Modena v Empoli result
The model’s pre-match pick
Modena 2–1 Empoli — Modena won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away fouls total over 11.5.
The result
Modena beat Empoli 2–1 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 20 September.
The goals
Modena came from behind: Empoli led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Empoli: Gerard Yepes (27’); Modena: A. Belotti (61’, assisted by D. Tonoli) and G. Ambrosino (70’, assisted by A. Bianco).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Ambrosino’s goal on 70 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Modena 1.72, Empoli 0.71, from 22 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Andrea Calzavara, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Modena: G. Olzer (47’) and A. Bianco (66’); Empoli: L. Magnino (20’) and C. Cauz (82’).
What it changes
Modena move down from third to fourth (five league matches played). Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Empoli move down from eighth to 12th (five league matches played). Empoli have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Empoli have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Tonoli (Modena) 9.7, Gerard Yepes (Empoli) 6.6 and S. Nador (Modena) 6.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Empoli fouls total over 11.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.
Empoli next travel to Padova on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Empoli: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Modena 2–1 Empoli · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
- Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Modena 1 · draws 1 · Empoli 0 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Modena 2W 1D 2L · Empoli 2W 1D 2L
Modena 2–1 Empoli (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Modena for / against | Line | Empoli for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.57 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.14 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.86 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.86 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 28.25 fouls over 8 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Modena
Modena Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | 5 | 90450 min | 142.8 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Modena Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Nieling | 5 | 90450 min | 91.8 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 214.2 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Tonoli | 5 | 90450 min | 81.6 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 193.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| S. Nador | 5 | 89446 min | 81.6 /90 | 102 /90 | 51 /90 | 224.4 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Zampano | 5 | 78389 min | 81.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 153.5 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| G. Brugman | 5 | 78389 min | 51.2 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 122.8 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 84.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | C. Cauz |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | L. Magnino |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| S. Nador n 8 | 89.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | C. Cauz |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 81.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | E. Saporiti |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 |
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 89.5 | 1.6 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 81.8 | 0.4 |
| F. Zampano n 8 | 73.3 | 1.4 |
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Modena Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ambrosino | 5 | 86430 min | 30.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 142.9 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 132.7 /90 | 51 /90 |
| G. Caso | 5 | 76380 min | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 102.4 /90 | 61.4 /90 | 71.7 /90 | 81.9 /90 |
| G. Olzer | 4 | 79316 min | 20.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 92.6 /90 | 41.1 /90 | 41.1 /90 | 41.1 /90 |
| Stênio | 2 | 2243 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.1 /90 |
| A. Belotti | 1 | 2222 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 14.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 89.5 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 81.8 | 2.9 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tonoli n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 89.5 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 81.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
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Empoli
Empoli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti | 4 | 90360 min | 153.8 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti n 5 | 90 | 3.6 |
Empoli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cauz | 4 | 90360 min | 82 /90 | 71.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 153.8 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Magnino | 4 | 90360 min | 71.8 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 143.5 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| M. Curto | 4 | 79315 min | 20.6 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 113.1 /90 | 72 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| S. Romagnoli | 1 | 4545 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 36 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Saporiti | 4 | 84335 min | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 164.3 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cauz n 4 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.5 | S. Nador |
| L. Magnino n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 1 | Bryant Nieling |
| J. Seghetti n 5 | 90 | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 67.9 | 1 | 1.7 | G. Ambrosino |
| M. Curto n 8 | 82.4 | 1.5 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Cauz n 4 | 90 | 2 |
| L. Magnino n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 67.9 | 0.8 |
| M. Curto n 8 | 82.4 | 2 |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 79.9 | 3.5 |
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Empoli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Shpendi | 4 | 71282 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.9 /90 | 31 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| B. Popov | 4 | 26102 min | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.6 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 |
| J. Ceesay | 3 | 59177 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 |
| F. Distefano | 3 | 58174 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 52.6 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| E. Saporiti | 4 | 84335 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.1 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 82.1 /90 | 61.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Magnino n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| C. Cauz n 4 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Seghetti n 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 67.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| M. Curto n 8 | 82.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cauz n 4 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| L. Magnino n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Seghetti n 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 67.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| M. Curto n 8 | 82.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Modena | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 1.72 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.71 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 533 | Passes | 345 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
Modena Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Tonoli | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Nador | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Bryant Nieling | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Zampano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Bianco | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| G. Caso | 83 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Paulo Azzi | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Ambrosino | 83 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Brugman | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Olzer | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Belotti sub | 35 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Santoro sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Stênio sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| W. Acquah sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Folino sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Empoli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| N. Corrado | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Romagnoli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Cauz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| J. Ceesay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Zedadka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Saporiti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Magnino | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Y | 6.9 |
| Gerard Yepes | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| E. Biondini | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Shpendi | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Popov sub | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Distefano sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Deli sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| L. Belardinelli sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Modena v Empoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-31 Empoli 0–0 Modena
- 2025-10-24 Modena 2–1 Empoli
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Modena v Empoli?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Empoli was Away fouls total over 11.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Empoli?
- In their last 2 meetings, Modena won 1, Empoli won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Modena and Empoli?
- Recent form — Modena 2W 1D 2L; Empoli 2W 1D 2L.
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