SC BragaArouca

SC Braga v Arouca result

Full-time · SC Braga 1–0 Arouca

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Braga 1–0 Arouca — SC Braga won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,040 of 2,725 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Braga beat Arouca 1–0 at Estádio Municipal de Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 12 April. SC Braga have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Braga: Pau Victor (66’, assisted by Fran Navarro). Gabri Martínez (82’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pau Victor’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SC Braga 0.89, Arouca 1.11, from 6 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Pereira showed four yellow cards and one red — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Braga: Gabri Martínez (72’) and Gabri Martínez (82’); Arouca: Bas Kuipers (55’) and José Fontán (90+5’).

What it changes

SC Braga have scored 64 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). SC Braga have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Arouca have scored 47 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Arouca have conceded 64 goals, the second-most of the 19 clubs.

SC Braga are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pau Victor (SC Braga) 5.0, Demir Ege Tıknaz (SC Braga) 4.3 and Fran Navarro (SC Braga) 3.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

SC Braga are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Arouca.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SC Braga or Arouca (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

SC Braga next host KuPS on 26 November 2026.

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Braga 1–0 Arouca · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga
  • Referee: C. Pereira
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Braga 5 · draws 0 · Arouca 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Braga 2W 1D 2L · Arouca 2W 0D 3L

SC Braga 1–0 Arouca (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 2.75
Corners
against 2.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.25 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.11 yellows
Referee · C. Pereira
27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Braga for / againstLineArouca for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: C. Pereira — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 27 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček38903420 min932.4 /90350.9 /9030.1 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.86/5

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke34842871 min361.1 /90240.8 /9090.3 /901825.7 /90561.8 /9090.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi32852727 min511.7 /90200.7 /90160.5 /90882.9 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
S. Niakaté18831487 min191.1 /90100.6 /9070.4 /90965.8 /90171 /9040.2 /90
Vitor Carvalho1373950 min100.9 /9050.5 /9070.7 /90464.4 /90161.5 /9040.4 /90
Paulo Oliveira1248581 min71.1 /90121.9 /9040.6 /90182.8 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
0.64/1
2.18/6
Lee Hyun-Ju
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.88/5
0.84/2
—
Ricardo Horta n 886.5
1.35/3
0.75/0
—
Pau Victor n 880.5
1.37/2
1.35/3
—
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
1.46/2
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.64/1
Ricardo Horta n 886.5
14/2
Pau Victor n 880.5
0.74/1
João Moutinho n 870.4
2.97/6
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ricardo Horta34802722 min160.5 /9070.2 /90531.8 /90341.1 /90662.2 /9090.3 /90
Pau Victor34672293 min70.3 /9050.2 /90351.4 /90210.8 /90220.9 /90341.3 /90
R. Zalazar32732351 min170.7 /9050.2 /90602.3 /90331.3 /90461.8 /90612.3 /90
Fran Navarro24461095 min70.6 /9000 /90191.6 /90131.1 /9030.2 /9050.4 /90
A. El Ouazzani1368884 min20.2 /9000 /90202 /9080.8 /90101 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
0.83/2
0.42/1
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Horta n 886.5
1.67/3
1.25/2
Pau Victor n 880.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Horta n 886.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Pau Victor n 880.5
00/0
0.32/0
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Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena1190990 min292.6 /90151.4 /9000 /90
João Valido990810 min252.8 /90242.7 /9010.1 /90
Nico Mantl890720 min263.3 /90182.3 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
3.16/5
João Valido n 890
38/5
Nico Mantl n 890
3.26/6

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán25842095 min291.2 /90311.3 /9080.3 /90984.2 /90301.3 /9080.3 /90
Tiago Esgaio23841927 min221 /90221 /90150.7 /901014.7 /90331.5 /9090.4 /90
B. Popović16721147 min90.7 /90110.9 /90131 /90393.1 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
A. Danté1361794 min202.3 /9050.6 /9080.9 /90394.4 /90111.2 /9000 /90
B. Kuipers1178863 min30.3 /9050.5 /9030.3 /90222.3 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Djouahra n 884.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Fukui n 888.5
0.85/1
1.76/4
—
A. Trezza n 883.8
28/3
1.26/2
—
José Fontán n 890
1.37/3
0.43/0
—
Lee Hyun-Ju n 882.6
2.68/6
3.57/6
Víctor Gómez
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.8
1.75/3
T. Fukui n 888.5
1.96/4
A. Trezza n 883.8
1.54/3
José Fontán n 890
1.66/3
Lee Hyun-Ju n 882.6
0.43/0
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero22641411 min70.4 /9020.1 /90301.9 /90151 /90110.7 /9020.1 /90
D. Nandín1653851 min10.1 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /9091 /9030.3 /90
Miguel Puche1542631 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /90101.4 /9081.1 /90
B. Mansilla1126285 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9061.9 /90
N. Djouahra28812260 min60.2 /9030.1 /90311.2 /90180.7 /90261 /90291.2 /90
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Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.8
1.16/2
0.54/0
T. Fukui n 888.5
0.85/1
0.31/1
A. Trezza n 883.8
1.25/3
0.73/2
José Fontán n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 882.6
15/2
0.54/0
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
T. Fukui n 888.5
00/0
00/0
A. Trezza n 883.8
0.32/0
00/0
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 882.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC BragaArouca
62%Possession38%
0.89Expected goals (xG)1.11
6Shots9
2Shots on target1
1Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box5
6Corners5
5Offsides1
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Saves1
651Passes381
88%Pass accuracy82%

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Horníček9000000007
Gabriel Moscardo9000000307.3
B. Arrey-Mbi9000000006.9
Víctor Gómez9000000107.2
Demir Ege Tıknaz9000003107.5
M. Dorgeles9000101006.9
Fran Navarro8901001006.2
João Moutinho7600000007
Leonardo Lelo6300001006.3
Ricardo Horta6300110006.7
Vitor Carvalho4500000007.2
Paulo Oliveira sub4500000007.2
Pau Victor sub2710110007.7
Gabri Martínez sub19000000RY4.5
Jean-Baptiste Gorby sub1400000006.7
Yanis da Rocha sub1000000006.7

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Vinarčík9000000006.2
Javi Sánchez9000100307
José Fontán90000002Y6.6
N. Djouahra9000101006.3
E. van Ee9000001207
Barbero9000211205.3
Tiago Esgaio8900100206.9
T. Fukui8500000006.6
Lee Hyun-Ju8500000006.9
B. Kuipers65000010Y6.5
Pablo Gozálbez6500001206.9
A. Danté sub2500000006.2
A. Trezza sub2500001006.3
Pedro Santos sub1400000006.7
Mateo Flores sub1400000006.7
F. Mayulu sub800100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Braga v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC BragaLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
AroucaLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Braga 5 · 0 draws · Arouca 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-01 Arouca 0–4 SC Braga
  • 2025-03-29 SC Braga 2–1 Arouca
  • 2024-11-03 Arouca 1–2 SC Braga
  • 2024-04-06 SC Braga 0–3 Arouca
  • 2023-11-12 Arouca 0–1 SC Braga
  • 2023-02-19 SC Braga 2–0 Arouca
League standing · 2025/26
SC Braga#4 pos59 pts34 pl+28 GD
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
SC Braga scored1.88
Arouca scored1.38
SC Braga conceded1.06
Arouca conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Braga v Arouca?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Braga v Arouca was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and Arouca?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Braga won 5, Arouca won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Arouca?
Recent form — SC Braga 2W 1D 2L; Arouca 2W 0D 3L.

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