878.3
27/4
0.73/2
T. Meunier
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.94/1
0.85/1
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 848.6
0.52/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.43/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
15/1
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.11/0
A. Khusanov n 883.9
2.58/5
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland684503 min61.1 /9000 /90234.1 /90142.5 /9020.4 /9040.7 /90
I. Ndiaye353160 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9052.8 /90
F. Samba19090 min22 /9000 /9044 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
R. McAidoo14545 min12 /9000 /9036 /9024 /9000 /9000 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Cherki n 848.6
1.96/1
1.44/1
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
1.27/1
0.96/0
E. Haaland n 885.4
3.38/6
2.18/4
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Cherki n 848.6
0.72/1
0.51/1
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.95/2
0.11/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs590450 min71.4 /9051 /9000 /90
M. Ellborg19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
1.64/2
M. Ellborg n 590
2.23/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Meunier661368 min20.5 /9041 /9000 /9092.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Reinildo590450 min91.8 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90306 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
Dan Ballard580398 min61.4 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90357.9 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
N. Mukiele490360 min102.5 /9051.3 /9051.3 /90266.5 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90
K. Danso388264 min31 /9000 /9031 /90103.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Meunier n 661.3
0.52/0
0.52/0
A. Semenyo
W. Isidor n 836
1.94/2
2.24/2
—
Reinildo n 890
1.45/4
1.36/3
—
G. Xhaka n 890
0.84/1
1.86/4
—
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Meunier n 661.3
0.51/1
W. Isidor n 836
0.93/0
Reinildo n 890
28/4
G. Xhaka n 890
1.56/4
E. Le Fée n 888.5
27/5
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Isidor640241 min10.4 /9000 /9093.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9031.1 /90
B. Brobbey567334 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
G. Xhaka590450 min00 /9000 /9030.6 /9000 /90122.4 /9030.6 /90
E. Le Fée588439 min20.4 /9000 /90142.9 /9051 /9071.4 /9091.8 /90
N. Sadiki587434 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Meunier n 661.3
14/0
14/0
W. Isidor n 836
3.15/3
0.62/0
G. Xhaka n 890
0.53/1
00/0
Reinildo n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Meunier n 661.3
00/0
0.21/0
W. Isidor n 836
0.31/0
00/0
G. Xhaka n 890
00/0
00/0
Reinildo n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester CitySunderland
55%Possession45%
2.82Expected goals (xG)3.57
16Shots17
6Shots on target9
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box14
6Corners5
14Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves1
475Passes388
85%Pass accuracy81%

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matheus Nunes9000000106.7
G. Donnarumma9000000006.9
E. Haaland9010310006.2
Rúben Dias9000100005.5
M. Guéhi9001001006.9
J. Gvardiol9001001007.9
E. Fernández9010111008.3
E. Anderson9000100207
A. Semenyo9021223209.3
R. Cherki8510212008
I. Ndiaye7500002006.7
J. Doku sub1500002007.2
N. O'Reilly sub1100110106.7

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Brobbey9030541009.9
E. Le Fée9001005106.9
G. Xhaka9000003307.9
D. Methalie90000001Y5.3
Dan Ballard9000100407.3
K. Danso9000111005.2
N. Mukiele9000002406.2
R. Roefs9000000005.3
T. Meunier7901001206.7
N. Sadiki6800100006.2
N. Angulo6001211005.9
M. Fofana sub3000330106.7
W. Isidor sub2200000106.3
T. Hume sub1100100106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
SunderlandWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Manchester City 1 · 1 draw · Sunderland 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-01 Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City
  • 2025-12-06 Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD
Sunderland#20 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Manchester City scored2.22
Sunderland scored0.78
Manchester City conceded1.11
Sunderland conceded1.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester City 2.67 xG from 16 shots, Sunderland 3.38 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nico O'Reilly 85' · 0.55 xGErling Haaland 44' · 0.49 xGMalick Fofana 93' · 0.32 xGNilson Angulo 58' · 0.29 xGNilson Angulo 5' · 0.29 xGJéremy Doku 77' · 0.12 xGTrai Hume 90' · 0.10 xGBrian Brobbey 69' · 0.09 xGMathis Cherki 65' · 0.09 xGDan Ballard 89' · 0.09 xGRúben Dias 63' · 0.09 xGMalick Fofana 69' · 0.08 xGIliman Ndiaye 72' · 0.08 xGMarc Guehi 42' · 0.06 xGErling Haaland 27' · 0.06 xGKevin Danso 50' · 0.05 xGNordi Mukiele 6' · 0.05 xGMalick Fofana 80' · 0.04 xGErling Haaland 86' · 0.04 xGBrian Brobbey 49' · 0.03 xGIliman Ndiaye 62' · 0.03 xGNoah Sadiki 47' · 0.02 xGElliot Anderson 19' · 0.02 xGDayann Methalie 10' · 0.01 xGDan Ballard 69' · 0.01 xGBrian Brobbey 58' · 0.93 xG · goalErling Haaland 80' · 0.75 xG · goalBrian Brobbey 32' · 0.52 xG · goalBrian Brobbey 11' · 0.47 xG · goalMathis Cherki 28' · 0.11 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo 56' · 0.07 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo 42' · 0.07 xG · goalEnzo Fernández 8' · 0.06 xG · goal
Manchester City (attacking right)Sunderland (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Manchester City1652.67
Sunderland1733.38

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sunderland led on xG, 1.34 to 0.87. At full time, Sunderland led on xG, 3.38 to 2.67. The widest gap was 1.72 xG to Sunderland, in the 58th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.41.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 8 minGoal - Sunderland 11 minGoal - Manchester City 28 minGoal - Sunderland 32 minGoal - Manchester City 42 minGoal - Manchester City 56 minGoal - Sunderland 58 minGoal - Manchester City 80 min
Manchester City 2.67 xGSunderland 3.38 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Sunderland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Sunderland was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Sunderland?
In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Sunderland won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Sunderland?
Recent form — Manchester City 5W 0D 0L; Sunderland 3W 1D 1L.

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