Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano

UEFA Europa Conference League · Wed, 27 May 2026 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Rayo Vallecano

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano — Crystal Palace won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 1454 landed (95% range 65.9–70.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Crystal Palace beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Wednesday 27 May.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta (51’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jean-Philippe Mateta’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Crystal Palace 2.57, Rayo Vallecano 0.52, from 11 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Mariani showed nine yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Adam Wharton (41’), Yeremy Pino (74’) and C. Riad (82’); Rayo Vallecano: Pathé Ciss (20’), Isi Palazón (23’), Unai López (48’), Álvaro García (62’), Nobel Mendy (85’) and A. Espino (90+2’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace have scored 27 goals, the 45th-most of the 164 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Crystal Palace have conceded 12 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 164 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano have scored 27 goals, the 27th-most (shared) of the 164 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 13 goals, the 19th-fewest of the 164 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) 5.2, Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) 4.6 and Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Rayo Vallecano, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (993 of 1454).

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano · UEFA Europa Conference League
Referee: M. Mariani
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L

Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.25

Corners

against 7.75 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6.63

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 3.25

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Crystal Palace for / against	Line	Rayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Mariani.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Henderson	50	904500 min	1282.6 /90	601.2 /90	10 /90
W. Benítez	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 8	90	2.5 4/4
W. Benítez n 5	90	1.4 2/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Lacroix	50	874362 min	801.7 /90	581.2 /90	220.5 /90	2735.6 /90	531.1 /90	50.1 /90
C. Richards	45	873937 min	902.1 /90	581.3 /90	230.5 /90	2626 /90	280.6 /90	50.1 /90
M. Guéhi	30	862591 min	401.4 /90	421.5 /90	150.5 /90	1394.8 /90	240.8 /90	70.2 /90
J. Canvot	28	802252 min	532.1 /90	241 /90	220.9 /90	1245 /90	271.1 /90	60.2 /90
C. Riad	10	68676 min	81.1 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90	293.9 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Henderson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
M. Lacroix n 8	86.4	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0	F. Lejeune
T. Mitchell n 8	73.1	0.3 1/1	1.1 6/1	—
A. Wharton n 8	67.6	1.3 5/2	1.2 6/1	—
C. Richards n 8	82.4	0.7 5/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	86.4	1.6 7/3
T. Mitchell n 8	73.1	4.2 6/5
A. Wharton n 8	67.6	3 6/4
C. Richards n 8	82.4	1.4 5/3
Yeremy Pino n 8	54.6	1.6 6/1
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yeremy Pino	44	652880 min	50.2 /90	50.2 /90	381.2 /90	190.6 /90	732.3 /90	300.9 /90
I. Sarr	42	793311 min	180.5 /90	10 /90	661.8 /90	401.1 /90	270.7 /90	270.7 /90
J. Mateta	42	712976 min	130.4 /90	30.1 /90	782.4 /90	431.3 /90	190.6 /90	160.5 /90
B. Johnson	21	631330 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90	181.2 /90	70.5 /90
J. Strand Larsen	20	621242 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	221.6 /90	100.7 /90	60.4 /90	120.9 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lacroix n 8	86.4	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
T. Mitchell n 8	73.1	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
A. Wharton n 8	67.6	1.3 4/3	0.8 3/2
C. Richards n 8	82.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lacroix n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Mitchell n 8	73.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. Wharton n 8	67.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
C. Richards n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Batalla	48	904320 min	1182.5 /90	491 /90	20 /90
Dani Cárdenas	6	90540 min	315.2 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.4 6/4

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	52	904664 min	881.7 /90	771.5 /90	320.6 /90	2474.8 /90	691.3 /90	90.2 /90
A. Rațiu	45	823705 min	972.4 /90	471.1 /90	100.2 /90	2315.6 /90	300.7 /90	100.2 /90
Pep Chavarría	40	843348 min	732 /90	391 /90	180.5 /90	1654.4 /90	411.1 /90	80.2 /90
A. Espino	35	672354 min	722.8 /90	281.1 /90	60.2 /90	1596.1 /90	331.3 /90	30.1 /90
N. Mendy	24	791892 min	321.5 /90	231.1 /90	241.1 /90	823.9 /90	331.6 /90	90.4 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0	M. Lacroix
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.8	1.6 4/3	1.6 5/3	—
A. Batalla n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
Isi Palazón n 8	80	1.5 6/3	2.4 7/4	—
Álvaro García n 8	59.8	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.9 8/4
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.8	1.1 5/1
Isi Palazón n 8	80	1.5 5/3
Álvaro García n 8	59.8	1.3 5/2
A. Rațiu n 8	72.4	3.3 6/6
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos	49	653209 min	110.3 /90	30.1 /90	661.9 /90	320.9 /90	441.2 /90	381.1 /90
Alemão	31	531631 min	80.4 /90	00 /90	351.9 /90	191 /90	120.7 /90	90.5 /90
Sergio Camello	24	571364 min	60.4 /90	20.1 /90	322.1 /90	171.1 /90	251.6 /90	231.5 /90
R. Nteka	10	50503 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	61.1 /90	50.9 /90	81.4 /90
Isi Palazón	46	683117 min	60.2 /90	70.2 /90	521.5 /90	230.7 /90	611.8 /90	290.8 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	2.1 7/6	1.3 7/2
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.8	2.6 5/4	0.9 3/2
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	80	2.3 6/5	1.1 5/2
Álvaro García n 8	59.8	2.3 6/4	0.9 4/1
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	80	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Álvaro García n 8	59.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal Palace		Rayo Vallecano
42%	Possession	58%
2.57	Expected goals (xG)	0.52
11	Shots	10
3	Shots on target	1
5	Shots off target	9
3	Blocked shots	1
8	Shots inside the box	3
4	Corners	1
1	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	15
3	Yellow cards	6
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
306	Passes	412
76%	Pass accuracy	80%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Canvot	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
M. Lacroix	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
C. Riad	90	0	1	0	0	3	Y	7.3
D. Muñoz	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
A. Wharton	90	0	1	1	2	1	Y	7.7
D. Kamada	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
T. Mitchell	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
I. Sarr	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Yeremy Pino	80	0	1	0	1	1	Y	7.2
J. Mateta	76	1	3	2	0	0	0	6.2
J. Strand Larsen sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Guessand sub	10	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Batalla	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
F. Lejeune	90	2	0	0	4	0	7.2
P. Ciss	90	0	0	3	1	Y	7.2
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
Alemão	90	3	1	0	0	0	6.3
Isi Palazón	77	1	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Jorge de Frutos	70	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
Álvaro García	70	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
Óscar Valentín	63	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Unai López	62	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Pedro Díaz sub	28	1	0	1	0	0	7
N. Mendy sub	27	0	0	0	0	Y	7
A. Espino sub	20	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Sergio Camello sub	20	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
Ilias Akhomach sub	13	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Crystal PalaceWDLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Rayo VallecanoWDDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Crystal Palace#10 pos10 pts6 pl+5 GD

Rayo Vallecano#5 pos13 pts6 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Crystal Palace scored1.83

Rayo Vallecano scored2.17

Crystal Palace conceded1

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Rayo Vallecano?: Recent form — Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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