France v Spain result

Full-time · France 0–2 Spain

World Cup · · Dallas Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: France · Spain

The model’s pre-match pick

France 0–2 Spain — Spain won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Spain won 2–0 at Dallas Stadium in the World Cup on Tuesday 14 July. Spain are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Spain led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Spain: Mikel Oyarzabal (22’ pen) and Pedro Porro (58’, assisted by Dani Olmo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mikel Oyarzabal’s goal on 22 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: France 0.30, Spain 1.63, from 10 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Iván Barton, El Salvador showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — France: A. Rabiot (9’) and Kylian Mbappé (86’); Spain: Marc Cucurella (31’).

What it changes

Spain have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pedro Porro (Spain) 6.3, Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) 5.9 and Fabián Ruiz (Spain) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

France next travel to Italy on 12 November 2026.

Spain next travel to Czechia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for France: Italy v France, Thursday 12 November — the preview. Next for Spain: Czechia v Spain, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: France 0–2 Spain · World Cup
  • Venue: Dallas Stadium · Arlington
  • Referee: Iván Barton, El Salvador
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): France 1 · draws 0 · Spain 3 · 4.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: France 5W 0D 0L · Spain 5W 0D 0L

France 0–2 Spain (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 7
Corners
against 2.63 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7.25 / 6.29
Shots on target
against 2 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.5 / 1
Cards
against 0.5 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFrance for / againstLineSpain for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 1.43 against n 7
Shots
19 for · 6.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots on target
7.25 for · 2 against n 8
8.5standard
6.29 for · 1.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
0.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: Iván Barton, El Salvador.

France
France — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Akliouche n 859.4
1.75/4
1.13/1
—
A. Rabiot n 887
1.65/4
0.95/1
—
R. Cherki n 828
1.64/0
0.41/0
—
L. Digne n 874
1.47/2
0.21/0
—
D. Doué n 862.8
1.44/2
1.16/0
—
France — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 881.6
4.78/7
2.87/6
J. Mateta n 831.8
2.85/2
1.84/1
M. Olise n 876.9
2.57/4
1.54/3
M. Thuram n 867.5
2.57/4
14/2
B. Barcola n 838.9
2.36/1
1.23/1
France — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 881.6
1.15/3
0.42/1
O. Dembélé n 876.6
0.94/1
0.32/0
M. Olise n 876.9
0.41/1
0.73/2
B. Barcola n 838.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
M. Thuram n 867.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
France — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Tchouaméni n 877.6
3.58/6
T. Hernández n 871.1
2.26/3
L. Hernández n 845.5
2.25/3
M. Gusto n 836
2.25/2
M. Lacroix n 875.1
2.17/5
France — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
1.43/2
Spain
Spain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mikel Merino n 825.4
2.75/1
3.15/2
—
Gavi n 865
2.37/4
1.46/2
—
Lamine Yamal n 867.4
1.75/2
1.85/3
—
Nico Williams n 840.4
1.72/2
1.45/0
—
Alex Baena n 864.8
1.65/2
15/1
—
Spain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 867.4
3.77/6
2.26/5
Mikel Oyarzabal n 864.4
3.37/4
1.75/2
Ferran Torres n 842.1
3.27/5
1.34/1
Fabián Ruiz n 847
2.44/2
0.73/0
Alex Baena n 864.8
2.17/4
15/1
Spain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mikel Oyarzabal n 864.4
0.72/2
0.32/0
Mikel Merino n 825.4
0.92/0
00/0
Nico Williams n 840.4
0.61/1
0.31/0
Jesús Rodríguez n 834.8
0.31/0
0.62/0
Gonzalo García n 842.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
Spain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marc Bernal n 851.3
46/5
Marcos Llorente n 885.3
3.38/6
Gavi n 865
3.17/6
Pedro Porro n 887.9
2.78/5
Rodri n 886.5
2.67/5
Spain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 887.9
1.94/3
Unai Simón n 890
1.43/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FranceSpain
49%Possession51%
0.30Expected goals (xG)1.63
10Shots10
3Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box5
7Corners1
4Offsides5
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves3
473Passes500
84%Pass accuracy86%

France player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Koundé9000000106.2
A. Tchouaméni9000100406.9
Kylian Mbappé90002000Y6.2
O. Dembélé9000221006.6
D. Upamecano9000000006.3
M. Maignan9000000005.9
M. Olise7200002306.5
L. Digne7200000005.7
B. Barcola5700100006.5
A. Rabiot45001004Y6.3
William Saliba3000000006.2
M. Lacroix sub6000000006.3
M. Koné sub4500000006.2
D. Doué sub3300112207
R. Cherki sub1800001006.9
T. Hernández sub1800000006.3

Spain player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pau Cubarsí Paredes9000000207.5
Lamine Yamal9000001006.7
Rodri9000000407.7
Unai Simón9000000007.2
Marc Cucurella90000004Y7.2
Aymeric Laporte9000000007.3
Pedro Porro8410210208.2
Alex Baena8400001106.7
Dani Olmo7801102106.9
Fabián Ruiz7800002407
Mikel Oyarzabal7410210007
Ferran Torres sub1600101006.3
Nico Williams sub1300100106.7
Marcos Llorente sub1300000106.6
Pedri sub1200000106.3
Mikel Merino sub1200000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind France v Spain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FranceWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
SpainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
France 1 · 0 draws · Spain 3 · 4.25 goals/game
  • 2025-06-05 Spain 5–4 France
  • 2024-07-09 Spain 2–1 France
  • 2021-10-10 Spain 1–2 France
  • 2017-03-28 France 0–2 Spain
League standing · 2026/27
France#1 pos9 pts3 pl+8 GD
Spain#1 pos7 pts3 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
France scored3.33
Spain scored1.67
France conceded0.67
Spain conceded0

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for France v Spain?
TACTIX’s free model pick for France v Spain was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between France and Spain?
In their last 4 meetings, France won 1, Spain won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of France and Spain?
Recent form — France 5W 0D 0L; Spain 5W 0D 0L.

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