Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense result

Full-time · Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense

Serie A – Brazil · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Arena da Baixada

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico Paranaense · Fluminense · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total over 9.5.

Free pick

Away shots total over 9.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense drew 3–3 at Arena da Baixada in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 30 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atletico Paranaense out-shot Fluminense 17 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.56 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Paranaense: Leozinho (35’, assisted by Stiven Mendoza), G. Benavidez (48’) and K. Viveros (90’ pen); Fluminense: Hulk (38’), A. Canobbio (64’) and Ignacio (78’, assisted by Hulk).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Viveros’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil showed four yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico Paranaense: G. Benavidez (49’) and K. Viveros (80’); Fluminense: PH Ganso (45+5’) and Nonato (75’).

What it changes

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 25, across 10 matches. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Fluminense are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hulk (Fluminense) 9.3, Ignacio (Fluminense) 9.0 and K. Viveros (Atletico Paranaense) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fluminense shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Atletico Paranaense next travel to Vitoria on 24 October 2026.

Fluminense next travel to Palmeiras on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico Paranaense: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Fluminense: Palmeiras v Fluminense, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Arena da Baixada · Curitiba
Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Paranaense 1 · draws 2 · Fluminense 3 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Atletico Paranaense 3W 1D 1L · Fluminense 2W 3D 0L

Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.75

Corners

against 6.88 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 3

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.1 yellows

Referee · Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil

2.25 home / 2.85 away

over 20 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Atletico Paranaense for / against	Line	Fluminense for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil — 5.1 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 30 fouls over 20 matches (2.25 to the home side, 2.85 to the away side).

Home 2.25Away 2.85

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renan Peixoto n 8	18.4	3.1 5/0	2.4 3/1	—
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	2.4 7/6	2.1 8/5	—
Arthur Dias n 8	85.4	2 7/5	0.5 4/0	—
Isaac n 8	24.1	1.9 3/1	3.3 4/3	—
Felipinho n 8	62.3	1.8 5/4	0.4 2/0	—

Atletico Paranaense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	2.6 8/6	1.2 5/3
Leozinho n 8	62.4	2.5 5/4	0.5 2/1
João Cruz n 8	55.4	1.8 5/4	1 4/1
K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8	52.5	1.3 3/2	0.6 2/1
Renan Peixoto n 8	18.4	1.2 2/0	0 0/0

Atletico Paranaense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	0.6 3/2	0.4 3/0
K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8	52.5	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
Leozinho n 8	62.4	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
João Cruz n 8	55.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Dudu Kogitzki n 8	26.3	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Atletico Paranaense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Esquivel n 8	79.4	2.7 8/6
Leonardo Derik n 8	50.4	2.7 5/3
Jadson n 8	84.1	2.5 8/6
Felipinho n 8	62.3	2.3 5/2
Dudu Kogitzki n 8	26.3	2.1 4/1

Atletico Paranaense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mycael n 8	91.9	3.7 8/5
Santos n 8	92.8	3.2 7/5

Fluminense

Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Castillo n 8	43.5	2.3 4/3	2.3 5/3	—
Julio Fidelis n 6	54	1.9 4/2	2.5 3/3	—
Nonato n 8	48	1.9 6/1	2.1 5/2	—
A. Canobbio n 8	60.9	1.8 5/3	1.8 7/3	—
K. Serna n 8	50.5	1.8 5/3	2 5/1	—

Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Cano n 8	20	5.6 6/3	2.3 4/0
Hulk n 8	50.3	3.6 5/4	1.8 4/2
John Kennedy n 8	68.5	2.3 7/3	0.8 5/0
K. Serna n 8	50.5	2.2 6/3	1.6 5/2
R. Castillo n 8	43.5	1.8 3/2	0.8 2/1

Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Serna n 8	50.5	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
Hulk n 8	50.3	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
G. Cano n 8	20	0.6 1/0	0 0/0
John Kennedy n 8	68.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Julio Fidelis n 6	54	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Guga n 8	90.8	3.8 7/6
Hercules n 8	62	2.9 7/5
A. Canobbio n 8	60.9	2.6 7/5
Rene n 8	82.4	2.3 7/6
PH Ganso n 8	48.8	2.3 5/3

Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fabio n 8	91.9	2.7 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico Paranaense		Fluminense
47%	Possession	53%
1.92	Expected goals (xG)	0.56
17	Shots	12
8	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	3
6	Blocked shots	3
13	Shots inside the box	7
8	Corners	3
4	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	5
445	Passes	526
88%	Pass accuracy	87%

Atletico Paranaense player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Santos	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.3
Dantas	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
Arthur Dias	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Benavidez	90	1	0	1	1	1	3	Y	7.9
Jadson	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Stiven Mendoza	90	0	1	0	0	4	2	0	7.2
K. Viveros	90	1	0	4	4	1	1	Y	7.2
F. Aguirre	83	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Luiz Gustavo	83	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Leozinho	71	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	8.7
João Cruz	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Dudu Kogitzki sub	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
K. A. Calderon Vargas sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
B. Zapelli sub	16	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto sub	16	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3

Fluminense player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Fabio	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
Guga	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.7
Ignacio	90	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.5
J. Millan	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Rene	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.3
Nonato	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.5
Martinelli	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Canobbio	89	1	0	3	3	1	0	0	7.7
Hulk	89	1	1	4	2	2	0	0	8.3
PH Ganso	59	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Yeferson Soteldo	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Acosta sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
K. Serna sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Jefferson Savarino sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Jemmes sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Atletico ParanaenseWLWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

FluminenseDDWDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atletico Paranaense 1 · 2 draws · Fluminense 3 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-15 Fluminense 3–2 Atletico Paranaense
2024-12-01 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Fluminense
2024-10-22 Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense
2023-08-27 Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Fluminense
2023-04-22 Fluminense 2–0 Atletico Paranaense
2022-09-03 Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Fluminense

League standing · 2026

Atletico Paranaense#3 pos53 pts31 pl+12 GD

Fluminense#5 pos51 pts31 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Atletico Paranaense scored1.58

Fluminense scored1.58

Atletico Paranaense conceded1.19

Fluminense conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense was Away shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense?: In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 1, Fluminense won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense?: Recent form — Atletico Paranaense 3W 1D 1L; Fluminense 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 19 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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