This Matchweek

ComoParma

Como v Parma result

Full-time · Como 2–1 Parma

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Como · Parma · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Como 2–1 Parma — Como won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Como: 3.85 to 1.55 in expected goals, from 28 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 12th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Como beat Parma 2–1 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A on Monday 14 September. Como are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Parma are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Como led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Como: Jacobo Ramón Naveros (23’, assisted by N. Paz) and Kaiki (83’, assisted by Máximo Perrone); Parma: David Romero (90’, assisted by Pontus Almqvist).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jacobo Ramón Naveros’s goal on 23 minutes.

Discipline

Giuseppe Mucera, Italy showed one yellow card — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Como: Maxence Caqueret (76’).

What it changes

Como stay first after this result (four league matches played). Como have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Como have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Parma move down from 15th to 17th (four league matches played). Parma have scored eight goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Parma have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kaiki (Como) 10.6, N. Paz (Como) 7.8 and Máximo Perrone (Como) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Como are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Como to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Como next travel to Inter on 8 November 2026.

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Como: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Como 2–1 Parma · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como
  • Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Como 2 · draws 3 · Parma 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Como 4W 1D 0L · Parma 1W 1D 3L

Como 2–1 Parma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.25 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameComo for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.75our book
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
17.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy.

Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jean Butez490360 min71.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 890
1.64/2

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álex Valle490360 min20.5 /9061.5 /9030.8 /9061.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Jacobo Ramón Naveros490360 min82 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
T. Chalobah490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90164 /9000 /9000 /90
Yan Couto478311 min41.2 /9020.6 /9000 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Kempf22549 min00 /9000 /9000 /9035.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
0.96/1
0.83/1
E. Del Prato
Álex Valle n 882
0.53/1
0.84/1
—
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
—
T. Chalobah n 490
00/0
0.31/0
—
N. Paz n 881.9
1.97/3
1.14/2
E. Touré
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
1.68/5
T. Chalobah n 490
1.53/2
Álex Valle n 882
1.25/2
N. Paz n 881.9
3.47/6
Yan Couto n 477.8
1.23/1
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Douvikas478311 min30.9 /9000 /9082.3 /9061.7 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
M. Kean22549 min00 /9011.8 /9011.8 /9000 /9023.7 /9000 /90
N. Paz485340 min10.3 /9020.5 /90102.6 /9030.8 /9061.6 /9092.4 /90
Assane Diao470280 min31 /9010.3 /9092.9 /9041.3 /9061.9 /90123.9 /90
Lucas Da Cunha464256 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9041.4 /9020.7 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
1.16/1
0.42/1
T. Chalobah n 490
0.52/0
0.31/0
Álex Valle n 882
0.42/1
0.11/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 881.9
2.17/6
0.53/1
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Valle n 882
00/0
0.11/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Chalobah n 490
00/0
00/0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 881.9
0.11/0
0.42/1
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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi490360 min143.5 /9041 /9000 /90
G. Daffara19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.16/5

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato490360 min41 /9061.5 /9041 /9092.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Valeri490360 min102.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90153.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
M. Troilo489355 min41 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90123 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
D. Drobnic290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9042 /9000 /90
L. Valenti268135 min10.7 /9032 /9000 /9032 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ordoñez n 878.3
0.62/1
1.66/2
—
E. Touré n 574.4
0.51/1
1.23/1
N. Paz
Mandela Keita n 872
0.63/1
2.26/4
—
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.63/1
0.63/1
—
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 878.3
2.45/5
E. Touré n 574.4
0.51/1
Mandela Keita n 872
2.26/3
E. Valeri n 876.8
2.16/4
E. Del Prato n 886.9
17/1
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Touré574372 min00 /9010.2 /9041 /9020.5 /9030.7 /9041 /90
S. Lontani462249 min31.1 /9000 /9062.2 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9041.4 /90
M. Frigan344131 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
David Romero343128 min00 /9000 /9053.5 /9032.1 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Fabbian268135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 878.3
0.74/1
00/0
E. Touré n 574.4
13/1
0.52/0
Mandela Keita n 872
0.53/0
0.32/0
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.62/2
0.11/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 878.3
00/0
00/0
E. Touré n 574.4
00/0
0.21/0
Mandela Keita n 872
0.21/0
00/0
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Del Prato n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ComoParma
64%Possession36%
2.98Expected goals (xG)1.15
29Shots12
7Shots on target4
10Shots off target7
12Blocked shots1
25Shots inside the box7
11Corners4
4Offsides2
8Fouls4
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves5
656Passes362
90%Pass accuracy81%

