Guimaraes v Nacional result
Team pages: Guimaraes · Nacional · Head-to-head
Guimaraes 2–1 Nacional — Guimaraes won this Primeira Liga match.
The result
Guimaraes beat Nacional 2–1 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Friday 2 January. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Nacional out-shot Guimaraes 14 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.50 xG to 0.87 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Guimaraes: Noah Saviolo (70’, assisted by Tony Strata) and R. Abascal (87’, assisted by Noah Saviolo); Nacional: Chiheb Labidi (90’, assisted by Lucas João).
Discipline
A. Narciso showed four yellow cards — against 6.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Guimaraes: Tony Strata (90+6’); Nacional: Kaique (25’), Daniel Júnior (36’) and L. Vallier (90+6’).
What it changes
Guimaraes have scored 39 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Guimaraes have conceded 51 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.
Nacional have scored 37 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Nacional have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 19 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Noah Saviolo (Guimaraes) 9.8, Gonçalo Nogueira (Guimaraes) 6.1 and João Aurélio (Nacional) 5.2 led the match.
Next up
Guimaraes next host Estrela on 28 November 2026.
Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Guimaraes: Vitória SC v Estrela, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Guimaraes 2–1 Nacional · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
- Referee: A. Narciso
- Head-to-head (last 6): Guimaraes 2 · draws 2 · Nacional 2 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Guimaraes 1W 2D 2L · Nacional 1W 1D 3L
Guimaraes 2–1 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Guimaraes for / against | Line | Nacional for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.43 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.29 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.57 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 17.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.43 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.71 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.71 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.71 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Narciso — 6.13 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 30.38 fouls over 8 matches.
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Guimaraes
Guimaraes Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Castillo | 12 | 901080 min | 383.2 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Castillo n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Guimaraes Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Maga | 16 | 781246 min | 251.8 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 503.6 /90 | 151.1 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| R. Abascal | 15 | 901350 min | 201.3 /90 | 151 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 523.5 /90 | 211.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| João Mendes | 14 | 841172 min | 262 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 463.5 /90 | 181.4 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| Óscar Rivas | 11 | 90990 min | 60.5 /90 | 161.5 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 333 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Miguel Nóbrega | 5 | 77385 min | 20.5 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 194.4 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 72.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | Léo Santos |
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.3 | Léo Santos |
| João Mendes n 8 | 80.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | Léo Santos |
| Telmo Arcanjo n 8 | 59.6 | 0.6 | 3.4 | Paulinho Bóia |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 51.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | C. Ramírez |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 72.1 | 1.9 |
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 80.6 | 1.8 |
| Telmo Arcanjo n 8 | 59.6 | 1.7 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 51.5 | 0.2 |
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Guimaraes Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nélson Oliveira | 14 | 57796 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 91 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| O. Camara | 12 | 57686 min | 30.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 81 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 81 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| A. Ndoye | 12 | 40481 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 132.4 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 30.6 /90 |
| Fabio Blanco | 7 | 44309 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.7 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 82.3 /90 |
| Vando Félix | 6 | 53319 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 72.1 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 80.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Telmo Arcanjo n 8 | 59.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 51.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 72.1 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 80.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Telmo Arcanjo n 8 | 59.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 51.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
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Nacional
Nacional Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | 9 | 90810 min | 252.8 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Lucas França | 6 | 90540 min | 183 /90 | 101.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kaique n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Nacional Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Santos | 14 | 871213 min | 90.7 /90 | 131 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 604.5 /90 | 141 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| Zé Vitor | 13 | 881143 min | 201.6 /90 | 181.4 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 725.7 /90 | 211.7 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| José Gomes | 13 | 841096 min | 161.3 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 463.8 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| João Aurélio | 12 | 871043 min | 262.2 /90 | 171.5 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 635.4 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| L. Vallier | 4 | 60241 min | 31.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 114.1 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ramírez n 8 | 87.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | Nélson Oliveira |
| Paulinho Bóia n 8 | 88 | 1 | 2.6 | Telmo Arcanjo |
| Liziero n 8 | 89.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.8 | João Mendes |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 80.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ramírez n 8 | 87.3 | 0.4 |
| Paulinho Bóia n 8 | 88 | 1.7 |
| Liziero n 8 | 89.3 | 2 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 80.6 | 1.4 |
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Nacional Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ramírez | 15 | 871301 min | 90.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 362.5 /90 | 241.7 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 141 /90 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 15 | 861292 min | 20.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 211.5 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 191.3 /90 |
| Witi | 12 | 47566 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 61 /90 |
| Pablo Ruan | 9 | 62554 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 50.8 /90 |
| M. Nourani | 4 | 40161 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ramírez n 8 | 87.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Paulinho Bóia n 8 | 88 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Liziero n 8 | 89.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 80.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ramírez n 8 | 87.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Paulinho Bóia n 8 | 88 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Liziero n 8 | 89.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 80.6 | 0 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Guimaraes | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Possession | 43% |
| 0.87 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 390 | Passes | 304 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
Guimaraes Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Castillo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Miguel Nóbrega | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Abascal | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| João Mendes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Beni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| N. Saviolo | 89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 |
| Miguel Maga | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Nélson Oliveira | 59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Samu | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Diogo Sousa sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Ndoye sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Camara sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Strata sub | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| Fabio Blanco sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Nacional Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| João Aurélio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Zé Vitor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Ramírez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| José Gomes | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Liziero | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Léo Santos | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Miguel Baeza | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Daniel Júnior | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Labidi sub | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Pablo Ruan sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Francisco Gonçalves sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Vallier sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Lucas João sub | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Guimaraes v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-03 Nacional 1–2 Guimaraes
- 2024-12-23 Guimaraes 2–2 Nacional
- 2021-04-26 Nacional 1–0 Guimaraes
- 2021-01-21 Guimaraes 3–1 Nacional
- 2019-05-05 Guimaraes 2–2 Nacional
- 2019-01-02 Nacional 1–0 Guimaraes
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Guimaraes and Nacional?
- In their last 6 meetings, Guimaraes won 2, Nacional won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Guimaraes and Nacional?
- Recent form — Guimaraes 1W 2D 2L; Nacional 1W 1D 3L.
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