AarhusSC Braga

Aarhus v SC Braga result

Full-time · Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Cepheus Park Randers

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus and SC Braga drew 0–0 at Cepheus Park Randers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: SC Braga out-shot Aarhus 26 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.35 xG to 1.53 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Florian Badstubner, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Aarhus: Magnus Knudsen (67’) and Colin Rosler (86’); SC Braga: Adrian Barišić (28’) and Diogo Travassos (73’).

What it changes

Aarhus have scored one goal, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Aarhus have conceded two goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

SC Braga have scored 10 goals, the 82nd-most of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). SC Braga have conceded three goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Hedenstad (Aarhus) 6.7, Bernardo Fontes (SC Braga) 5.0 and João Moutinho (SC Braga) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aarhus or SC Braga (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Aarhus next host AC Horsens on 8 November 2026.

SC Braga next travel to Rio Ave on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v AC Horsens, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: Rio Ave v SC Braga, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Cepheus Park Randers · Randers
  • Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · SC Braga 2W 0D 3L

Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.14 / 5
Corners
against 6.86 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2
Cards
against 2.29 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAarhus for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 6.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
11.29 for · 17 against n 7
19.5standard
15.75 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
2.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 14.57 against n 7
21.5standard
13.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.75 against n 8

Aarhus

Aarhus Goalkeeper

Aarhus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hedenstad1187960 min312.9 /90232.2 /9000 /90
J. Hansen883667 min243.2 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hedenstad n 890.6
2.76/5
J. Hansen n 883.4
3.26/4

Aarhus Defensive

Aarhus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Kahl15741113 min231.9 /90181.5 /90110.9 /90604.9 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
J. Andersen1561917 min161.6 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90424.1 /90191.9 /9010.1 /90
C. Rosler982742 min60.7 /9050.6 /9081 /90222.7 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
Tobias Mølgaard879634 min101.4 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90365.1 /9071 /9010.1 /90
F. Tingager871569 min71.1 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90436.8 /9040.6 /9000 /90
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Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
1.46/4
2.67/6
João Moutinho
Frederik Emmery n 868.9
0.52/1
1.86/3
—
M. Knudsen n 880.4
1.35/3
1.34/2
João Moutinho
T. Bech n 873.1
0.95/1
1.46/3
—
E. Kahl n 868.3
0.73/1
1.85/3
—
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Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
1.78/4
Frederik Emmery n 868.9
0.73/1
M. Knudsen n 880.4
2.47/5
T. Bech n 873.1
0.82/2
E. Kahl n 868.3
2.36/3
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Aarhus Attacking

Aarhus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Bech16711135 min10.1 /9010.1 /90161.3 /9050.4 /90191.5 /9060.5 /90
J. Bogere1556843 min40.4 /9010.1 /90181.9 /90111.2 /90121.3 /90111.2 /90
J. Serra1151557 min50.8 /9000 /90162.6 /9071.1 /90101.6 /9040.6 /90
S. Jorgensen1069691 min00 /9030.4 /90152 /9060.8 /90172.2 /9060.8 /90
S. Tchamche543217 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9000 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
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Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
1.35/4
0.32/0
Frederik Emmery n 868.9
26/2
0.52/1
M. Knudsen n 880.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Bech n 873.1
1.55/4
0.53/0
E. Kahl n 868.3
0.32/0
00/0
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Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Frederik Emmery n 868.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Knudsen n 880.4
0.11/0
00/0
T. Bech n 873.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
E. Kahl n 868.3
00/0
00/0
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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bernardo Fontes14911272 min221.6 /90100.7 /9000 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890
1.63/2

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke1190993 min121.1 /90131.2 /9040.4 /90565.1 /90111 /9020.2 /90
Vitor Carvalho1180885 min40.4 /90161.6 /9030.3 /90525.3 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
Sergio Barcia874595 min40.6 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90233.5 /90142.1 /9030.5 /90
Adrian Bajrami874594 min162.4 /9071.1 /9040.6 /90294.4 /90162.4 /9020.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi569343 min102.6 /9030.8 /9000 /90153.9 /9051.3 /9000 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bernardo Fontes n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 875
0.96/0
0.96/0
—
João Moutinho n 874.4
1.76/4
1.25/3
M. Knudsen
Pau Victor n 878.8
1.95/4
1.66/4
—
G. Lagerbielke n 888.9
1.47/4
0.96/1
—
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 875
0.93/3
João Moutinho n 874.4
1.85/3
Pau Victor n 878.8
0.64/0
G. Lagerbielke n 888.9
15/2
Vitor Carvalho n 875.5
0.63/1
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pau Victor1377998 min50.5 /9010.1 /90181.6 /90131.2 /90141.3 /90121.1 /90
Ricardo Horta978698 min10.1 /9000 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90233 /9030.4 /90
Gabri Martínez948428 min20.4 /9000 /90112.3 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9081.7 /90
Fran Navarro763439 min10.2 /9000 /9091.8 /9030.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90
J. Milošević651308 min00 /9000 /90113.2 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9041.2 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 875
1.25/2
0.52/1
João Moutinho n 874.4
0.63/1
00/0
Pau Victor n 878.8
1.76/5
15/1
G. Lagerbielke n 888.9
0.84/2
0.42/1
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 875
0.21/0
0.32/0
João Moutinho n 874.4
00/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 878.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Lagerbielke n 888.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AarhusSC Braga
56%Possession44%
1.53Expected goals (xG)2.35
13Shots26
5Shots on target9
3Shots off target11
5Blocked shots6
11Shots inside the box19
2Corners7
2Offsides2
7Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
9Saves5
503Passes386
86%Pass accuracy84%

Aarhus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hedenstad8900000009.9
Tobias Mølgaard8900000007.3
C. Rosler89000000Y6.7
Luka Callø8900000207.6
Kristian Arnstad8900102307.5
M. Knudsen89000011Y7.2
S. Jorgensen8500100106.2
C. McCowatt7100112108.2
S. Tchamche7000110006.3
R. Carstensen6000211006.5
G. Links6000001007.2
J. Andersen sub2900000106.7
Frederik Emmery sub2900222007.2
J. Bogere sub1900000006.3
T. Bech sub1800001006.7
M. Solbakken sub40000000–

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bernardo Fontes8900000007.5
Víctor Gómez8900001206.9
A. Barišić89002003Y7.2
G. Lagerbielke8900310207.5
Diogo Travassos89001112Y7.3
João Moutinho8900003407.2
Jean-Baptiste Gorby8900102106.9
Gabri Martínez8900424008.2
Ricardo Horta7700106006.9
Pau Victor7700211106.9
M. Dorgeles6200431107.2
J. Wind sub2700100006.7
Diego Rodrigues sub1200000106.9
Fran Navarro sub1200110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SC BragaLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Aarhus#24 pos2 pts3 pl-1 GD
SC Braga#17 pos4 pts3 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored0.33
SC Braga scored0.67
Aarhus conceded0.67
SC Braga conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v SC Braga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v SC Braga was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Aarhus and SC Braga?
Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; SC Braga 2W 0D 3L.

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