CarrareseModena

Carrarese v Modena result

Full-time · Carrarese 2–1 Modena

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio dei Marmi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Carrarese · Modena

The model’s pre-match pick

Carrarese 2–1 Modena — Carrarese won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total offsides under 5.5.

Free pick
Total offsides under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Carrarese beat Modena 2–1 at Stadio dei Marmi in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Carrarese led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Carrarese: F. Abiuso (1’, assisted by G. Parlanti) and T. Rubino (52’, assisted by F. Abiuso); Modena: A. Belotti (76’, assisted by G. Olzer).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Rubino’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Carrarese 1.74, Modena 1.01, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Federico La Penna, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Carrarese: F. Ruggeri (25’), J. Rouhi (28’), F. Abiuso (51’) and G. Marconi (90+4’); Modena: G. Caso (90’) and S. Santoro (90+1’).

What it changes

Carrarese have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Carrarese have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Modena have conceded eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Abiuso (Carrarese) 7.5, G. Parlanti (Carrarese) 7.0 and T. Rubino (Carrarese) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total offsides under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Carrarese 2–1 Modena · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio dei Marmi · Carrara
  • Referee: Federico La Penna, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Carrarese 1 · draws 1 · Modena 2 · 1.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carrarese 1W 1D 3L · Modena 3W 1D 1L

Carrarese 2–1 Modena (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCarrarese for / againstLineModena for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
19.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Federico La Penna, Italy.

Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Pizzignacco490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 490
1.51/1
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Oliana789621 min81.2 /90101.4 /9091.3 /90284.1 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
F. Ruggeri785596 min172.6 /90121.8 /9071.1 /90314.7 /90111.7 /9010.2 /90
F. Reale686515 min122.1 /9061 /9050.9 /90193.3 /9081.4 /9000 /90
L. Romani489354 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Tommaso Guercio426102 min21.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90108.8 /9043.5 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.16/2
0.11/0
S. Nador
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
1.65/4
0.53/1
Bryant Nieling
J. Rouhi n 877
0.32/0
0.64/0
—
G. Parlanti n 870.9
1.66/4
2.78/5
—
F. Abiuso n 870.3
1.37/1
2.27/4
G. Ambrosino
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.16/3
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
2.27/5
J. Rouhi n 877
1.35/4
G. Parlanti n 870.9
2.46/4
F. Abiuso n 870.3
1.67/3
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Abiuso774517 min10.2 /9000 /90142.4 /9050.9 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
M. Cissé666395 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9020.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
G. Marconi637220 min00 /9000 /9052 /9000 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
T. Rubino452208 min10.4 /9000 /9052.2 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
N. Cudrig12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
0.32/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 877
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Parlanti n 870.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
F. Abiuso n 870.3
2.26/4
0.82/1
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 877
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Parlanti n 870.9
00/0
0.21/0
F. Abiuso n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Chichizola790630 min223.1 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 890
3.58/4

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bryant Nieling790630 min101.4 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90284 /9040.6 /9000 /90
D. Tonoli790630 min131.9 /9071 /9030.4 /90334.7 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90
S. Nador789626 min131.9 /90142 /9081.2 /90385.5 /9060.9 /9000 /90
F. Zampano680479 min91.7 /9010.2 /9000 /90163 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
F. Folino13737 min12.4 /9000 /9012.4 /9024.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Tonoli n 890
1.47/4
0.84/1
—
Bryant Nieling n 890
0.95/1
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Nador n 889.5
17/1
0.63/1
F. Oliana
G. Ambrosino n 886.5
1.67/3
1.87/5
F. Abiuso
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
1.66/5
Bryant Nieling n 890
1.56/4
S. Nador n 889.5
1.98/5
G. Ambrosino n 886.5
0.53/1
G. Caso n 871.1
0.21/0
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Ambrosino786603 min40.6 /9020.3 /90233.4 /9081.2 /90182.7 /9060.9 /90
G. Caso779553 min30.5 /9020.3 /90162.6 /9081.3 /90111.8 /90122 /90
G. Olzer671424 min20.4 /9000 /90132.8 /9051.1 /9081.7 /9051.1 /90
A. Belotti33194 min21.9 /9000 /9032.9 /9032.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Stênio22243 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.1 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
1.36/3
0.42/1
Bryant Nieling n 890
0.84/1
0.43/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 889.5
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 886.5
3.17/5
14/4
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
00/0
0.32/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
Bryant Nieling n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 889.5
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 886.5
0.53/1
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CarrareseModena
42%Possession58%
1.74Expected goals (xG)1.01
9Shots14
4Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
0Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box8
2Corners8
2Offsides1
19Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
358Passes491
80%Pass accuracy86%

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Pizzignacco9000000007.2
F. Reale9000100307.2
F. Ruggeri90001000Y7
F. Oliana9000000307.3
Nicolás Schiavi9000002006.9
M. Braunöder9000100407.3
J. Rouhi90000022Y7.5
N. Belloni8100001206.6
G. Parlanti8101001307.2
F. Abiuso71113120Y7.2
T. Rubino6110220008.2
J. Martini sub2900110006.9
G. Marconi sub19000002Y6.5
Tommaso Guercio sub900000207
L. Topalović sub900000006.3

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Chichizola9000000006.9
D. Tonoli9000100006.3
Bryant Nieling9000001506.9
A. Bianco9000111307.6
S. Santoro90001114Y7.2
G. Caso90001000Y6.3
G. Ambrosino9000110106.6
Paulo Azzi8500002006.7
S. Nador5600000105.9
F. Zampano5600102107.2
G. Brugman5600001206.9
A. Belotti sub3410210007.7
F. Folino sub3400000006.9
G. Olzer sub3401001006.9
D. Montevago sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Carrarese v Modena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarrareseDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ModenaWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Carrarese 1 · 1 draw · Modena 2 · 1.75 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Modena 2–0 Carrarese
  • 2025-10-01 Carrarese 0–0 Modena
  • 2025-05-04 Carrarese 2–1 Modena
  • 2024-11-09 Modena 2–0 Carrarese
League standing · 2026/27
Carrarese#15 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Modena#3 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Carrarese scored0.9
Modena scored1.8
Carrarese conceded1.3
Modena conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Carrarese v Modena?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carrarese v Modena was Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Modena?
In their last 4 meetings, Carrarese won 1, Modena won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carrarese and Modena?
Recent form — Carrarese 1W 1D 3L; Modena 3W 1D 1L.

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