Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 30 Apr 2026 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Aston Villa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa — Nottingham Forest won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Nottingham Forest beat Aston Villa 1–0 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 30 April. Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Nottingham Forest: Christopher Wood (71’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Christopher Wood’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Nottingham Forest 1.56, Aston Villa 0.79, from 11 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal showed one yellow card — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Aston Villa: Youri Tielemans (78’).

What it changes

Nottingham Forest have scored 24 goals, the 20th-most (shared) of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Nottingham Forest have conceded 16 goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 77 clubs.

Aston Villa have scored 31 goals, the third-most of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Aston Villa have conceded eight goals, the eighth-fewest of the 77 clubs.

It is Nottingham Forest’s first win over Aston Villa since 14 December 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Nottingham Forest have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Hutchinson (Nottingham Forest) 7.8, Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest) 5.2 and Christopher Wood (Nottingham Forest) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nottingham Forest.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nottingham Forest or Aston Villa (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Nottingham Forest next host Manchester City on 7 November 2026.

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa · UEFA Europa League
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 2 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Nottingham Forest 3W 2D 0L · Aston Villa 3W 1D 1L

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.13

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.71 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.29 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3.57 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.14 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nottingham Forest for / against	Line	Aston Villa for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.43 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.29 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Sels	32	892835 min	842.7 /90	401.3 /90
John	9	89798 min	121.4 /90	121.4 /90
S. Ortega	7	90630 min	213 /90	71 /90

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	90	2.9 6/5
John n 8	88.5	1.4 3/1

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Milenković	46	863939 min	370.8 /90	330.8 /90	350.8 /90	1613.7 /90	310.7 /90	60.1 /90
N. Williams	45	823697 min	1142.8 /90	481.2 /90	170.4 /90	2516.1 /90	340.8 /90	70.2 /90
Murillo	34	802736 min	451.5 /90	431.4 /90	270.9 /90	983.2 /90	341.1 /90	60.2 /90
O. Aina	24	831990 min	391.8 /90	361.6 /90	30.1 /90	1084.9 /90	160.7 /90	30.1 /90
Morato	24	791891 min	442.1 /90	170.8 /90	100.5 /90	974.6 /90	140.7 /90	60.3 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Milenković n 8	75.1	0.9 4/1	0.1 1/0	E. Konsa
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	83.3	0.8 5/1	0.9 5/2	—
N. Williams n 8	76.8	1 6/1	0.7 4/1	M. Cash
E. Anderson n 8	89.6	1.8 8/5	1.5 7/4	—
Igor Jesus n 8	65.4	1.5 6/2	1.4 5/2	E. Buendía
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 8	75.1	1.3 5/2
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	83.3	0.7 4/1
N. Williams n 8	76.8	1.9 5/4
E. Anderson n 8	89.6	2.4 7/4
Igor Jesus n 8	65.4	0.7 2/1
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Igor Jesus	42	632657 min	130.4 /90	50.2 /90	551.9 /90	311.1 /90	180.6 /90	100.3 /90
C. Wood	14	58809 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	222.4 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
D. Bakwa	14	45635 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	121.7 /90	81.1 /90
A. Kalimuendo	8	46369 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
T. Awoniyi	8	29235 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	83.1 /90	51.9 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 8	75.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	83.3	1.9 7/4	1.1 6/1
N. Williams n 8	76.8	1 4/2	0.7 2/2
E. Anderson n 8	89.6	1 6/2	0.5 3/1
Igor Jesus n 8	65.4	2.6 7/4	1.5 5/3
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 8	75.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	83.3	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
N. Williams n 8	76.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
E. Anderson n 8	89.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Igor Jesus n 8	65.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Martínez	38	883331 min	1072.9 /90	421.1 /90	10 /90
M. Bizot	12	83991 min	474.3 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 8	90	3.1 7/7
M. Bizot n 8	78.9	4 6/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Konsa	42	863630 min	270.7 /90	280.7 /90	340.8 /90	1233 /90	170.4 /90	10 /90
M. Cash	41	823355 min	721.9 /90	280.8 /90	140.4 /90	1554.2 /90	471.3 /90	100.3 /90
L. Digne	36	662392 min	441.7 /90	170.6 /90	50.2 /90	1043.9 /90	261 /90	60.2 /90
Pau Torres	30	832503 min	271 /90	150.5 /90	281 /90	822.9 /90	160.6 /90	10 /90
I. Maatsen	28	681899 min	472.2 /90	150.7 /90	20.1 /90	1095.2 /90	150.7 /90	30.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Rogers n 8	83.9	1.6 7/3	1.6 8/3	—
O. Watkins n 8	72.8	1.2 6/2	1.5 7/3	—
E. Konsa n 8	90	0 0/0	0.8 5/1	N. Milenković
M. Cash n 8	75	1.2 6/2	0.8 4/1	N. Williams
E. Buendía n 8	65	1.6 4/3	2.4 7/4	Igor Jesus
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 8	83.9	0.7 3/2
O. Watkins n 8	72.8	0.8 5/0
E. Konsa n 8	90	0.3 2/0
M. Cash n 8	75	2.1 5/5
E. Buendía n 8	65	2.3 7/5
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Watkins	47	693244 min	150.4 /90	30.1 /90	641.8 /90	411.1 /90	290.8 /90	270.7 /90
D. Malen	22	461001 min	50.4 /90	20.2 /90	282.5 /90	141.3 /90	80.7 /90	161.4 /90
T. Abraham	9	37336 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	71.9 /90	00 /90
Alysson Edward	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Rogers	48	834000 min	120.3 /90	80.2 /90	731.6 /90	410.9 /90	671.5 /90	591.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 8	83.9	1.9 7/5	1.1 4/2
O. Watkins n 8	72.8	2 6/4	1.2 5/3
E. Konsa n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
M. Cash n 8	75	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
E. Buendía n 8	65	1.6 6/2	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 8	83.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
O. Watkins n 8	72.8	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Cash n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Buendía n 8	65	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nottingham Forest		Aston Villa
50%	Possession	50%
1.56	Expected goals (xG)	0.79
11	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	3
3	Blocked shots	3
9	Shots inside the box	7
5	Corners	7
2	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	11
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
389	Passes	379
85%	Pass accuracy	87%

