Fluminense v Flamengo result

Full-time · Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio do Maracanã

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fluminense · Flamengo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo — Flamengo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Flamengo won 2–1 at Estádio do Maracanã in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

Flamengo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Flamengo: Pedro (7’, assisted by Samuel Lino; 51’, assisted by Samuel Lino); Fluminense: Jefferson Savarino (76’). Jorge Carrascal (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fluminense 1.12, Flamengo 2.30, from 19 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Raphael Claus, Brazil showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fluminense: Martinelli (38’) and R. Castillo (89’); Flamengo: Evertton Araujo (90+1’), Luiz Araujo (90+1’) and Bruno Henrique (90+2’).

What it changes

Fluminense move down from third to fourth (11 league matches played). Fluminense are winless in their last three matches.

Flamengo move up from fourth to second (10 league matches played). Flamengo have won their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Samuel Lino (Flamengo) 9.8, Pedro (Flamengo) 9.5 and G. Plata (Flamengo) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fluminense or Flamengo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Fluminense next host Santos on 18 October 2026.

Flamengo next travel to Bahia on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fluminense: Fluminense v Santos, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Flamengo: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fluminense 2 · draws 2 · Flamengo 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fluminense 2W 2D 1L · Flamengo 3W 1D 1L

Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 4.43
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.75 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.88 yellows
Referee · Raphael Claus, Brazil
2 home / 1.88 away
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFluminense for / againstLineFlamengo for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.43 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
17.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
6.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.14 for · 13.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil — 3.88 yellow cards a game, 0.19 red cards, 22.56 fouls over 16 matches (2 to the home side, 1.88 to the away side).

Fluminense
Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Canobbio n 878.8
2.77/6
0.94/2
—
Hercules n 874.4
2.68/6
0.51/1
—
Facundo Bernal n 834
2.65/2
1.32/1
—
R. Castillo n 836.1
2.22/2
2.26/1
—
Martinelli n 876.6
1.97/4
0.94/2
—
Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
John Kennedy n 860.3
4.37/7
3.47/7
G. Cano n 830.9
2.65/2
1.13/0
L. Acosta n 874.9
2.37/4
1.16/1
A. Canobbio n 878.8
1.76/6
0.63/1
Jefferson Savarino n 874.5
1.75/3
0.94/2
Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Acosta n 874.9
0.32/0
0.52/1
John Kennedy n 860.3
0.63/0
00/0
R. Castillo n 836.1
0.62/0
00/0
A. Canobbio n 878.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
Hercules n 874.4
0.53/0
00/0
Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Canobbio n 878.8
2.97/4
Rene n 893.6
2.37/7
Hercules n 874.4
2.38/4
Guilherme Arana n 871.5
1.76/4
J. Freytes n 890
1.67/4
Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabio n 890
2.86/6
Flamengo
Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. de la Cruz n 833.9
23/2
3.35/2
—
Alex Sandro n 880.1
1.86/3
15/2
—
Everton n 846.6
1.75/2
1.43/2
—
Wallace Yan n 832.6
1.75/0
3.16/3
—
Luiz Araujo n 827
1.74/0
2.12/1
—
Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Henrique n 850.8
2.46/3
1.14/1
G. de Arrascaeta n 872.4
2.28/3
0.93/2
Everton n 846.6
2.27/1
0.73/0
Wallace Yan n 832.6
2.13/2
0.71/1
Lucas Paquetá n 861.8
25/3
0.94/1
Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luiz Araujo n 827
0.41/0
0.41/0
Pedro n 871.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
G. Plata n 855.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Samuel Lino n 853.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
G. de Arrascaeta n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. de Arrascaeta n 872.4
2.57/6
Samuel Lino n 853.5
2.13/2
Luiz Araujo n 827
2.13/2
E. Pulgar n 885
1.96/5
Emerson Royal n 880.1
1.77/5
Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 890.6
1.94/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FluminenseFlamengo
60%Possession40%
1.12Expected goals (xG)2.30
19Shots17
6Shots on target9
6Shots off target5
7Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box11
8Corners2
2Offsides1
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
6Saves5
608Passes405
90%Pass accuracy87%

Fluminense player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fabio9800000007.7
Jemmes9800100006.2
J. Freytes9800100106.6
Hercules9800222107.2
A. Canobbio9800002207.5
K. Serna9800001005.9
Samuel Xavier8600000106.3
Rene8600211106.6
Martinelli65000012Y6.2
John Kennedy6500000106.5
L. Acosta70000000–
PH Ganso sub9100113006.7
Jefferson Savarino sub3310222008.3
R. Castillo sub33003000Y5.6
Guilherme Arana sub1200000006.6
Guga sub1200001006.6

Flamengo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Rossi9800000006.6
G. Varela9800000306.7
Leo Pereira9800100106.6
Alex Sandro9800000205.9
Evertton Araujo98001001Y7.2
Lucas Paquetá9800111307.6
Leo Ortiz8100001207
Pedro8120431108.2
G. Plata7300331707.2
G. de Arrascaeta7300113307.2
Samuel Lino6702104208.5
Bruno Henrique sub31001011Y6.6
N. de la Cruz sub2500000106.6
Jorge Carrascal sub22001110R6.2
Danilo sub1700000006.6
Luiz Araujo sub17000001Y6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fluminense v Flamengo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FluminenseLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
FlamengoWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fluminense 2 · 2 draws · Flamengo 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-20 Fluminense 2–1 Flamengo
  • 2025-07-20 Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense
  • 2024-10-17 Flamengo 0–2 Fluminense
  • 2024-06-23 Fluminense 0–1 Flamengo
  • 2023-11-11 Flamengo 1–1 Fluminense
  • 2023-07-16 Fluminense 0–0 Flamengo
League standing · 2026
Fluminense#4 pos51 pts30 pl+11 GD
Flamengo#1 pos64 pts30 pl+33 GD
Goals per game
Fluminense scored1.6
Flamengo scored1.93
Fluminense conceded1.23
Flamengo conceded0.83

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Fluminense vs Flamengo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fluminense v Flamengo was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Flamengo?
In their last 6 meetings, Fluminense won 2, Flamengo won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fluminense and Flamengo?
Recent form — Fluminense 2W 2D 1L; Flamengo 3W 1D 1L.

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