Fiorentina v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 16 Apr 2026 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace — Fiorentina won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fiorentina beat Crystal Palace 2–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 April.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Ismaïla Sarr (17’, assisted by D. Muñoz); Fiorentina: Albert Guðmundsson (30’ pen) and Cher Ndour (53’, assisted by Manor Solomon).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cher Ndour’s goal on 53 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fiorentina 1.92, Crystal Palace 1.34, from 16 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Manzano showed eight yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Fiorentina: Marin Pongračić (40’), Pietro Comuzzo (45+5’), Luca Ranieri (67’), Cher Ndour (87’) and Roberto Piccoli (90+1’); Crystal Palace: Yeremy Pino (40’), Ismaïla Sarr (53’) and C. Riad (76’).

What it changes

Fiorentina have scored 25 goals, the 13th-most of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Fiorentina have conceded 17 goals, the 26th-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs.

Crystal Palace have scored 24 goals, the 21st-most of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Crystal Palace have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 90 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Albert Guðmundsson (Fiorentina) 7.4, D. Muñoz (Crystal Palace) 5.8 and Manor Solomon (Fiorentina) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fiorentina or Crystal Palace (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Fiorentina next travel to Monza on 22 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next travel to Coventry on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fiorentina: Monza v Fiorentina, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Crystal Palace: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace · UEFA Europa Conference League
Referee: J. Manzano
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Fiorentina 0 · draws 0 · Crystal Palace 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L · Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L

Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4

Corners

against 4.13 / 3.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.88 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.71

Cards

against 2 / 2.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Fiorentina for / against	Line	Crystal Palace for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 9 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.43 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: J. Manzano.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David de Gea	39	903511 min	1223.1 /90	511.3 /90	10 /90
O. Christensen	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
T. Martinelli	2	90180 min	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David de Gea n 8	90	3.2 6/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Pongračić	39	833245 min	411.1 /90	431.2 /90	280.8 /90	1454 /90	732 /90	110.3 /90
Dodô	38	853228 min	280.8 /90	270.8 /90	40.1 /90	1504.2 /90	230.6 /90	90.3 /90
L. Ranieri	36	782815 min	361.2 /90	220.7 /90	120.4 /90	1254 /90	270.9 /90	80.3 /90
P. Comuzzo	30	772302 min	471.8 /90	341.3 /90	190.7 /90	1013.9 /90	311.2 /90	40.2 /90
R. Gosens	28	711999 min	321.4 /90	180.8 /90	60.3 /90	934.2 /90	221 /90	30.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Pongračić n 8	74	2 5/3	0.6 4/0	M. Lacroix
Dodô n 8	79.8	1.4 7/2	0.8 5/1	—
Rolando Mandragora n 8	79.4	1.3 5/3	1.6 6/4	T. Mitchell
L. Ranieri n 8	89.9	0.5 4/0	1 5/3	C. Richards
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 8	74	1.2 5/3
Dodô n 8	79.8	0.7 3/2
Rolando Mandragora n 8	79.4	2.1 7/6
L. Ranieri n 8	89.9	0.8 6/0
A. Guðmundsson n 8	74.6	0.8 3/2
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson	36	662368 min	80.3 /90	60.2 /90	321.2 /90	170.6 /90	331.3 /90	230.9 /90
M. Kean	31	742308 min	80.3 /90	10 /90	863.4 /90	351.4 /90	60.2 /90	281.1 /90
R. Piccoli	31	641995 min	70.3 /90	20.1 /90	502.3 /90	210.9 /90	200.9 /90	70.3 /90
J. Harrison	15	66996 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	121.1 /90	161.4 /90
E. Džeko	13	52680 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.6 /90	81.1 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Pongračić n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dodô n 8	79.8	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
Rolando Mandragora n 8	79.4	1.7 6/4	0.6 4/0
L. Ranieri n 8	89.9	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Pongračić n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dodô n 8	79.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Rolando Mandragora n 8	79.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
L. Ranieri n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Henderson	40	903600 min	1012.5 /90	411 /90	10 /90
W. Benítez	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 8	90	3.1 6/3
W. Benítez n 5	90	1.4 2/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Lacroix	41	893630 min	661.6 /90	511.3 /90	150.4 /90	2295.7 /90	471.2 /90	40.1 /90
C. Richards	37	893278 min	802.2 /90	531.5 /90	200.5 /90	2196 /90	230.6 /90	40.1 /90
M. Guéhi	30	862591 min	401.4 /90	421.5 /90	150.5 /90	1394.8 /90	240.8 /90	70.2 /90
J. Canvot	19	761442 min	352.2 /90	171.1 /90	140.9 /90	825.1 /90	211.3 /90	40.2 /90
C. Riad	6	65387 min	40.9 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	194.4 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 8	82.5	2 7/4	0.5 4/0	M. Pongračić
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Wharton n 8	66.3	2.2 5/4	0.7 4/0	—
T. Mitchell n 8	89.9	0.9 3/2	0.6 5/0	Rolando Mandragora
C. Richards n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0	L. Ranieri
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	82.5	0.7 4/1
A. Wharton n 8	66.3	1.2 4/2
T. Mitchell n 8	89.9	1.9 7/3
C. Richards n 8	90	1.1 5/3
Yeremy Pino n 8	49.1	1.6 4/3
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yeremy Pino	35	682370 min	50.2 /90	40.2 /90	351.3 /90	190.7 /90	622.4 /90	261 /90
J. Mateta	33	782560 min	120.4 /90	20.1 /90	682.4 /90	381.3 /90	140.5 /90	160.6 /90
I. Sarr	32	822621 min	130.4 /90	10 /90	501.7 /90	281 /90	190.7 /90	230.8 /90
E. Nketiah	17	37631 min	40.6 /90	10.1 /90	182.6 /90	111.6 /90	142 /90	60.9 /90
B. Johnson	14	63887 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	80.8 /90	30.3 /90	141.4 /90	40.4 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	82.5	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Wharton n 8	66.3	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
T. Mitchell n 8	89.9	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
C. Richards n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 13 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 8	82.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Henderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Wharton n 8	66.3	0 0/0	0.5 2/1
T. Mitchell n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
C. Richards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fiorentina		Crystal Palace
67%	Possession	33%
1.92	Expected goals (xG)	1.34
16	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	1
12	Shots inside the box	6
6	Corners	1
2	Offsides	2
14	Fouls	14
5	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
558	Passes	276
86%	Pass accuracy	71%