Como Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Robert Sánchez9000000006.9
Yan Couto9000221006.9
Jacobo Ramón Naveros9010110107.3
M. Kempf9000201006.9
Kaiki9010312308.3
M. Perrone9001104207.9
Lucas Da Cunha8000005207.5
N. Paz8001202508.2
M. Kean6400111106.6
Assane Diao5500002007.2
M. Baturina5500101007.7
Jesús Rodríguez sub3500211207.3
M. Caqueret sub35000010Y6.7
T. Douvikas sub2600111006.3
Luis Milla sub1000100006.5
S. Ricci sub1000002006.3

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Corvi9000000008.7
Diego Carlos9000000007.2
M. Troilo9000000107.2
E. Del Prato9000001006.2
Mandela Keita9000102106.3
E. Valeri9000002107.3
Sascha Britschgi8000100006
S. Lontani8000200106.5
Vincent Sierro6400101006.9
N. Elphege6400101006.6
E. Touré5500111106.7
M. Frigan sub3500001006.3
Adrián Bernabé sub2600000006.3
David Romero sub2610430007.3
G. Fabbian sub1000000006.2
P. Almqvist sub1001001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Como v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ComoWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1 conceded per game
ParmaWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Como 2 · 3 draws · Parma 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Como 1–0 Parma
  • 2025-10-25 Parma 0–0 Como
  • 2025-05-03 Parma 0–1 Como
  • 2024-10-19 Como 1–1 Parma
  • 2024-02-24 Como 1–1 Parma
  • 2023-10-20 Parma 2–1 Como
League standing · 2026/27
Como#4 pos23 pts10 pl+10 GD
Parma#15 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Como scored1.8
Parma scored0.8
Como conceded0.8
Parma conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Como 3.85 xG from 28 shots, Parma 1.55 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

David Romero 66' · 0.53 xGTasos Douvikas 82' · 0.52 xGSimone Lontani 45' · 0.39 xGJesús Rodriguez 82' · 0.31 xGYan Couto 87' · 0.27 xGKaiki 74' · 0.25 xGMáximo Perrone 82' · 0.13 xGKaiki 39' · 0.13 xGMatija Frigan 64' · 0.11 xGMoise Kean 13' · 0.10 xGMartin Baturina 41' · 0.09 xGNico Paz 61' · 0.09 xGJesús Rodriguez 56' · 0.08 xGJesús Rodriguez 82' · 0.08 xGNico Paz 17' · 0.07 xGJesús Rodriguez 55' · 0.06 xGLuis Milla 88' · 0.06 xGJesús Rodriguez 71' · 0.06 xGNico Paz 18' · 0.05 xGVincent Sierro 44' · 0.05 xGNesta Elphege 47' · 0.05 xGJesús Rodriguez 72' · 0.05 xGLucas Da Cunha 52' · 0.04 xGMoise Kean 33' · 0.04 xGMáximo Perrone 12' · 0.03 xGMarc-Oliver Kempf 22' · 0.03 xGDavid Romero 77' · 0.03 xGDavid Romero 69' · 0.03 xGMandela Keita 5' · 0.02 xGMartin Baturina 27' · 0.02 xGNico Paz 72' · 0.02 xGEl Bilal Touré 0' · 0.02 xGNico Paz 22' · 0.01 xGSascha Britschgi 51' · 0.01 xGMarc-Oliver Kempf 11' · 0.01 xGYan Couto 21' · 0.01 xGSimone Lontani 50' · 0.01 xGJacobo Ramón 22' · 0.87 xG · goalKaiki 82' · 0.33 xG · goalDavid Romero 91' · 0.31 xG · goal
Como (attacking right)Parma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Como2823.85
Parma1211.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Como led on xG, 1.48 to 0.47. At full time, Como led on xG, 3.85 to 1.55. The widest gap was 2.61 xG to Como, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.91.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Como 22 minGoal - Como 82 minGoal - Parma 91 min
Como 3.85 xGParma 1.55 xGdots = goals · 40 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Como v Parma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Como v Parma was Home win (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Como and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Como won 2, Parma won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Como and Parma?
Recent form — Como 4W 1D 0L; Parma 1W 1D 3L.

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