Port Vale v Stevenage result

Full-time · Port Vale 1–2 Stevenage

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Port Vale · Stevenage · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Port Vale 1–2 Stevenage — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage won 2–1 at Port Vale in League One on Tuesday 19 August. Stevenage have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Stevenage came from behind: Port Vale led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Port Vale: Lorent Tolaj (36’, assisted by Jordan Shipley); Stevenage: Jamie Reid (88’, 90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jamie Reid’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Port Vale 0.00, Stevenage 0.00, from 15 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Stockbridge showed three yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Port Vale: F. Ojo (20’); Stevenage: Jordan Houghton (69’) and Charles Goode (90+2’).

What it changes

Port Vale move down from 17th to 19th (four league matches played).

Stevenage stay first after this result (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jamie Reid (Stevenage) 8.1, Lorent Tolaj (Port Vale) 7.8 and Carl Piergianni (Stevenage) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Port Vale or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Port Vale next travel to Gillingham on 20 October 2026.

Stevenage next host Plymouth on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Port Vale: Gillingham v Port Vale, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Plymouth, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Port Vale 1–2 Stevenage · League One
  • Referee: S. Stockbridge
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 1 · draws 5 · Stevenage 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Port Vale 1W 2D 2L · Stevenage 3W 1D 1L

Port Vale 1–2 Stevenage (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.29 / 3.17
Corners
against 5.57 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.14 / 3
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 2.17 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.43 / 2
Cards
against 2.71 / 0.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.77 yellows
Referee · S. Stockbridge
2.54 home / 2.23 away
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePort Vale for / againstLineStevenage for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.29 for · 5.57 against n 7
9.5standard
3.17 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
13.14 for · 9.57 against n 7
19.5standard
9.5 for · 9.17 against n 6
Shots on target
3.14 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 2.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 10.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.67 for · 14.33 against n 6
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 0.67 against n 6

Referee: S. Stockbridge — 4.77 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 26.08 fouls over 13 matches (2.54 to the home side, 2.23 to the away side).

Port Vale
Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Waine n 830
2.35/1
0.82/0
—
L. Tolaj n 888.3
2.28/6
1.87/6
—
G. Byers n 866.9
1.96/4
1.34/3
—
J. Stockley n 871.8
1.75/2
1.45/3
—
R. Walters n 864
1.65/2
1.96/3
—
Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Curtis n 843.3
2.95/3
0.83/0
L. Tolaj n 888.3
1.98/4
0.64/1
G. Byers n 866.9
1.75/3
0.53/0
B. Garrity n 868.9
1.56/3
0.73/1
B. Waine n 830
1.54/0
1.13/0
Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Headley n 874.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Shorrock n 842.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
L. Tolaj n 888.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
B. Garrity n 868.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Shipley n 843.4
00/0
0.52/0
Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Richards n 825.1
44/3
R. Croasdale n 871.5
2.76/4
J. Headley n 874.6
2.47/5
G. Byers n 866.9
2.48/4
K. John n 864.8
2.46/4
Stevenage
Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Young n 824.6
2.74/2
0.92/0
—
L. Thompson n 864.3
2.67/4
1.25/2
—
D. Kemp n 884.8
2.48/6
1.57/3
—
J. Roberts n 871.5
27/5
28/3
—
D. Phillips n 858.3
1.97/3
0.62/1
—
Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Young n 824.6
2.33/1
1.82/1
J. Reid n 870
1.46/3
1.36/2
D. Kemp n 884.8
1.37/2
0.75/0
L. Appéré n 870.8
1.35/2
0.84/1
H. White n 881.1
1.27/2
0.43/0
Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Reid n 870
0.63/1
00/0
D. Kemp n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Appéré n 870.8
0.53/0
00/0
J. Young n 824.6
0.51/0
00/0
C. Campbell n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Houghton n 864.1
3.36/6
L. James-Wildin n 890
2.86/6
D. Phillips n 858.3
2.77/3
L. Thompson n 864.3
2.67/4
L. Freestone n 863.6
2.53/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Port ValeStevenage
50%Possession50%
15Shots11
6Shots on target3
8Shots off target6
1Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
4Corners2
1Offsides1
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
353Passes359
77%Pass accuracy73%

Port Vale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000006.9
C. Humphreys9000001106.3
J. Debrah9000000306.9
C. Hall9000301106.7
R. Croasdale9000210506.6
L. Tolaj9010540108.2
F. Ojo82000002Y6.6
M. Clark7500100407.5
L. Gordon7500003007.2
R. Curtis6700002206.9
J. Shipley6601103007.3
B. Garrity sub2500000206.6
M. Faal sub2400211006.6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel sub1600000006.3
J. Headley sub1600001006.3
B. Heneghan sub900000005.9

Stevenage player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Marschall9000000007.2
L. James-Wildin9000000406.5
C. Goode90001011Y7.5
C. Piergianni9000000307.2
H. White9000000106.6
D. Kemp9000101106.2
D. Butler8900001006.3
J. Reid8920430008.9
J. Houghton71002001Y6.3
J. Roberts7100001106.6
P. Patterson7100001106.9
D. Sweeney sub2000001006.7
D. Phillips sub2000000106.7
Gassan Ahadme sub2000100006.3
L. Freestone sub10000000–
C. Campbell sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Port Vale v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Port ValeLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
StevenageDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Port Vale 1 · 5 draws · Stevenage 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2024-02-10 Port Vale 2–2 Stevenage
  • 2023-12-12 Port Vale 3–3 Stevenage
  • 2023-12-02 Stevenage 1–1 Port Vale
  • 2023-10-21 Stevenage 0–0 Port Vale
  • 2022-02-26 Port Vale 2–0 Stevenage
  • 2021-08-21 Stevenage 1–1 Port Vale
League standing · 2025/26
Port Vale#22 pos42 pts46 pl-25 GD
Stevenage#6 pos75 pts46 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Port Vale scored0.78
Stevenage scored1.07
Port Vale conceded1.33
Stevenage conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Port Vale v Stevenage?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Stevenage was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Stevenage?
In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 1, Stevenage won 0 and there were 5 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Port Vale and Stevenage?
Recent form — Port Vale 1W 2D 2L; Stevenage 3W 1D 1L.

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