AtalantaBologna

Atalanta v Bologna result

Full-time · Atalanta 0–1 Bologna

Serie A · · Gewiss Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atalanta · Bologna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atalanta 0–1 Bologna — Bologna won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Atalanta 0.87, Bologna 1.07 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bologna won 1–0 at Gewiss Stadium in Serie A on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Bologna: Riccardo Orsolini (78’, assisted by Jonathan Rowe).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Riccardo Orsolini’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

D. Perenzoni showed two yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Atalanta: Mario Pašalić (77’); Bologna: Tommaso Pobega (52’).

What it changes

Atalanta stay seventh after this result (37 league matches played). Atalanta have scored 51 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Atalanta have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bologna stay eighth after this result (37 league matches played). Bologna have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bologna have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bologna are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jonathan Rowe (Bologna) 5.8, Juan Miranda (Bologna) 5.7 and Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atalanta to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Bologna next travel to Parma on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bologna: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atalanta 0–1 Bologna · Serie A
  • Venue: Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo
  • Referee: D. Perenzoni
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 2 · draws 1 · Bologna 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 1W 3D 1L · Bologna 1W 1D 3L

Atalanta 0–1 Bologna (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.71 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.29 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.14 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.57 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineBologna for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 3.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
14.14 for · 12.14 against n 7
19.5standard
12 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 4.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.29 for · 9.57 against n 7
21.5standard
13.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: D. Perenzoni.

Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi48904320 min1483.1 /90541.1 /9030.1 /90
M. Sportiello390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
3.15/3

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Djimsiti42773249 min571.6 /90551.5 /90270.7 /901835.1 /90210.6 /9060.2 /90
I. Hien37742751 min632.1 /90431.4 /90240.8 /901444.7 /90431.4 /9060.2 /90
O. Kossounou28651817 min311.5 /90221.1 /90130.6 /90623.1 /90241.2 /9030.1 /90
G. Scalvini26751960 min492.3 /90452.1 /90130.6 /901225.6 /90341.6 /9020.1 /90
H. Ahanor26631642 min422.3 /90251.4 /90120.7 /901266.9 /90261.4 /9020.1 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. de Roon n 873.1
1.16/1
0.21/0
—
D. Zappacosta n 877.8
15/2
0.11/0
—
N. Krstović n 870.6
36/5
0.83/1
—
B. Djimsiti n 877.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Juan Miranda
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. de Roon n 873.1
2.38/4
D. Zappacosta n 877.8
0.75/0
N. Krstović n 870.6
15/1
B. Djimsiti n 877.8
2.77/5
Éderson n 872.1
1.96/4
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Krstović44532351 min110.4 /9060.2 /90893.4 /90431.6 /90261 /90200.8 /90
C. De Ketelaere37752779 min50.2 /9070.2 /90381.2 /90210.7 /90842.7 /90591.9 /90
Gianluca Scamacca34581967 min140.6 /9020.1 /90663 /90311.4 /90251.1 /90140.6 /90
K. Sulemana25461146 min30.2 /9010.1 /90221.7 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90262 /90
L. Samardžić24521240 min50.4 /9020.1 /90241.7 /90120.9 /90332.4 /90201.5 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
M. de Roon n 873.1
00/0
00/0
D. Zappacosta n 877.8
1.24/2
0.43/0
N. Krstović n 870.6
38/5
1.46/2
B. Djimsiti n 877.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
M. de Roon n 873.1
00/0
0.21/0
D. Zappacosta n 877.8
0.32/0
00/0
N. Krstović n 870.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
B. Djimsiti n 877.8
00/0
00/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski25892216 min502 /90180.7 /9010 /90
F. Ravaglia23872009 min673 /90411.8 /9010 /90
M. Pessina488352 min71.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.96/2
F. Ravaglia n 882.4
2.36/3

