Modena v Cesena result
The model’s pre-match pick
Modena 3–0 Cesena — Modena won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Modena beat Cesena 3–0 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 24 October. Cesena are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
Modena led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Modena: A. Belotti (19’, assisted by G. Brugman; 32’, assisted by D. Tonoli); Cesena: an own goal by G. Frabotta (35’). A. Fiori (5’) was sent off.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Modena 2.19, Cesena 0.18, from 19 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Cesena: M. Ilić (20’).
What it changes
Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Cesena have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Cesena have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.
Modena have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Belotti (Modena) 9.1, G. Brugman (Modena) 7.3 and D. Tonoli (Modena) 5.6 led the match.
Head-to-head
Cesena are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Modena, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Modena or Cesena (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.
Cesena next host Catanzaro on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Cesena: Cesena v Catanzaro, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Modena 3–0 Cesena · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
- Referee: Dario Madonia
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Modena 0 · draws 2 · Cesena 2 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Modena 2W 1D 2L · Cesena 0W 4D 1L
Modena 3–0 Cesena (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Modena for / against | Line | Cesena for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Dario Madonia.
Modena
Modena Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | 8 | 90720 min | 243 /90 | 111.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Modena Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Nieling | 8 | 90720 min | 151.9 /90 | 111.4 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 384.8 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Tonoli | 8 | 90720 min | 131.6 /90 | 81 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 354.4 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| S. Nador | 8 | 85682 min | 141.8 /90 | 152 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 435.7 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Zampano | 7 | 76535 min | 101.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 193.2 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| F. Folino | 2 | 3671 min | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 67.6 /90 | 22.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 1 | D. Bisoli |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 | A. Ciofi |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | C. Shpendi |
| S. Nador n 8 | 85.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | M. Ilić |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 0.4 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 85.3 | 1.8 |
| G. Caso n 8 | 80.4 | 0.1 |
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Modena Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ambrosino | 8 | 87693 min | 40.5 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 243.1 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 182.3 /90 | 60.8 /90 |
| G. Caso | 8 | 80643 min | 30.4 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 121.7 /90 |
| G. Olzer | 7 | 65458 min | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 132.6 /90 | 51 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 51 /90 |
| A. Belotti | 4 | 32128 min | 32.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 53.5 /90 | 42.8 /90 | 21.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Stênio | 2 | 2243 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 85.3 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 85.3 | 0 | 0 |
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Cesena
Cesena Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Siano | 8 | 90720 min | 293.6 /90 | 101.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Siano n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Cesena Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ciofi | 8 | 88705 min | 40.5 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 172.2 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Ilić | 8 | 86691 min | 91.2 /90 | 162.1 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 395.1 /90 | 81 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| G. Frabotta | 7 | 56389 min | 71.6 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 204.6 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| J. Gelli | 6 | 90540 min | 50.8 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 325.3 /90 | 61 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| M. Mangraviti | 6 | 76455 min | 71.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 51 /90 | 183.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Siano n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| D. Bisoli n 8 | 89.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | D. Tonoli |
| A. Ciofi n 8 | 88.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Bryant Nieling |
| M. Ilić n 8 | 86.4 | 1 | 1 | S. Nador |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 85.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | G. Ambrosino |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bisoli n 8 | 89.4 | 0.9 |
| A. Ciofi n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 |
| M. Ilić n 8 | 86.4 | 1.2 |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 85.9 | 0.4 |
| R. Pagano n 8 | 77.1 | 2.2 |
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Cesena Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shpendi | 8 | 86687 min | 60.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 141.8 /90 | 101.3 /90 | 121.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| L. D'Andrea | 4 | 47187 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 31.4 /90 |
| A. Debenedetti | 4 | 2391 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 |
| D. Bisoli | 8 | 89715 min | 00 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| R. Pagano | 8 | 77617 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Siano n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Bisoli n 8 | 89.4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| A. Ciofi n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| M. Ilić n 8 | 86.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 85.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Siano n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Bisoli n 8 | 89.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| A. Ciofi n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ilić n 8 | 86.4 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Shpendi n 8 | 85.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Modena | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 2.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.18 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 664 | Passes | 288 |
Modena Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| F. Folino | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Paulo Azzi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Nador | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Olzer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| G. Brugman | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Bryant Nieling | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Ambrosino | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| A. Bianco | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Belotti | 57 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 |
| D. Tonoli | 45 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Antonio Imputato | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| W. Acquah | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Montevago | 33 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Bacchin | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Bozhanaj | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
Cesena Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Siano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| A. Ciofi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Gelli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| G. Frabotta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4.4 |
| M. Francesconi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Matteo Guidi | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.5 |
| D. Bisoli | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.1 |
| C. Shpendi | 61 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Ilić | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.6 |
| L. D'Andrea | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Xavello Druiventak | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.7 |
| M. Mangraviti | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Bohinen | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| A. Debenedetti | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| M. Dalla Vecchia | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| A. Fiori | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Modena v Cesena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Modena 0–0 Cesena
- 2025-11-28 Cesena 1–0 Modena
- 2025-05-13 Modena 0–1 Cesena
- 2024-09-13 Cesena 2–2 Modena
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Modena v Cesena?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Cesena was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Cesena?
- In their last 4 meetings, Modena won 0, Cesena won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Modena and Cesena?
- Recent form — Modena 2W 1D 2L; Cesena 0W 4D 1L.
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