Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart result

Full-time · Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · · BayArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart — VfB Stuttgart won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.32 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 510 of 791 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.9%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

VfB Stuttgart won 4–2 at BayArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October.

The goals

VfB Stuttgart led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirović (14’; 65’, assisted by Deniz Undav), Jamie Leweling (22’) and Bilal El Khannouss (51’, assisted by Chris Führich); Bayer Leverkusen: Patrik Schick (28’, assisted by Aleix García) and Ibrahim Maza (79’, assisted by Miguel Gutiérrez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bilal El Khannouss’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bayer Leverkusen 2.07, VfB Stuttgart 2.88, from 24 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Bayer Leverkusen stay fourth after this result (eight league matches played). Bayer Leverkusen have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfB Stuttgart move up from 14th to 11th (eight league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 8 so far, across seven matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ermedin Demirović (VfB Stuttgart) 10.3, Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart) 8.3 and Patrik Schick (Bayer Leverkusen) 8.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bayer Leverkusen next host Marseille on 5 November 2026.

VfB Stuttgart next travel to Galatasaray on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille, Thursday 5 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
  • Venue: BayArena · Leverkusen
  • Referee: Benjamin Brand
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayer Leverkusen 1 · draws 3 · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L

Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6.63 / 7
Corners
against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayer Leverkusen for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
7.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Flekken990810 min202.2 /90121.3 /9000 /90
J. Blaswich390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5
J. Blaswich n 890
4.15/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Tapsoba12841006 min141.3 /90111 /9060.5 /90413.7 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
F. Medina1269832 min111.2 /9091 /9070.8 /90232.5 /90121.3 /9020.2 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez1181892 min121.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90292.9 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Quansah1163689 min111.4 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90192.5 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90
L. Badé763444 min102 /90122.4 /9000 /90316.3 /90132.6 /9010.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix García n 885.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Führich
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
J. Chabot
F. Medina n 878.1
1.25/2
0.32/0
J. Chabot
P. Schick n 872.3
0.94/1
0.85/0
D. Undav
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.35/3
0.74/1
J. Chabot
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
15/2
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/4
F. Medina n 878.1
1.67/2
P. Schick n 872.3
0.53/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.34/3
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Schick1269829 min101.1 /9020.2 /90363.9 /90182 /90141.5 /9091 /90
N. Tella742291 min10.3 /9000 /90144.3 /9061.9 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
Christian Kofane533163 min31.7 /9000 /90105.5 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
M. Terrier334103 min00 /9000 /9043.5 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9021.7 /90
Aleix García12871046 min00 /9040.3 /90161.4 /9050.4 /90322.8 /9020.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
1.85/5
0.42/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/2
0.73/1
F. Medina n 878.1
0.94/2
0.63/1
P. Schick n 872.3
3.68/7
1.96/4
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
16/1
0.43/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
00/0
0.53/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.31/1
00/0
F. Medina n 878.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Schick n 872.3
0.95/1
0.21/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bredlow890720 min293.6 /9091.1 /9000 /90
D. Seimen490360 min102.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 890
3.66/5
D. Seimen n 490
2.54/1

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Chabot1184928 min191.8 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90868.3 /90181.7 /9020.2 /90
M. Mittelstädt1088884 min242.4 /90212.1 /9070.7 /90707.1 /90101 /9020.2 /90
Finn Jeltsch1081808 min91 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90455 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Vagnoman1078778 min80.9 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90222.5 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Hendriks981729 min111.4 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90425.2 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.94/2
1.36/2
—
D. Undav n 870.6
2.46/6
0.32/0
P. Schick
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.76/5
1.37/3
Miguel Gutiérrez
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.26/2
0.84/1
—
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.93/1
Aleix García
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.84/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.55/4
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.14/2
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav1274889 min20.2 /9040.4 /90161.6 /9080.8 /90242.4 /9030.3 /90
E. Demirović1062616 min60.9 /9000 /90273.9 /90162.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Leweling1051506 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90112 /90132.3 /90
D. Pejčinović864509 min30.5 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9050.9 /9061.1 /9030.5 /90
L. Sauer33193 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
0.32/0
D. Undav n 870.6
1.66/2
1.15/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.95/2
0.32/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
27/5
0.32/0
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
0.73/1
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
00/0
0.42/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.32/0
00/0
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
00/0
00/0
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
64%Possession36%
2.07Expected goals (xG)2.88
24Shots15
8Shots on target7
9Shots off target2
7Blocked shots6
16Shots inside the box11
12Corners3
1Offsides0
8Fouls13
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves6
511Passes307

Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Flekken9000000005.6
P. Schick9010621108
J. Quansah9000202006.1
F. Medina90001112Y6
I. Maza90104211Y7.4
Miguel Gutiérrez9001103006.5
E. Tapsoba9000001006.2
Aleix García83011033Y7.5
E. Fernández76000011Y5.8
Afonso Moreira7500631006.3
Lucas Vázquez6200100005.2
J. Hofmann2800003006.3
M. Tillman1500000005.7
R. Andrich1400100105.9
V. Boniface700101006.4

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Prömel9000111306.2
A. Karazor90001001Y6.3
R. Hendriks9000000206
E. Demirović90203302Y8.8
J. Chabot90001012Y5.8
D. Seimen9000000006.9
J. Leweling8510310007.2
B. El Khannouss8510220407.7
D. Undav7201305007.6
L. Jaquez65001000Y6.4
C. Führich6501004107
Finn Jeltsch2500000106.2
M. Mittelstädt2500000106.3
N. Nartey1800000006.1
A. Al Dakhil500000006.1
D. Pejčinović500000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayer Leverkusen 1 · 3 draws · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2026-01-10 Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-03-16 VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-11-01 Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-08-17 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-04-27 Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos13 pts8 pl+2 GD
VfB Stuttgart#10 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.25
VfB Stuttgart scored1.75
Bayer Leverkusen conceded2
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L.

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