Paris Saint GermainBayern München

Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München result

Full-time · Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München

UEFA Champions League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München — Paris Saint-Germain won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Paris Saint-Germain beat Bayern München 5–4 in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 28 April. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Paris Saint-Germain led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Harry Kane (17’ pen), Michael Olise (41’, assisted by Aleksandar Pavlović), Dayotchanculle Upamecano (65’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich) and L. Díaz (68’, assisted by Harry Kane); Paris Saint-Germain: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (24’, assisted by Désiré Doué; 56’, assisted by A. Hakimi), João Neves (33’, assisted by O. Dembélé) and O. Dembélé (45’ pen; 58’, assisted by Désiré Doué).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s nine key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Dembélé’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bayern München, from fewer shots (10 to 12), created the better chances, 3.06 xG to 1.90 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

S. Scharer showed three yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Paris Saint-Germain: Marquinhos (12’), Fabián Ruiz (77’) and A. Hakimi (80’).

What it changes

Paris Saint-Germain have scored 45 goals, the third-most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 23 goals, the 26th-fewest of the 82 clubs.

Bayern München have scored 43 goals, the most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 20 goals, the 30th-fewest (shared) of the 82 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain) 12.1, L. Díaz (Bayern München) 11.8 and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Paris Saint-Germain) 11.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München · UEFA Champions League
  • Referee: S. Scharer
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 1 · draws 0 · Bayern München 5 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L · Bayern München 5W 0D 0L

Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 Bayern München (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 3.5
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 8.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7 / 8.63
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParis Saint-Germain for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
3.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
8.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
21.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
7 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
8.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: S. Scharer.

