Aarhus v SC Braga result
The model’s pre-match pick
Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Aarhus and SC Braga drew 0–0 at Cepheus Park Randers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: SC Braga out-shot Aarhus 26 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.35 xG to 1.53 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time.
Discipline
Florian Badstubner, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Aarhus: Magnus Knudsen (67’) and Colin Rosler (86’); SC Braga: Adrian Barišić (28’) and Diogo Travassos (73’).
What it changes
Aarhus have scored one goal, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Aarhus have conceded two goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.
SC Braga have scored 10 goals, the 82nd-most of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). SC Braga have conceded three goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Hedenstad (Aarhus) 6.7, Bernardo Fontes (SC Braga) 5.0 and João Moutinho (SC Braga) 4.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Aarhus or SC Braga (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Aarhus next host AC Horsens on 8 November 2026.
SC Braga next travel to Rio Ave on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v AC Horsens, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: Rio Ave v SC Braga, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Venue: Cepheus Park Randers · Randers
- Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · SC Braga 2W 0D 3L
Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aarhus for / against | Line | SC Braga for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.14 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.29 for · 17 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.75 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.57 for · 14.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Aarhus
Aarhus Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hedenstad | 11 | 87960 min | 312.9 /90 | 232.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Hansen | 8 | 83667 min | 243.2 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Hedenstad n 8 | 90.6 | 2.7 |
| J. Hansen n 8 | 83.4 | 3.2 |
Aarhus Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kahl | 15 | 741113 min | 231.9 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 604.9 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| J. Andersen | 15 | 61917 min | 161.6 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 424.1 /90 | 191.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| C. Rosler | 9 | 82742 min | 60.7 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 81 /90 | 222.7 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Tobias Mølgaard | 8 | 79634 min | 101.4 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 365.1 /90 | 71 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| F. Tingager | 8 | 71569 min | 71.1 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 436.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 1.4 | 2.6 | João Moutinho |
| Frederik Emmery n 8 | 68.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | — |
| M. Knudsen n 8 | 80.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | João Moutinho |
| T. Bech n 8 | 73.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | — |
| E. Kahl n 8 | 68.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 1.7 |
| Frederik Emmery n 8 | 68.9 | 0.7 |
| M. Knudsen n 8 | 80.4 | 2.4 |
| T. Bech n 8 | 73.1 | 0.8 |
| E. Kahl n 8 | 68.3 | 2.3 |
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Aarhus Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bech | 16 | 711135 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 161.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 191.5 /90 | 60.5 /90 |
| J. Bogere | 15 | 56843 min | 40.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 181.9 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 121.3 /90 | 111.2 /90 |
| J. Serra | 11 | 51557 min | 50.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 162.6 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 101.6 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
| S. Jorgensen | 10 | 69691 min | 00 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 152 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 172.2 /90 | 60.8 /90 |
| S. Tchamche | 5 | 43217 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Frederik Emmery n 8 | 68.9 | 2 | 0.5 |
| M. Knudsen n 8 | 80.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Bech n 8 | 73.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| E. Kahl n 8 | 68.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian Arnstad n 8 | 86.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Frederik Emmery n 8 | 68.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Knudsen n 8 | 80.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Bech n 8 | 73.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| E. Kahl n 8 | 68.3 | 0 | 0 |
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SC Braga
SC Braga Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 14 | 911272 min | 221.6 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
SC Braga Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Lagerbielke | 11 | 90993 min | 121.1 /90 | 131.2 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 565.1 /90 | 111 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Vitor Carvalho | 11 | 80885 min | 40.4 /90 | 161.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 525.3 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Sergio Barcia | 8 | 74595 min | 40.6 /90 | 91.4 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 233.5 /90 | 142.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
| Adrian Bajrami | 8 | 74594 min | 162.4 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 294.4 /90 | 162.4 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | 5 | 69343 min | 102.6 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 153.9 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Víctor Gómez n 8 | 75 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| João Moutinho n 8 | 74.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | M. Knudsen |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 78.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 88.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Víctor Gómez n 8 | 75 | 0.9 |
| João Moutinho n 8 | 74.4 | 1.8 |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 78.8 | 0.6 |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 88.9 | 1 |
| Vitor Carvalho n 8 | 75.5 | 0.6 |
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SC Braga Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | 13 | 77998 min | 50.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 181.6 /90 | 131.2 /90 | 141.3 /90 | 121.1 /90 |
| Ricardo Horta | 9 | 78698 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 233 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| Gabri Martínez | 9 | 48428 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 112.3 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 81.7 /90 |
| Fran Navarro | 7 | 63439 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Milošević | 6 | 51308 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 113.2 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 41.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Víctor Gómez n 8 | 75 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| João Moutinho n 8 | 74.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 78.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 88.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Víctor Gómez n 8 | 75 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| João Moutinho n 8 | 74.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 78.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 88.9 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Aarhus | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.35 |
| 13 | Shots | 26 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 11 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 19 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 9 | Saves | 5 |
| 503 | Passes | 386 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
Aarhus Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hedenstad | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.9 |
| Tobias Mølgaard | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Rosler | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Luka Callø | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Kristian Arnstad | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| M. Knudsen | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| S. Jorgensen | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. McCowatt | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| S. Tchamche | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Carstensen | 60 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Links | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Andersen sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Frederik Emmery sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Bogere sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Bech sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Solbakken sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
SC Braga Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Víctor Gómez | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Barišić | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.2 |
| G. Lagerbielke | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Diogo Travassos | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| João Moutinho | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Gabri Martínez | 89 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Ricardo Horta | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pau Victor | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Dorgeles | 62 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Wind sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Diego Rodrigues sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Fran Navarro sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Aarhus v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v SC Braga?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v SC Braga was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Aarhus and SC Braga?
- Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; SC Braga 2W 0D 3L.
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