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Miranda40823269 min541.5 /90421.2 /9070.2 /901474 /90361 /9090.2 /90
J. Lucumí39823200 min641.8 /90481.4 /90150.4 /901684.7 /90250.7 /9070.2 /90
N. Zortea35682388 min331.2 /90240.9 /9070.3 /901033.9 /90341.3 /9020.1 /90
T. Heggem32832660 min451.5 /90291 /9090.3 /901163.9 /90411.4 /9020.1 /90
M. Vitík26731889 min472.2 /90241.1 /9090.4 /901195.7 /90401.9 /9050.2 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Castro n 871.5
1.35/2
26/4
—
R. Orsolini n 858.9
1.35/1
2.36/4
—
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.84/2
1.25/3
B. Djimsiti
J. Lucumí n 880.6
1.15/3
0.84/2
—
N. Moro n 869.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
0.21/0
R. Orsolini n 858.9
1.14/2
Juan Miranda n 884.4
2.47/5
J. Lucumí n 880.6
1.36/3
N. Moro n 869.5
0.84/1
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Castro45683048 min90.3 /9020.1 /90631.9 /90260.8 /90381.1 /90170.5 /90
J. Rowe37582139 min70.3 /9020.1 /90451.9 /90200.8 /90301.3 /90662.8 /90
F. Bernardeschi31561751 min60.3 /9010.1 /90412.1 /90180.9 /90442.3 /90341.7 /90
T. Dallinga25481197 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.2 /90120.9 /90211.6 /9040.3 /90
B. Domínguez1444618 min00 /9020.3 /9081.2 /9020.3 /9081.2 /90152.2 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
1.45/3
0.52/1
R. Orsolini n 858.9
2.15/3
14/1
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.73/2
0.42/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
N. Moro n 869.5
1.87/3
0.32/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
00/0
00/0
R. Orsolini n 858.9
0.42/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 884.4
00/0
0.42/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
00/0
0.11/0
N. Moro n 869.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AtalantaBologna
45%Possession55%
0.76Expected goals (xG)0.69
10Shots10
1Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box7
2Corners5
3Offsides1
17Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves1
401Passes479
84%Pass accuracy83%

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000006.9
G. Scalvini9000000507
B. Djimsiti9000100106.2
H. Ahanor9000000306.7
Éderson9000000307.2
N. Krstović9000111106.5
D. Zappacosta8800002206.9
C. De Ketelaere8200202207.7
G. Raspadori6400001006.7
M. de Roon6300000306.6
N. Zalewski6300100306.9
M. Pašalić sub27000011Y6.7
Y. Musah sub2700000206.9
K. Sulemana sub2600101006.3
M. Bakker sub800000006.6
S. Kolašinac sub20000000–

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ł. Skorupski9000000007.6
João Mário9000002007
E. Helland9000100007
T. Heggem9000000107.3
Juan Miranda9000002307.6
R. Freuler9000000006.6
L. Ferguson9000001106.7
J. Rowe8801221006.9
T. Pobega69000001Y6.9
F. Bernardeschi6900211006.5
S. Castro6900111006.7
N. Moro sub2100000006.9
R. Orsolini sub2110210107.3
T. Dallinga sub2100000006.2
B. Domínguez sub20000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaDDLDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BolognaLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atalanta 2 · 1 draw · Bologna 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-07 Bologna 0–2 Atalanta
  • 2025-04-13 Atalanta 2–0 Bologna
  • 2025-02-04 Atalanta 0–1 Bologna
  • 2024-09-28 Bologna 1–1 Atalanta
  • 2024-03-03 Atalanta 1–2 Bologna
  • 2023-12-23 Bologna 1–0 Atalanta
League standing · 2025/26
Atalanta#7 pos59 pts38 pl+15 GD
Bologna#8 pos56 pts38 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.34
Bologna scored1.29
Atalanta conceded0.95
Bologna conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atalanta 0.87 xG from 10 shots, Bologna 1.07 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nikola Krstovic 93' · 0.31 xGSantiago Castro 45' · 0.30 xGKamaldeen Sulemana 75' · 0.11 xGBerat Gjimshiti 23' · 0.11 xGEivind Helland 21' · 0.10 xGJonathan Rowe 39' · 0.08 xGGiacomo Raspadori 57' · 0.08 xGNikola Krstovic 16' · 0.07 xGNikola Krstovic 3' · 0.06 xGCharles De Ketelaere 61' · 0.05 xGNicola Zalewski 33' · 0.04 xGDavide Zappacosta 82' · 0.04 xGJonathan Rowe 32' · 0.03 xGFederico Bernardeschi 66' · 0.03 xGRiccardo Orsolini 89' · 0.03 xGJoão Mário 40' · 0.02 xGFederico Bernardeschi 30' · 0.02 xGFederico Bernardeschi 47' · 0.01 xGCharles De Ketelaere 27' · 0.01 xGRiccardo Orsolini 77' · 0.46 xG · goal
Atalanta (attacking right)Bologna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atalanta1000.87
Bologna1011.07

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Atalanta 0.29, Bologna 0.54. At full time, xG was level: Atalanta 0.87, Bologna 1.07. The widest gap was 0.51 xG to Bologna, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bologna 77 min
Atalanta 0.87 xGBologna 1.07 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atalanta v Bologna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Bologna was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Bologna?
In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 2, Bologna won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Bologna?
Recent form — Atalanta 1W 3D 1L; Bologna 1W 1D 3L.

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