Fiorentina Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David de Gea	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Pongračić	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
L. Ranieri	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7
J. Harrison	90	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	7.2
Rolando Mandragora	90	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	8.3
R. Piccoli	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	Y	5.7
A. Guðmundsson	75	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.5
M. Solomon	75	0	1	3	2	3	0	0	7.9
P. Comuzzo	70	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
R. Gosens	70	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
N. Fagioli	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
C. Ndour sub	45	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.7
L. Balbo sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
E. Kouadio sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
G. Fabbian sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Fazzini sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Crystal Palace Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
C. Richards	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
J. Canvot	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Muñoz	90	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
D. Kamada	90	0	0	1	1	0	5	0	7.3
T. Mitchell	90	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	6.9
I. Sarr	90	1	0	2	2	1	0	Y	7.7
Yeremy Pino	73	0	0	1	0	2	0	Y	7
J. Mateta	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Lacroix	41	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
A. Wharton	30	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
J. Lerma sub	60	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.2
C. Riad sub	49	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
J. Strand Larsen sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
W. Hughes sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FiorentinaWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Crystal PalaceDDWWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Fiorentina 0 · 0 draws · Crystal Palace 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-09 Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Fiorentina#15 pos9 pts6 pl+3 GD

Crystal Palace#10 pos10 pts6 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Fiorentina scored1.33

Crystal Palace scored1.83

Fiorentina conceded0.83

Crystal Palace conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fiorentina v Crystal Palace?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v Crystal Palace was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace?: In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Crystal Palace won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Crystal Palace?: Recent form — Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L; Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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