KilmarnockDundee

Kilmarnock v Dundee result

Full-time · Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,934 of 2,587 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kilmarnock and Dundee drew 2–2 in the Premiership on Saturday 11 April. Dundee are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Kilmarnock led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Kilmarnock: Joseph Hugill (14’) and Michael Schjønning-Larsen (33’); Dundee: Simon Murray (24’, assisted by Tony Yogane) and Scott Wright (81’, assisted by I. Samuels).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Scott Wright’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kilmarnock 1.63, Dundee 1.32, from 13 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Hardie showed six yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: Robbie Deas (38’), Aaron Tshibola (75’), George Stanger (90+1’) and Jamie Brandon (90+4’); Dundee: Bradley Halliday (8’) and Ethan Hamilton (55’).

What it changes

Kilmarnock have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 68 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Dundee have scored 42 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 61 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Roos (Kilmarnock) 6.7, Scott Wright (Dundee) 6.7 and Tony Yogane (Dundee) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Dundee are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kilmarnock.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kilmarnock or Dundee (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Dundee next travel to ST Johnstone on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Dundee: ST Johnstone v Dundee, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee · Premiership
  • Referee: R. Hardie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 1 · draws 2 · Dundee 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L · Dundee 1W 2D 2L

Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.11 yellows
Referee · R. Hardie
25.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKilmarnock for / againstLineDundee for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 16.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: R. Hardie — 4.11 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos1090900 min404 /90242.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Stryjek790630 min233.3 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
3.86/6

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas30862581 min381.3 /90341.2 /90301 /901525.3 /90321.1 /9090.3 /90
D. Thompson28792203 min371.5 /90291.2 /90110.4 /90873.6 /90150.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo20881755 min261.3 /90251.3 /90150.8 /90784 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
E. Brown15891331 min191.3 /90151 /90140.9 /90694.7 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Brown15801204 min282.1 /90110.8 /9090.7 /90695.2 /90151.1 /9020.1 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
0.84/1
0.32/0
D. Wright
D. Watson n 869.5
14/1
0.84/1
—
D. Thompson n 862.5
0.74/0
0.74/0
—
B. Lyons n 870.8
0.63/1
1.14/2
—
G. Kiltie n 884.8
1.14/3
2.58/5
E. Hamilton
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.14/3
D. Watson n 869.5
2.37/6
D. Thompson n 862.5
1.65/2
B. Lyons n 870.8
1.66/2
G. Kiltie n 884.8
27/4
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson26631633 min40.2 /9020.1 /90301.7 /90130.7 /9080.4 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
J. Hugill869551 min20.3 /9020.3 /9081.3 /9040.7 /9061 /9030.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Watson n 869.5
0.53/0
0.32/0
D. Thompson n 862.5
0.21/0
00/0
B. Lyons n 870.8
0.84/1
0.52/1
G. Kiltie n 884.8
1.16/2
0.85/1
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Watson n 869.5
00/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 862.5
00/0
00/0
B. Lyons n 870.8
0.21/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jon McCracken32902880 min1243.9 /90511.6 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon McCracken n 890
4.17/5

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luke Graham31892766 min501.6 /90421.4 /90280.9 /902357.6 /90290.9 /9030.1 /90
R. Astley31852637 min451.5 /90351.2 /90250.9 /901705.8 /90220.8 /9020.1 /90
D. Wright30882638 min411.4 /90250.9 /9050.2 /901194.1 /90130.4 /9020.1 /90
I. Samuels24731743 min251.3 /90311.6 /9030.2 /90703.6 /90100.5 /9010.1 /90
C. Robertson14861210 min80.6 /9080.6 /90100.7 /90372.8 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jon McCracken n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
Luke Graham n 890
17/1
16/2
—
R. Astley n 889.3
1.16/2
0.93/2
—
D. Wright n 889.9
0.43/0
1.57/3
R. Deas
E. Hamilton n 890
1.34/3
1.48/2
G. Kiltie
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
2.17/5
R. Astley n 889.3
1.67/3
D. Wright n 889.9
1.47/3
E. Hamilton n 890
2.87/5
C. Congreve n 885
0.74/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Murray25681697 min60.3 /9000 /90251.3 /90110.6 /90100.5 /9090.5 /90
Ashley Hay18581049 min30.3 /9010.1 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90100.9 /9040.3 /90
E. Acquah637222 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9052 /90
C. Reilly532160 min10.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9042.3 /90
S. Wright42496 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.9 /9010.9 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jon McCracken n 890
00/0
00/0
Luke Graham n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
R. Astley n 889.3
0.31/1
00/0
D. Wright n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 890
0.63/1
0.42/1
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jon McCracken n 890
00/0
00/0
Luke Graham n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Astley n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
D. Wright n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
E. Hamilton n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KilmarnockDundee
51%Possession49%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.32
13Shots8
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target2
6Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box4
4Corners2
1Offsides1
24Fouls7
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
380Passes372
77%Pass accuracy77%

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Roos9000000007.2
J. Brandon90000017Y6.5
G. Stanger90000010Y5.9
R. Deas90000003Y6.6
G. Kiltie9000003006
Findlay Curtis9000300206.2
J. Hugill9010222007.2
T. Lowery8600001206.9
A. Tshibola86001000Y6.7
B. Anderson7700000006.2
M. Schjønning-Larsen7210110107.7
D. Thompson sub1800000006.2
D. Watson sub1700000006.6
B. Lyons sub1700000006.7
R. McKenzie sub1300000206.7

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jon McCracken9000000006.2
Luke Graham9000001107.2
Billy Dawson Koumetio9000110006.9
D. Wright9000000006.5
E. Hamilton90002105Y7.2
J. Cotterill9000001106.7
Tony Yogane7001001106.9
S. Murray5910110007.5
C. Congreve5800000106.2
Y. Dhanda5800111106.5
B. Halliday45000001Y5.9
I. Samuels sub4501001207.3
J. Westley sub3200110006
S. Wright sub3210110108.3
Ashley Hay sub3100100006.7
C. Reilly sub2000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KilmarnockDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
DundeeDWDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kilmarnock 1 · 2 draws · Dundee 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Kilmarnock 1–2 Dundee
  • 2025-12-30 Dundee 2–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock 0–0 Dundee
  • 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock 3–2 Dundee
  • 2024-11-30 Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee
  • 2024-11-03 Dundee 3–2 Kilmarnock
League standing · 2025/26
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Dundee#2 pos42 pts38 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Kilmarnock scored1.32
Dundee scored1.11
Kilmarnock conceded1.79
Dundee conceded1.61

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Dundee?
In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Dundee?
Recent form — Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L; Dundee 1W 2D 2L.

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