SudtirolModena

Sudtirol v Modena result

Full-time · Sudtirol 1–1 Modena

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Druso

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sudtirol 1–1 Modena — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sudtirol and Modena drew 1–1 at Stadio Druso in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 12 September. Sudtirol are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sudtirol led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sudtirol: Alvin Okoro (35’, assisted by S. Molina); Modena: G. Ambrosino (88’, assisted by D. Tonoli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Ambrosino’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sudtirol 0.73, Modena 0.95, from 11 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Paride Tremolada, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sudtirol: Fabio Rispoli (22’), S. Tronchin (63’) and Giacomo Stabile (72’); Modena: D. Tonoli (90+2’).

What it changes

Sudtirol have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sudtirol have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sudtirol have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Ambrosino (Modena) 6.9, S. Molina (Sudtirol) 6.6 and Vasco Lopes (Sudtirol) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sudtirol are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Modena.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sudtirol next travel to Pisa on 7 November 2026.

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sudtirol: Pisa v Sudtirol, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sudtirol 1–1 Modena · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Druso · Bozen
  • Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sudtirol 1 · draws 4 · Modena 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sudtirol 2W 3D 0L · Modena 2W 0D 3L

Sudtirol 1–1 Modena (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.14 / 3.63
Corners
against 5 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 4.38 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.17 yellows
Referee · Paride Tremolada, Italy
26.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSudtirol for / againstLineModena for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.14 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 14.71 against n 7
21.5standard
14.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy — 5.17 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 26.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sudtirol

Sudtirol Goalkeeper

Sudtirol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Plizzari390270 min82.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Sudtirol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Plizzari n 390
2.73/2

Sudtirol Defensive

Sudtirol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Giorgini390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9031 /9031 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Stivanello390270 min00 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9062 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Molina390270 min31 /9031 /9000 /9062 /9031 /9000 /90
B. Bjarkason382246 min31.1 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.9 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Veroli374222 min41.6 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Sudtirol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Tronchin n 880
1.77/3
1.15/2
—
S. Molina n 889
1.16/3
1.46/4
—
A. Giorgini n 790
13/3
00/0
S. Nador
R. Stivanello n 390
12/1
12/1
Bryant Nieling
A. Plizzari n 390
00/0
0.31/0
—
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Sudtirol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Tronchin n 880
2.78/7
S. Molina n 889
1.56/3
A. Giorgini n 790
1.36/2
R. Stivanello n 390
00/0
B. Bjarkason n 382
1.11/1
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Sudtirol Attacking

Sudtirol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burnete33194 min11 /9000 /9021.9 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Merkaj288176 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9031.5 /90
S. Tronchin390270 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Fabio Rispoli374221 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
Vasco Lopes359176 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /9031.5 /90
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Sudtirol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Giorgini n 790
0.73/1
0.31/1
S. Tronchin n 880
0.64/0
0.11/0
S. Molina n 889
0.53/1
00/0
A. Plizzari n 390
00/0
00/0
R. Stivanello n 390
00/0
00/0
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Sudtirol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Plizzari n 390
00/0
00/0
A. Giorgini n 790
00/0
00/0
R. Stivanello n 390
00/0
00/0
S. Molina n 889
00/0
00/0
S. Tronchin n 880
00/0
00/0
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Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Chichizola490360 min123 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 890
2.86/2

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bryant Nieling490360 min71.8 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90174.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
D. Tonoli490360 min71.8 /9041 /9010.3 /90153.8 /9041 /9010.3 /90
S. Nador489356 min71.8 /9082 /9041 /90174.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
F. Zampano478312 min61.7 /9000 /9000 /90133.8 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
G. Brugman475299 min41.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90103 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Tonoli n 884.4
1.25/3
0.74/1
—
Bryant Nieling n 884.4
1.16/1
0.32/0
R. Stivanello
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Nador n 890.3
0.75/1
0.54/0
A. Giorgini
G. Ambrosino n 881.8
1.76/3
2.58/6
—
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bryant Nieling n 884.4
1.97/5
D. Tonoli n 884.4
1.65/5
S. Nador n 890.3
2.17/5
G. Ambrosino n 881.8
0.31/1
F. Zampano n 874.9
1.15/2
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Ambrosino485340 min20.5 /9020.5 /90112.9 /9041.1 /90112.9 /9041.1 /90
G. Caso473291 min20.6 /9010.3 /9072.2 /9030.9 /9072.2 /9051.5 /90
G. Olzer380239 min20.8 /9000 /9062.3 /9041.5 /9041.5 /9041.5 /90
Stênio22243 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.1 /90
G. Brugman475299 min00 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90103 /9030.9 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 884.4
1.15/3
0.11/0
Bryant Nieling n 884.4
0.52/1
0.11/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 890.3
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 881.8
2.97/5
14/3
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
Bryant Nieling n 884.4
00/0
00/0
D. Tonoli n 884.4
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 890.3
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 881.8
0.42/1
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SudtirolModena
51%Possession49%
0.73Expected goals (xG)0.95
11Shots18
3Shots on target8
5Shots off target8
3Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box10
5Corners8
0Offsides3
15Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Saves2
455Passes442
87%Pass accuracy89%

Sudtirol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Plizzari9000000007.9
R. Stivanello9000001307.3
A. Giorgini9000111106.9
S. Molina9001103207.6
S. Tronchin90000014Y7.2
B. Bjarkason9000001207.2
Giacomo Stabile79000000Y6.3
Fabio Rispoli79001010Y6.5
Vasco Lopes6800202207.2
A. Okoro6810210007.2
Kevin Zeroli6000000006.5
R. Burnete sub3000110106.5
K. Mixtur sub2200000106.2
S. Davì sub2200000006.2
D. Veroli sub1100000006.3
F. Tait sub1100000106.5

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Chichizola9000000006.9
D. Tonoli90011131Y7
S. Nador9000000107.2
Bryant Nieling9000111207.2
G. Brugman9000001107.2
G. Ambrosino9010322108
A. Bianco8900412406.2
G. Caso8900330007.2
F. Zampano7700100206.3
G. Olzer7700300206.5
S. Santoro6800003106.7
A. Belotti sub2200001006.3
Paulo Azzi sub1300000206.7
Antonio Imputato sub1300000106.7
L. Bacchin sub10000000–
W. Acquah sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sudtirol v Modena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SudtirolDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
ModenaLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sudtirol 1 · 4 draws · Modena 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Sudtirol 1–1 Modena
  • 2025-11-23 Modena 0–0 Sudtirol
  • 2024-12-29 Modena 0–0 Sudtirol
  • 2024-08-17 Sudtirol 2–1 Modena
  • 2024-04-27 Modena 1–0 Sudtirol
  • 2023-09-26 Sudtirol 0–0 Modena
League standing · 2026/27
Sudtirol#10 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD
Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Sudtirol scored1.1
Modena scored1.8
Sudtirol conceded1
Modena conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sudtirol v Modena?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sudtirol v Modena was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sudtirol and Modena?
In their last 6 meetings, Sudtirol won 1, Modena won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Modena?
Recent form — Sudtirol 2W 3D 0L; Modena 2W 0D 3L.

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