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
S. Ortega	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
N. Milenković	90	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
Morato	90	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
N. Williams	90	0	1	1	0	3	6.9
O. Hutchinson	90	0	2	2	4	3	7.2
N. Domínguez	90	0	0	0	1	2	7
E. Anderson	90	0	1	0	2	3	8
Morgan Gibbs-White	90	0	2	0	1	0	7.3
C. Wood	90	1	1	1	0	0	7
Igor Jesus	89	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
O. Aina	75	0	0	0	0	2	7.3
Z. Abbott sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Yates sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Aston Villa Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Martínez	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
M. Cash	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
E. Konsa	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Pau Torres	90	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
Y. Tielemans	90	2	1	0	1	Y	6.3
M. Rogers	90	2	1	2	1	0	6.3
O. Watkins	90	1	1	3	0	0	6.5
J. McGinn	79	0	0	2	2	0	7
E. Buendía	79	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
L. Digne	78	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
A. Onana	55	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Bogarde sub	35	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Douglas Luiz sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
I. Maatsen sub	11	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Sancho sub	11	1	1	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nottingham ForestDDWWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Aston VillaWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nottingham Forest 2 · 1 draw · Aston Villa 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-04-12 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
2026-01-03 Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest
2025-04-05 Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest
2024-12-14 Nottingham Forest 2–1 Aston Villa
2024-02-24 Aston Villa 4–2 Nottingham Forest
2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Aston Villa

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Nottingham Forest#13 pos14 pts8 pl+8 GD

Aston Villa#2 pos21 pts8 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Nottingham Forest scored1.88

Aston Villa scored1.75

Nottingham Forest conceded0.88

Aston Villa conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?: In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2, Aston Villa won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?: Recent form — Nottingham Forest 3W 2D 0L; Aston Villa 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.