Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München result
Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Bayern München · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München — Paris Saint-Germain won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
The result
Paris Saint-Germain beat Bayern München 5–4 in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 28 April. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Paris Saint-Germain led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Harry Kane (17’ pen), Michael Olise (41’, assisted by Aleksandar Pavlović), Dayotchanculle Upamecano (65’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich) and L. Díaz (68’, assisted by Harry Kane); Paris Saint-Germain: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (24’, assisted by Désiré Doué; 56’, assisted by A. Hakimi), João Neves (33’, assisted by O. Dembélé) and O. Dembélé (45’ pen; 58’, assisted by Désiré Doué).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s nine key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Dembélé’s goal on 45 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bayern München, from fewer shots (10 to 12), created the better chances, 3.06 xG to 1.90 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
Discipline
S. Scharer showed three yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Paris Saint-Germain: Marquinhos (12’), Fabián Ruiz (77’) and A. Hakimi (80’).
What it changes
Paris Saint-Germain have scored 45 goals, the third-most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 23 goals, the 26th-fewest of the 82 clubs.
Bayern München have scored 43 goals, the most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 20 goals, the 30th-fewest (shared) of the 82 clubs.
Paris Saint-Germain have won their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain) 12.1, L. Díaz (Bayern München) 11.8 and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Paris Saint-Germain) 11.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.
Next up
Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.
Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München · UEFA Champions League
- Referee: S. Scharer
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 1 · draws 0 · Bayern München 5 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L · Bayern München 5W 0D 0L
Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Paris Saint-Germain for / against | Line | Bayern München for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 8.13 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.75 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 21.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 8.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 7.63 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Scharer.
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chevalier | 24 | 902160 min | 431.8 /90 | 241 /90 | 10 /90 |
| M. Safonov | 21 | 901890 min | 512.4 /90 | 190.9 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chevalier n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Paris Saint-Germain Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Pacho | 41 | 853501 min | 762 /90 | 421.1 /90 | 230.6 /90 | 1533.9 /90 | 150.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Nuno Mendes | 40 | 712843 min | 622 /90 | 321 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 1996.3 /90 | 270.9 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| A. Hakimi | 35 | 812821 min | 431.4 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 1043.3 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| I. Zabarnyi | 31 | 802484 min | 341.2 /90 | 170.6 /90 | 120.4 /90 | 843 /90 | 190.7 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| Marquinhos | 29 | 802309 min | 281.1 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 1003.9 /90 | 160.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Zaïre-Emery n 8 | 74.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | J. Kimmich |
| Vitinha n 8 | 75.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | J. Kimmich |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 64.3 | 1.4 | 0 | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia n 8 | 65.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | L. Díaz |
| W. Pacho n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.3 | J. Tah |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Zaïre-Emery n 8 | 74.6 | 1.7 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 75.3 | 1.3 |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 64.3 | 1.2 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia n 8 | 65.1 | 2.6 |
| W. Pacho n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Barcola | 45 | 622769 min | 120.4 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 722.3 /90 | 431.4 /90 | 732.4 /90 | 591.9 /90 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | 44 | 612704 min | 160.5 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 882.9 /90 | 491.6 /90 | 561.9 /90 | 742.5 /90 |
| D. Doué | 38 | 612316 min | 130.5 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 622.4 /90 | 341.3 /90 | 622.4 /90 | 622.4 /90 |
| O. Dembélé | 34 | 531786 min | 170.9 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 643.2 /90 | 331.7 /90 | 703.5 /90 | 251.3 /90 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 32 | 481525 min | 100.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 623.7 /90 | 362.1 /90 | 171 /90 | 201.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Zaïre-Emery n 8 | 74.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 75.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 64.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia n 8 | 65.1 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| W. Pacho n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Zaïre-Emery n 8 | 74.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 75.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 64.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia n 8 | 65.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| W. Pacho n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Bayern München
Bayern München Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | 39 | 883420 min | 832.2 /90 | 391 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Urbig | 16 | 841350 min | 453 /90 | 181.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Ulreich | 1 | 9090 min | 66 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer n 8 | 78.8 | 2.7 |
| J. Urbig n 8 | 84.4 | 3.2 |
Bayern München Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tah | 46 | 813726 min | 481.2 /90 | 411 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 1473.6 /90 | 591.4 /90 | 90.2 /90 |
| K. Laimer | 43 | 743166 min | 852.4 /90 | 270.8 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 1464.2 /90 | 561.6 /90 | 140.4 /90 |
| D. Upamecano | 42 | 773230 min | 962.7 /90 | 421.2 /90 | 110.3 /90 | 1764.9 /90 | 411.1 /90 | 90.3 /90 |
| J. Stanišić | 40 | 773090 min | 481.4 /90 | 310.9 /90 | 80.2 /90 | 1193.5 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | 24 | 581380 min | 161 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 312 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olise n 8 | 67.9 | 1 | 3.1 | — |
| H. Kane n 8 | 68.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Kimmich n 8 | 86.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | Vitinha |
| J. Tah n 8 | 77.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | W. Pacho |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 71.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | K. Kvaratskhelia |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Olise n 8 | 67.9 | 0.3 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 68.9 | 0.7 |
| J. Kimmich n 8 | 86.1 | 2 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 77.4 | 1.3 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 71.3 | 1.1 |
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Bayern München Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | 50 | 793928 min | 561.3 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 1493.4 /90 | 1082.5 /90 | 671.5 /90 | 521.2 /90 |
| N. Jackson | 21 | 531122 min | 100.8 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 403.2 /90 | 272.2 /90 | 211.7 /90 | 100.8 /90 |
| M. Olise | 51 | 773936 min | 220.5 /90 | 270.6 /90 | 1162.7 /90 | 781.8 /90 | 1282.9 /90 | 1192.7 /90 |
| J. Kimmich | 48 | 833980 min | 20 /90 | 100.2 /90 | 290.7 /90 | 140.3 /90 | 1032.3 /90 | 160.4 /90 |
| L. Díaz | 45 | 813630 min | 250.6 /90 | 170.4 /90 | 962.4 /90 | 611.5 /90 | 922.3 /90 | 892.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olise n 8 | 67.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 68.9 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| J. Kimmich n 8 | 86.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 77.4 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 71.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olise n 8 | 67.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 68.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| J. Kimmich n 8 | 86.1 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 77.4 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 71.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Paris Saint-Germain | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 1.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.06 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 371 | Passes | 504 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Hakimi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| W. Pacho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| João Neves | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Dembélé | 90 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Nuno Mendes | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | 84 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| D. Doué | 70 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Fabián Ruiz sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| B. Barcola sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Hernández sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Senny Mayulu sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Bayern München Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
| J. Stanišić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Upamecano | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Tah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Olise | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| L. Díaz | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 |
| H. Kane | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 |
| A. Pavlović | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Musiala | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Davies | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| K. Laimer sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Goretzka sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Jackson sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-04 Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Bayern München
- 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain 2–0 Bayern München
- 2024-11-26 Bayern München 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2023-03-08 Bayern Munich 2–0 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2023-02-14 Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Bayern Munich
- 2021-04-13 Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Bayern Munich
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern München?
- In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Bayern München won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern München?
- Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L; Bayern München 5W 0D 0L.
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