ModenaMantova

Modena v Mantova result

Full-time · Modena 1–1 Mantova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Modena · Mantova

The model’s pre-match pick

Modena 1–1 Mantova — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Modena and Mantova drew 1–1 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 31 October. Modena have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Modena: A. Belotti (52’, assisted by G. Ambrosino); Mantova: M. Spinaccè (84’, assisted by D. Bragantini).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Spinaccè’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Modena, from fewer shots (10 to 12), created the better chances, 1.36 xG to 0.64 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Modena: A. Bianco (47’), Antonio Imputato (66’) and G. Brugman (81’); Mantova: N. Radaelli (26’) and S. Trimboli (34’).

What it changes

Modena stay second after this result (10 league matches played). Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Mantova stay fourth after this result (10 league matches played). Mantova have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Ambrosino (Modena) 6.8, A. Belotti (Modena) 6.1 and M. Spinaccè (Mantova) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Modena are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Mantova, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Mantova next host Hellas Verona on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Mantova: Mantova v Hellas Verona, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Modena 1–1 Mantova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
  • Referee: Francesco Fourneau
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Modena 3 · draws 1 · Mantova 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Modena 4W 0D 1L · Mantova 2W 1D 2L

Modena 1–1 Mantova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.88 / 3.88
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.88 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameModena for / againstLineMantova for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
19.88 for · 8.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Francesco Fourneau.

Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Chichizola1090900 min272.7 /90111.1 /9000 /90
Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 890
2.47/2

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bryant Nieling1089889 min161.6 /90151.5 /9020.2 /90424.3 /9070.7 /9000 /90
S. Nador1086862 min181.9 /90202.1 /9090.9 /90596.2 /90121.3 /9000 /90
D. Tonoli985765 min141.6 /9080.9 /9060.7 /90374.4 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
F. Zampano871571 min101.6 /9010.2 /9000 /90193 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
F. Folino463251 min31.1 /9000 /9010.4 /90186.5 /9062.2 /9010.4 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Bryant Nieling n 888.6
0.85/1
0.32/0
S. Cella
S. Nador n 885.3
1.58/2
0.94/2
A. Castellini
G. Ambrosino n 885.8
1.25/3
2.17/5
F. Ruocco
A. Bianco n 881.1
1.96/3
1.56/3
F. Benaissa-Yahia
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bryant Nieling n 888.6
1.55/3
S. Nador n 885.3
2.18/5
G. Ambrosino n 885.8
0.43/0
A. Bianco n 881.1
1.95/4
G. Brugman n 870.8
1.35/3
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Ambrosino1085849 min50.5 /9020.2 /90303.2 /90111.2 /90202.1 /90101.1 /90
G. Caso978698 min30.4 /9030.4 /90172.2 /9081 /90131.7 /90131.7 /90
G. Olzer971636 min20.3 /9010.1 /90142 /9050.7 /90101.4 /9081.1 /90
A. Belotti646273 min62 /9000 /90103.3 /9072.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Antonio Imputato556279 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
Bryant Nieling n 888.6
0.95/1
0.43/0
S. Nador n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 885.8
3.47/5
1.25/4
A. Bianco n 881.1
1.77/3
0.64/0
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
Bryant Nieling n 888.6
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 885.3
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 885.8
0.43/0
0.31/1
A. Bianco n 881.1
00/0
0.11/0
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Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi1190990 min312.8 /9090.8 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
3.28/6

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cella1190990 min171.5 /90111 /9050.5 /90494.5 /90181.6 /9030.3 /90
A. Castellini1189976 min191.8 /90151.4 /9020.2 /90444.1 /90111 /9030.3 /90
Bodin Tomašević1080796 min161.8 /9080.9 /9040.5 /90485.4 /90131.5 /9030.3 /90
T. Del Lungo360179 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Cella n 890
1.87/3
0.64/1
Bryant Nieling
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
0.94/2
0.96/1
A. Bianco
A. Castellini n 888.3
0.65/0
0.43/0
S. Nador
F. Ruocco n 869.5
1.97/4
1.65/4
G. Ambrosino
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
1.87/5
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
1.98/5
A. Castellini n 888.3
1.96/4
F. Ruocco n 869.5
0.53/0
R. Ilie n 866.4
2.26/3
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ruocco1172791 min70.8 /9000 /90222.5 /90131.5 /90111.3 /9060.7 /90
R. Ilie1165710 min10.1 /9030.4 /90162 /9060.8 /90232.9 /90141.8 /90
E. Gliozzi1156616 min20.3 /9010.1 /90182.6 /9081.2 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
D. Bragantini846369 min10.2 /9030.7 /9092.2 /9051.2 /90112.7 /9051.2 /90
V. Vlahović632189 min21 /9010.5 /9083.8 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
0.93/2
0.43/0
F. Ruocco n 869.5
2.47/6
1.36/2
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cella n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
00/0
0.32/0
F. Ruocco n 869.5
0.64/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ModenaMantova
53%Possession47%
1.36Expected goals (xG)0.64
10Shots12
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target7
4Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box8
0Corners7
2Offsides0
14Fouls23
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
446Passes390

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Chichizola9000000006.1
F. Folino9000000106.3
S. Nador9000000107
Bryant Nieling9000000406.3
Paulo Azzi9000000106.2
Antonio Imputato90003000Y6.1
S. Santoro9000000106.6
G. Brugman90001003Y6.4
G. Ambrosino8601312207.7
A. Belotti7010312007.9
A. Bianco62000001Y6.3
W. Acquah2800000106.5
G. Olzer2000000005.9
D. Montevago400000006.6

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000006.3
Bodin Tomašević9000100306.3
S. Cella9000001106.8
A. Castellini9000321106.6
S. Trimboli90000030Y7
F. Benaissa-Yahia9000101206.4
F. Ruocco7900200006.5
D. Bragantini4501101006.6
R. Kouda4500003006.7
M. Spinaccè4510310208.2
N. Radaelli45000000Y6
J. Longonda4500000006.4
R. Ilie4500000205.9
E. Gliozzi4500100006.1
V. Vlahović1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Modena v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ModenaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MantovaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Modena 3 · 1 draw · Mantova 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Modena 2–1 Mantova
  • 2025-09-20 Mantova 1–3 Modena
  • 2025-02-01 Modena 3–1 Mantova
  • 2024-11-30 Mantova 0–0 Modena
League standing · 2026/27
Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD
Mantova#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Modena scored1.8
Mantova scored1.5
Modena conceded1
Mantova conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Modena v Mantova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Mantova was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Mantova?
In their last 4 meetings, Modena won 3, Mantova won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Modena and Mantova?
Recent form — Modena 4W 0D 1L; Mantova 2W 1D 2L.

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