Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart prediction

Bundesliga · · BayArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.32 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 495 of 756 times (65.5%), against an average rating of 68%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Bayer Leverkusen have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 0.71. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

10 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.44. VfB Stuttgart have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) and VfB Stuttgart (15th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 122 rating points above VfB Stuttgart (Bayer Leverkusen 1672, VfB Stuttgart 1550, after at least 283 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

Bayer Leverkusen have seven names on the availability list: C. Kofane (out, Muscle Injury), E. Ben Seghir (out, Muscle Injury), G. Doue (out, Calf Injury), K. Eichhorn (out, Illness), L. Bade (out, Head Injury), M. Diaby (out, Hamstring Injury) and one more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, F. Medina, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, J. Quansah, A. García, E. Fernández, I. Maza, M. Tillman, A. Moreira, P. Schick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.7 per match over 12 appearances, 10 goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1009 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1318 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

VfB Stuttgart have six names on the availability list: A. Stiller (out, Groin Injury), D. Zagadou (out, Muscle Injury), J. Diehl (out, Muscle Injury), J. Vagnoman (out, Muscle Injury), L. Sauer (out, Muscle Injury) and T. Tomas (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted VfB Stuttgart XI (3-4-2-1): D. Seimen, R. Hendriks, M. Mittelstädt, J. Chabot, G. Prömel, B. El Khannouss, C. Führich, J. Leweling, D. Undav, A. Karazor, E. Demirović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (3.8 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 974 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 929 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · BayArena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayer Leverkusen 1 · draws 3 · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L

Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6.63 / 7
Corners
against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayer Leverkusen for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
7.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Flekken990810 min202.2 /90121.3 /9000 /90
J. Blaswich390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5
J. Blaswich n 890
4.15/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Tapsoba12841006 min141.3 /90111 /9060.5 /90413.7 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
F. Medina1269832 min111.2 /9091 /9070.8 /90232.5 /90121.3 /9020.2 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez1181892 min121.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90292.9 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Quansah1163689 min111.4 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90192.5 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90
L. Badé763444 min102 /90122.4 /9000 /90316.3 /90132.6 /9010.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix García n 885.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
—
F. Medina n 878.1
1.25/2
0.32/0
—
P. Schick n 872.3
0.94/1
0.85/0
—
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.35/3
0.74/1
—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
15/2
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/4
F. Medina n 878.1
1.67/2
P. Schick n 872.3
0.53/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.34/3
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Schick1269829 min101.1 /9020.2 /90363.9 /90182 /90141.5 /9091 /90
N. Tella742291 min10.3 /9000 /90144.3 /9061.9 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
Christian Kofane533163 min31.7 /9000 /90105.5 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
M. Terrier334103 min00 /9000 /9043.5 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9021.7 /90
Aleix García12871046 min00 /9040.3 /90161.4 /9050.4 /90322.8 /9020.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
1.85/5
0.42/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/2
0.73/1
F. Medina n 878.1
0.94/2
0.63/1
P. Schick n 872.3
3.68/7
1.96/4
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
16/1
0.43/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
00/0
0.53/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.31/1
00/0
F. Medina n 878.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Schick n 872.3
0.95/1
0.21/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bredlow890720 min293.6 /9091.1 /9000 /90
D. Seimen490360 min102.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 890
3.66/5
D. Seimen n 490
2.54/1

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Chabot1184928 min191.8 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90868.3 /90181.7 /9020.2 /90
M. Mittelstädt1088884 min242.4 /90212.1 /9070.7 /90707.1 /90101 /9020.2 /90
Finn Jeltsch1081808 min91 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90455 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Vagnoman1078778 min80.9 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90222.5 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Hendriks981729 min111.4 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90425.2 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.94/2
1.36/2
—
D. Undav n 870.6
2.46/6
0.32/0
—
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.76/5
1.37/3
—
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.26/2
0.84/1
—
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.93/1
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.84/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.55/4
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.14/2
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav1274889 min20.2 /9040.4 /90161.6 /9080.8 /90242.4 /9030.3 /90
E. Demirović1062616 min60.9 /9000 /90273.9 /90162.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Leweling1051506 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90112 /90132.3 /90
D. Pejčinović864509 min30.5 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9050.9 /9061.1 /9030.5 /90
L. Sauer33193 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
0.32/0
D. Undav n 870.6
1.66/2
1.15/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.95/2
0.32/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
27/5
0.32/0
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
0.73/1
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
00/0
0.42/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.32/0
00/0
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
00/0
00/0
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayer Leverkusen 1 · 3 draws · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2026-01-10 Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-03-16 VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-11-01 Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-08-17 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-04-27 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos13 pts7 pl+4 GD
VfB Stuttgart#15 pos6 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.29
VfB Stuttgart scored1.43
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.71
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.86

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L.

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