Fluminense v Corinthians result

Full-time · Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio do Maracanã

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fluminense · Corinthians · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians — Fluminense won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fluminense beat Corinthians 3–1 at Estádio do Maracanã in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 2 April. Fluminense have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Fluminense led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Fluminense: John Kennedy (20’, assisted by K. Serna), Hercules (45’) and R. Castillo (83’, assisted by Martinelli); Corinthians: Andre (89’). Allan (55’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with John Kennedy’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fluminense 1.84, Corinthians 0.57, from 20 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Lacerda showed five yellow cards and one red — against 7.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Fluminense: L. Acosta (52’); Corinthians: Matheus Bidu (35’), Allan (52’), Andre (62’) and Matheus Pereira (90+4’).

What it changes

Corinthians are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Serna (Fluminense) 6.9, John Kennedy (Fluminense) 6.2 and Andre (Corinthians) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fluminense or Corinthians (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Fluminense next travel to Palmeiras on 22 October 2026.

Corinthians next host Vitoria on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fluminense: Palmeiras v Fluminense, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Corinthians: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: D. Lacerda
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fluminense 1 · draws 2 · Corinthians 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fluminense 3W 0D 2L · Corinthians 0W 4D 1L

Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.29
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6 / 2.57
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.43 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFluminense for / againstLineCorinthians for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
14.75 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9.57 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
6 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
14.71 for · 17.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 3.38 against n 8

Referee: D. Lacerda.

Fluminense
Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lima n 813.3
3.44/0
3.42/2
—
S. Moreno n 825.9
34/1
0.92/0
—
A. Canobbio n 883
2.67/6
0.95/2
—
Facundo Bernal n 834
2.65/2
1.32/1
—
Hercules n 852.4
2.16/3
0.61/1
Charles
Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
John Kennedy n 872.1
2.87/6
26/5
L. Acosta n 875
2.47/5
1.16/1
A. Canobbio n 883
1.97/7
0.74/1
Jefferson Savarino n 867.8
1.74/3
0.72/2
R. Castillo n 852.5
1.75/2
1.14/1
Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lima n 813.3
0.81/0
0.81/0
Yeferson Soteldo n 831
0.71/1
0.72/0
L. Acosta n 875
0.53/0
0.52/1
R. Castillo n 852.5
0.21/0
0.62/1
Nonato n 866.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Canobbio n 883
2.77/4
Hercules n 852.4
2.65/4
Alisson n 829.9
2.35/1
Samuel Xavier n 884.6
2.18/5
Nonato n 866.5
1.95/4
Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabio n 891.3
3.17/6
Corinthians
Corinthians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
André Carrillo n 858.6
3.37/6
0.21/0
—
Charles n 837.4
2.42/2
0.62/0
Hercules
Raniele n 875.9
1.86/3
1.56/2
—
Breno Bidon n 862.8
1.87/3
3.48/5
—
Yuri Alberto n 884.5
1.77/4
1.56/3
—
Corinthians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuri Alberto n 884.5
1.78/4
0.95/2
Rodrigo Garro n 859.5
1.76/2
0.94/1
Pedro Raul n 862
1.54/2
0.41/1
Vitinho n 841.4
1.44/1
0.83/0
Dieguinho n 850.8
1.13/2
0.42/0
Corinthians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rodrigo Garro n 859.5
0.21/0
0.63/0
Yuri Alberto n 884.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Depay n 866.9
0.32/0
00/0
Kayke n 835.5
00/0
0.31/0
Matheus Bidu n 890.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Corinthians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Charles n 837.4
4.24/3
Pedro Milans n 882.6
37/7
Andre n 854.3
2.94/4
Allan n 846.3
2.44/3
André Carrillo n 858.6
2.34/4
Corinthians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hugo Souza n 892.8
2.86/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FluminenseCorinthians
60%Possession40%
1.84Expected goals (xG)0.57
20Shots12
10Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box7
8Corners10
1Offsides2
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
3Saves7
526Passes337
88%Pass accuracy83%

Fluminense player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fabio9000000007.2
Samuel Xavier9000111006.6
Jemmes9000001407.2
J. Freytes9000210106.9
Rene9000001307.5
Jefferson Savarino9000211006.2
Martinelli8601002007
Hercules7710110107.5
John Kennedy7710531007.3
K. Serna7001214107.9
L. Acosta69001021Y7.2
PH Ganso sub2100110006.9
Yeferson Soteldo sub2000001006.9
R. Castillo sub1310110007.3
Alisson sub1300000006.3
G. Cano sub1300000006.3

Corinthians player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kauê9000000006.6
Matheuzinho9000001206.2
Gabriel Paulista9000201006.2
Gustavo Henrique9000000005.9
Andre90102104Y7.3
Rodrigo Garro7700002006.7
Yuri Alberto7600001006.2
Allan55001120RY5.3
Matheus Bidu45000000Y6.3
Charles4500000006.3
Breno Bidon4500000006.3
Matheus Pereira sub45002102Y6.3
Jesse Lingard sub4500110006.2
Fabrizio Angileri sub4500001106.9
Zakaria Labyad sub1400002106.9
Dieguinho sub1300001006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fluminense v Corinthians — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FluminenseLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CorinthiansDLDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fluminense 1 · 2 draws · Corinthians 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Fluminense 0–1 Corinthians
  • 2025-04-16 Corinthians 0–2 Fluminense
  • 2024-08-18 Fluminense 0–0 Corinthians
  • 2024-04-28 Corinthians 3–0 Fluminense
  • 2023-10-20 Fluminense 3–3 Corinthians
  • 2023-05-28 Corinthians 2–0 Fluminense
League standing · 2026
Fluminense#5 pos51 pts31 pl+10 GD
Corinthians#16 pos32 pts30 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Fluminense scored1.58
Corinthians scored1.03
Fluminense conceded1.26
Corinthians conceded1.27

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Fluminense v Corinthians?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fluminense v Corinthians was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Corinthians?
In their last 6 meetings, Fluminense won 1, Corinthians won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fluminense and Corinthians?
Recent form — Fluminense 3W 0D 2L; Corinthians 0W 4D 1L.

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