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Chevalier24902160 min431.8 /90241 /9010 /90
M. Safonov21901890 min512.4 /90190.9 /9010 /90
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chevalier n 890
2.15/3
M. Safonov n 890
34/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Pacho41853501 min762 /90421.1 /90230.6 /901533.9 /90150.4 /9000 /90
Nuno Mendes40712843 min622 /90321 /9070.2 /901996.3 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
A. Hakimi35812821 min431.4 /90220.7 /9030.1 /901043.3 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
I. Zabarnyi31802484 min341.2 /90170.6 /90120.4 /90843 /90190.7 /9060.2 /90
Marquinhos29802309 min281.1 /90170.7 /90130.5 /901003.9 /90160.6 /9000 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Zaïre-Emery n 874.6
0.64/0
0.95/1
J. Kimmich
Vitinha n 875.3
0.75/0
0.63/1
J. Kimmich
B. Barcola n 864.3
1.46/2
00/0
—
K. Kvaratskhelia n 865.1
1.25/2
2.25/3
L. Díaz
W. Pacho n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Tah
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 874.6
1.77/3
Vitinha n 875.3
1.36/3
B. Barcola n 864.3
1.24/2
K. Kvaratskhelia n 865.1
2.66/4
W. Pacho n 890
1.86/3
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Barcola45622769 min120.4 /9070.2 /90722.3 /90431.4 /90732.4 /90591.9 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia44612704 min160.5 /9090.3 /90882.9 /90491.6 /90561.9 /90742.5 /90
D. Doué38612316 min130.5 /9040.2 /90622.4 /90341.3 /90622.4 /90622.4 /90
O. Dembélé34531786 min170.9 /9090.5 /90643.2 /90331.7 /90703.5 /90251.3 /90
Gonçalo Ramos32481525 min100.6 /9010.1 /90623.7 /90362.1 /90171 /90201.2 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Vitinha n 875.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
B. Barcola n 864.3
2.37/4
1.87/3
K. Kvaratskhelia n 865.1
4.18/8
2.98/7
W. Pacho n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
Vitinha n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
B. Barcola n 864.3
0.74/0
0.21/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 865.1
1.25/2
0.53/0
W. Pacho n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer39883420 min832.2 /90391 /9000 /90
J. Urbig16841350 min453 /90181.2 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 878.8
2.74/2
J. Urbig n 884.4
3.25/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah46813726 min481.2 /90411 /90270.7 /901473.6 /90591.4 /9090.2 /90
K. Laimer43743166 min852.4 /90270.8 /9090.3 /901464.2 /90561.6 /90140.4 /90
D. Upamecano42773230 min962.7 /90421.2 /90110.3 /901764.9 /90411.1 /9090.3 /90
J. Stanišić40773090 min481.4 /90310.9 /9080.2 /901193.5 /90140.4 /9040.1 /90
Raphaël Guerreiro24581380 min161 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90312 /9080.5 /9000 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 867.9
14/1
3.17/7
—
H. Kane n 868.9
0.84/1
0.72/2
—
J. Kimmich n 886.1
0.32/0
1.35/3
Vitinha
J. Tah n 877.4
1.76/4
0.11/0
W. Pacho
L. Díaz n 871.3
1.98/3
0.93/2
K. Kvaratskhelia
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 867.9
0.31/1
H. Kane n 868.9
0.74/0
J. Kimmich n 886.1
27/5
J. Tah n 877.4
1.35/2
L. Díaz n 871.3
1.14/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane50793928 min561.3 /9070.2 /901493.4 /901082.5 /90671.5 /90521.2 /90
N. Jackson21531122 min100.8 /9030.2 /90403.2 /90272.2 /90211.7 /90100.8 /90
M. Olise51773936 min220.5 /90270.6 /901162.7 /90781.8 /901282.9 /901192.7 /90
J. Kimmich48833980 min20 /90100.2 /90290.7 /90140.3 /901032.3 /90160.4 /90
L. Díaz45813630 min250.6 /90170.4 /90962.4 /90611.5 /90922.3 /90892.2 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 867.9
3.38/6
2.28/4
H. Kane n 868.9
3.88/6
2.18/4
J. Kimmich n 886.1
0.95/2
0.53/1
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 871.3
1.96/4
1.35/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 867.9
0.74/0
0.32/0
H. Kane n 868.9
1.37/1
0.21/0
J. Kimmich n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 871.3
0.64/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris Saint-GermainBayern München
43%Possession57%
1.90Expected goals (xG)3.06
12Shots10
5Shots on target8
3Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box9
2Corners5
2Offsides1
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves0
371Passes504
84%Pass accuracy84%

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Safonov9000000006.3
A. Hakimi90010022Y6
Marquinhos90000001Y6.5
W. Pacho9000000006.2
Vitinha9000003107.2
João Neves9010110206.9
O. Dembélé9021321008.3
Nuno Mendes8400100106.2
K. Kvaratskhelia8420220108.5
D. Doué7002002207.3
W. Zaïre-Emery6400002106.9
Fabián Ruiz sub26000002Y6.3
B. Barcola sub2000000006.3
L. Hernández sub1100000006.7
Senny Mayulu sub1100100006.9

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Neuer9000000005.3
J. Stanišić9000000306.2
D. Upamecano9010110306.9
J. Tah9000000006.3
J. Kimmich9001111007.3
M. Olise9010221107.6
L. Díaz9010112108.7
H. Kane9011332108.6
A. Pavlović8901002606.9
J. Musiala7900000406.5
A. Davies4500000105.9
K. Laimer sub4500100206.9
L. Goretzka sub1100000006.3
N. Jackson sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris Saint-GermainWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Paris Saint-Germain 1 · 0 draws · Bayern München 5 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-04 Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain 2–0 Bayern München
  • 2024-11-26 Bayern München 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2023-03-08 Bayern Munich 2–0 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2023-02-14 Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Bayern Munich
  • 2021-04-13 Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Paris Saint-Germain#11 pos14 pts8 pl+10 GD
Bayern München#2 pos21 pts8 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Paris Saint-Germain scored2.63
Bayern München scored2.75
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.38
Bayern München conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Bayern München won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern München?
Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L; Bayern München 5W 0D 0L.

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