AroucaSanta Clara

Arouca v Santa Clara result

Full-time · Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1789 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,113 of 1,477 times (75.4%), against an average rating of 70.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arouca and Santa Clara drew 2–2 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 2 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Santa Clara out-shot Arouca 12 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.86 xG to 0.78 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Arouca: Lee Hyun-Ju (8’, assisted by Tiago Esgaio) and Tiago Esgaio (84’, assisted by Taichi Fukui); Santa Clara: Gabriel Silva (10’, assisted by Serginho) and Elias Manoel (90’, assisted by Welinton Torrão). Lee Hyun-Ju (66’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Elias Manoel’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

R. Baixinho showed six yellow cards and one red — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Javi Sánchez (5’), Lee Hyun-Ju (45+3’) and Lee Hyun-Ju (66’); Santa Clara: Serginho (30’), José Luís Rocha Tavares (44’) and Frederico Venâncio (88’).

What it changes

Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tiago Esgaio (Arouca) 9.4, Gabriel Silva (Santa Clara) 6.0 and Taichi Fukui (Arouca) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arouca or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.7% of the time in the last 90 days (1372 of 1789).

Next up

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Santa Clara next travel to Moreirense on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Santa Clara: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: R. Baixinho
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 3 · draws 2 · Santa Clara 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 3W 0D 2L · Santa Clara 2W 1D 2L

Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · R. Baixinho
28.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineSanta Clara for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
16.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: R. Baixinho — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 28.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena13901170 min332.5 /90171.3 /9000 /90
João Valido990810 min252.8 /90242.7 /9010.1 /90
Nico Mantl890720 min263.3 /90182.3 /9000 /90
J. Vinarčík19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
36/5
João Valido n 890
38/5
Nico Mantl n 890
3.26/6

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán28842365 min311.2 /90331.3 /90100.4 /901074.1 /90341.3 /90100.4 /90
Tiago Esgaio26842196 min281.1 /90271.1 /90150.6 /901194.9 /90361.5 /90100.4 /90
B. Popović16721147 min90.7 /90110.9 /90131 /90393.1 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
B. Kuipers14791108 min70.6 /90100.8 /9050.4 /90302.4 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
A. Danté1459819 min202.2 /9050.5 /9080.9 /90394.3 /90111.2 /9000 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Djouahra n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Fukui n 887.1
0.53/1
1.36/3
Serginho
A. Trezza n 861.3
1.16/0
1.15/1
—
José Fontán n 890
1.17/2
0.54/0
Sidney Lima
Lee Hyun-Ju n 880
2.18/3
3.47/6
—
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 886.1
1.34/2
T. Fukui n 887.1
1.25/3
A. Trezza n 861.3
0.62/1
José Fontán n 890
0.95/2
Lee Hyun-Ju n 880
0.32/0
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero25671666 min70.4 /9020.1 /90361.9 /90170.9 /90150.8 /9030.2 /90
D. Nandín1653851 min10.1 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /9091 /9030.3 /90
Miguel Puche1640646 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
B. Mansilla1126285 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9061.9 /90
N. Djouahra31812515 min60.2 /9030.1 /90331.2 /90190.7 /90291 /90301.1 /90
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Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 886.1
0.96/1
0.43/0
T. Fukui n 887.1
0.95/2
0.42/1
A. Trezza n 861.3
0.94/1
0.62/1
José Fontán n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 880
0.63/1
0.32/0
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 886.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Fukui n 887.1
00/0
00/0
A. Trezza n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 880
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Santa Clara

Santa Clara Goalkeeper

Santa Clara — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gabriel Batista31902790 min722.3 /90381.2 /9010 /90
Santa Clara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Batista n 890
2.46/3

Santa Clara Defensive

Santa Clara — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Sidney Lima30892663 min331.1 /90341.1 /90230.8 /901113.8 /90301 /9090.3 /90
Lucas Soares26792062 min452 /90180.8 /9010 /901245.4 /90472.1 /9060.3 /90
Frederico Venâncio20821640 min331.8 /90341.9 /9050.3 /90744.1 /90160.9 /9050.3 /90
Diogo Calila1743723 min70.9 /9081 /9030.4 /90344.2 /9091.1 /9040.5 /90
Luís Rocha13901170 min151.2 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90423.2 /90201.5 /9050.4 /90
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Santa Clara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Sidney Lima n 890
1.37/3
0.42/1
José Fontán
Serginho n 886.4
1.84/3
1.35/3
T. Fukui
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
15/2
1.14/2
—
Lucas Soares n 871.8
37/5
0.94/2
—
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Santa Clara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sidney Lima n 890
0.64/1
Serginho n 886.4
2.36/6
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
3.48/7
Lucas Soares n 871.8
2.46/4
Gabriel Silva n 883.5
0.84/1
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Santa Clara Attacking

Santa Clara — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gabriel Silva26761983 min50.2 /9000 /90492.2 /90190.9 /90251.1 /90221 /90
Vinícius Lopes25601491 min60.4 /9010.1 /90342.1 /90150.9 /90221.3 /90332 /90
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos23481111 min00 /9010.1 /90201.6 /9070.6 /90201.6 /90161.3 /90
Wendel Silva1371917 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9060.6 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Welinton Torrão1141456 min10.2 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9051 /9040.8 /90
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Santa Clara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
Sidney Lima n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
Serginho n 886.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
0.63/1
00/0
Lucas Soares n 871.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Santa Clara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
Sidney Lima n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Serginho n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
00/0
00/0
Lucas Soares n 871.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaSanta Clara
51%Possession49%
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.86
9Shots12
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box9
5Corners6
1Offsides3
15Fouls8
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
1Saves3
427Passes404
89%Pass accuracy88%

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. de Arruabarrena9000000006.9
Tiago Esgaio9011211108.7
José Fontán9000000006.6
E. van Ee9000322306.7
A. Trezza9000001206
T. Fukui8501111107.3
N. Djouahra7600000106.9
Barbero7500101006.3
Lee Hyun-Ju66101110RY6
B. Kuipers6400002106.3
Javi Sánchez45000000Y6.6
M. Rocha sub4500000007.2
A. Danté sub2600000306.7
Mateo Flores sub1500000006.5
Pablo Gozálbez sub1400000006.2
Diogo Monteiro sub1200000106.2

Santa Clara Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Batista9000000006.5
Sidney Lima9000000007.2
Frederico Venâncio90001012Y6.6
José Luís Rocha Tavares90003202Y6.9
Serginho90010041Y7.3
Gabriel Silva9010212008
Diogo Calila7600000006.2
Klismahn7600000006.2
Gonçalo Paciência7600100006.6
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos5900000106.5
Guilherme Romão2200000006.5
Paulo Victor sub6800000106.3
Welinton Torrão sub3101005007.2
Lucas Soares sub1400000006.7
Elias Manoel sub1410210006.9
Vinícius Lopes sub1400000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Santa Clara — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Santa ClaraWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arouca 3 · 2 draws · Santa Clara 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-21 Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca
  • 2025-04-26 Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca
  • 2024-12-15 Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara
  • 2023-02-11 Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara
  • 2022-08-20 Santa Clara 1–2 Arouca
  • 2022-04-15 Arouca 1–1 Santa Clara
League standing · 2025/26
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
Santa Clara#13 pos36 pts34 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.38
Santa Clara scored0.94
Arouca conceded1.88
Santa Clara conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v Santa Clara?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Santa Clara was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Santa Clara?
In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Santa Clara?
Recent form — Arouca 3W 0D 2L; Santa Clara 2W 1D 2L.

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