Crystal PalaceFiorentina

Crystal Palace v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina — Crystal Palace won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crystal Palace beat Fiorentina 3–0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 9 April. Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Crystal Palace led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta (24’ pen), Tyrick Mitchell (31’) and Ismaïla Sarr (90’, assisted by Daichi Kamada).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jean-Philippe Mateta’s goal on 24 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Crystal Palace 3.05, Fiorentina 0.45, from 17 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rumsas showed three yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Christopher Richards (76’); Fiorentina: Dodô (21’) and Roberto Piccoli (69’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace have scored 24 goals, the 21st-most of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Crystal Palace have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 90 clubs.

Fiorentina have scored 25 goals, the 13th-most of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Fiorentina have conceded 17 goals, the 26th-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) 6.3, Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace) 6.2 and Tyrick Mitchell (Crystal Palace) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Crystal Palace or Fiorentina (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Crystal Palace next travel to Coventry on 21 November 2026.

Fiorentina next travel to Monza on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Monza v Fiorentina, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Referee: D. Rumsas
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 2W 2D 1L · Fiorentina 4W 1D 0L

Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 4.57
Corners
against 3.57 / 4.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.43
Cards
against 2.71 / 2 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.57 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
11.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
19.5standard
13.57 for · 12 against n 7
Shots on target
3.43 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
3.86 for · 3.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
13 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
12.29 for · 14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: D. Rumsas.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson38903420 min972.6 /90401.1 /9010 /90
W. Benítez590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
35/3
W. Benítez n 590
1.42/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Lacroix39883450 min641.7 /90461.2 /90140.4 /902175.7 /90421.1 /9040.1 /90
C. Richards35893098 min792.3 /90521.5 /90190.6 /902166.3 /90210.6 /9030.1 /90
M. Guéhi30862591 min401.4 /90421.5 /90150.5 /901394.8 /90240.8 /9070.2 /90
J. Canvot17741262 min332.4 /90161.1 /90120.9 /90725.1 /90171.2 /9040.3 /90
C. Riad665387 min40.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90194.4 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 882.5
27/4
0.53/1
M. Pongračić
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Wharton n 873.5
2.16/4
0.53/0
—
T. Mitchell n 890
0.32/0
0.95/1
—
C. Richards n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Pongračić
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
1.15/1
A. Wharton n 873.5
1.56/3
T. Mitchell n 890
1.57/3
C. Richards n 890
1.56/5
Yeremy Pino n 859
13/2
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Yeremy Pino33692269 min50.2 /9040.2 /90321.3 /90170.7 /90592.3 /90241 /90
J. Mateta31792452 min90.3 /9020.1 /90622.3 /90341.2 /90120.4 /90160.6 /90
I. Sarr30842505 min120.4 /9010 /90471.7 /90271 /90180.6 /90220.8 /90
E. Nketiah1737631 min40.6 /9010.1 /90182.6 /90111.6 /90142 /9060.9 /90
B. Johnson1363823 min00 /9020.2 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90131.4 /9040.4 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
16/1
0.43/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Wharton n 873.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
T. Mitchell n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
C. Richards n 890
0.54/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Wharton n 873.5
00/0
0.63/1
T. Mitchell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Richards n 890
00/0
00/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea37903331 min1143.1 /90481.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
2.96/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić37853144 min401.1 /90421.2 /90270.8 /901434.1 /90722.1 /90110.3 /90
Dodô36853048 min260.8 /90260.8 /9030.1 /901454.3 /90190.6 /9070.2 /90
L. Ranieri34782635 min341.2 /90210.7 /90100.3 /901194.1 /90260.9 /9080.3 /90
P. Comuzzo30772302 min471.8 /90341.3 /90190.7 /901013.9 /90311.2 /9040.2 /90
R. Gosens26711841 min311.5 /90160.8 /9060.3 /90884.3 /90201 /9030.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Pongračić n 875.4
1.95/3
0.64/0
C. Richards
Dodô n 879.8
0.85/1
1.86/3
—
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
1.45/3
1.76/4
—
A. Guðmundsson n 873.4
0.94/1
1.46/2
—
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 875.4
14/3
Dodô n 879.8
0.42/1
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
26/5
A. Guðmundsson n 873.4
0.83/2
L. Ranieri n 889.9
16/1
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson35652279 min80.3 /9060.2 /90301.2 /90160.6 /90321.3 /90230.9 /90
M. Kean31742308 min80.3 /9010 /90863.4 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90281.1 /90
R. Piccoli29631815 min70.3 /9020.1 /90472.3 /90201 /90201 /9070.3 /90
J. Harrison1364828 min00 /9020.2 /9030.3 /9000 /90101.1 /90141.5 /90
E. Džeko1352680 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 875.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
2.17/5
0.64/0
A. Guðmundsson n 873.4
1.26/1
0.64/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 875.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
A. Guðmundsson n 873.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceFiorentina
52%Possession48%
3.05Expected goals (xG)0.45
17Shots8
6Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box6
3Corners1
1Offsides1
16Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
449Passes418
87%Pass accuracy83%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000007
C. Richards90000000Y7.2
M. Lacroix9000100006.9
J. Canvot9000110007.2
D. Muñoz9000105307.3
T. Mitchell9010110307.5
I. Sarr9010311108
A. Wharton8900002007.5
D. Kamada8901104207.7
J. Mateta8310421107.3
E. Guessand6500101007.5
Yeremy Pino sub2500111208
J. Lerma sub1300000106.7
B. Johnson sub10000000–
W. Hughes sub10000000–

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000006.9
Dodô90000030Y6.3
L. Ranieri9000000106.9
G. Fabbian9000101006.3
C. Ndour9000101206.9
R. Piccoli90002101Y6.3
N. Fagioli8900000206.5
A. Guðmundsson8900211006.5
M. Pongračić8200001106.2
R. Gosens7800100005.9
J. Harrison7800001006.9
J. Fazzini sub1200000006.2
L. Balbo sub1200000006.3
P. Comuzzo sub800000006.3
Rolando Mandragora sub10000000–
G. Puzzoli sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
FiorentinaWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Crystal Palace#10 pos10 pts6 pl+5 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos9 pts6 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1.83
Fiorentina scored1.33
Crystal Palace conceded1
Fiorentina conceded0.83

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Fiorentina was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Fiorentina?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 2W 2D 1L; Fiorentina 4W 1D 0L.

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