Leyton OrientRotherham

Leyton Orient v Rotherham result

Full-time · Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham

League One · · Brisbane Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leyton Orient · Rotherham

The model’s pre-match pick

Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham — Rotherham won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rotherham won 2–0 at Brisbane Road in League One on Saturday 18 April. Leyton Orient are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rotherham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rotherham: Harry Gray (24’, assisted by Daniel Gore) and Samuel Nombe (73’, assisted by J. Clarke).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Gray’s goal on 24 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Leyton Orient 1.17, Rotherham 1.26, from 9 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Leyton Orient: James Morris (85’); Rotherham: K. Flavell (38’), Joe Rafferty (68’) and Ar'jany Martha (78’).

What it changes

Leyton Orient move down from 17th to 18th (44 league matches played). Leyton Orient have scored 59 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Leyton Orient have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rotherham stay 22nd after this result (43 league matches played). Rotherham have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Rotherham have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Samuel Nombe (Rotherham) 6.2, Daniel Gore (Rotherham) 5.7 and James Clarke (Rotherham) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Leyton Orient or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Leyton Orient next travel to Doncaster on 14 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leyton Orient: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham · League One
  • Venue: Brisbane Road · London
  • Referee: J. Bell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Leyton Orient 1 · draws 0 · Rotherham 2 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leyton Orient 0W 3D 2L · Rotherham 0W 1D 4L

Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4
Corners
against 4.63 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLeyton Orient for / againstLineRotherham for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: J. Bell.

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient Goalkeeper

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Killian Cahill19901710 min462.4 /90291.5 /9000 /90
Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Killian Cahill n 890
1.95/3

Leyton Orient Defensive

Leyton Orient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Happe38752837 min301 /90290.9 /90160.5 /901875.9 /90341.1 /90100.3 /90
J. Simpson33712330 min401.5 /90291.1 /90210.8 /901485.7 /90230.9 /9050.2 /90
M. Craig26661713 min472.5 /90140.7 /9060.3 /90975.1 /90261.4 /9020.1 /90
O. Beckles24842009 min361.6 /90150.7 /90150.7 /901396.2 /90251.1 /9020.1 /90
T. Bakinson35722528 min612.2 /90250.9 /9060.2 /901405 /90271 /9050.2 /90
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Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Ballard n 889
1.45/3
1.56/5
—
D. Happe n 865.9
2.27/5
0.32/0
J. Baptiste
T. Bakinson n 872
0.94/1
0.94/1
—
O. O'Neill n 867
1.86/5
27/4
—
J. Simpson n 872.9
0.83/2
0.52/1
—
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Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ballard n 889
0.43/0
D. Happe n 865.9
0.93/2
T. Bakinson n 872
3.16/6
O. O'Neill n 867
13/2
J. Simpson n 872.9
1.76/2
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Leyton Orient Attacking

Leyton Orient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Ballard39873387 min220.6 /9040.1 /90671.8 /90371 /90381 /90350.9 /90
J. Koroma23561295 min30.2 /9020.1 /90130.9 /9060.4 /90151 /90151 /90
A. Lloyd631186 min00 /9000 /9052.4 /9021 /9010.5 /9041.9 /90
T. Bakinson35722528 min20.1 /9010 /90160.6 /9070.2 /90200.7 /90120.4 /90
O. O'Neill34722464 min40.1 /9080.3 /90301.1 /90180.7 /90301.1 /90260.9 /90
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Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ballard n 889
1.98/5
15/2
D. Happe n 865.9
0.32/0
00/0
T. Bakinson n 872
0.63/1
0.53/0
O. O'Neill n 867
1.56/3
0.53/0
J. Simpson n 872.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Ballard n 889
0.52/1
0.11/0
D. Happe n 865.9
00/0
00/0
T. Bakinson n 872
0.21/0
00/0
O. O'Neill n 867
0.21/0
00/0
J. Simpson n 872.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Rafferty n 881.1
1.15/2
1.25/2
—
R. James n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
A. Martha n 859.4
0.94/1
0.62/1
—
C. Dawson n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
J. Baptiste n 878.5
15/1
0.32/0
D. Happe
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
2.16/5
R. James n 888.3
1.57/3
A. Martha n 859.4
1.54/2
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
J. Baptiste n 878.5
1.45/3
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
0.11/0
00/0
R. James n 888.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Martha n 859.4
0.42/0
00/0
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Baptiste n 878.5
0.11/0
00/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
00/0
00/0
R. James n 888.3
00/0
00/0
A. Martha n 859.4
00/0
0.21/0
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Baptiste n 878.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leyton OrientRotherham
60%Possession40%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.26
9Shots13
1Shots on target5
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box8
6Corners6
3Offsides2
13Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
389Passes259
71%Pass accuracy54%

Leyton Orient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Dennis9000000007.5
T. James9000001006.9
D. Happe9000000306.5
J. Morris90000012Y6.2
T. Bakinson9000000407.3
D. Ballard9000111106.3
W. Forrester5900000006.6
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens5800000206.3
D. Mitchell5800002006.9
A. Abdulai4500000006.9
S. Perkins4500200206.3
S. Clare sub4500000206.7
J. Koroma sub4500000006
D. Levitt sub3200000006.7
A. Connolly sub3200101106.6
K. Casey sub3100101006.3

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9000001007
Z. Jules9000100107.7
J. Baptiste9000000107.2
Daniel Gore9001102107.2
James Clarke9001102206.5
H. Gray9010222008.3
S. Nombe9010420006.9
A. Martha84000002Y6.3
K. Flavell76001100Y6.9
D. Hall6100000307.2
E. Adegboyega4500100207.2
J. Rafferty sub45000011Y6.6
Harrison Duncan sub2900000006.6
D. Yearwood sub1400000106.3
J. Holmes sub1200000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leyton Orient v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Leyton OrientDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
RotherhamLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Leyton Orient 1 · 0 draws · Rotherham 2 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Rotherham 1–0 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-03-04 Rotherham 1–0 Leyton Orient
  • 2024-10-22 Leyton Orient 1–0 Rotherham
League standing · 2025/26
Leyton Orient#20 pos52 pts46 pl-12 GD
Rotherham#23 pos41 pts46 pl-30 GD
Goals per game
Leyton Orient scored1.28
Rotherham scored0.89
Leyton Orient conceded1.54
Rotherham conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leyton Orient v Rotherham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leyton Orient v Rotherham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Leyton Orient and Rotherham?
In their last 3 meetings, Leyton Orient won 1, Rotherham won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leyton Orient and Rotherham?
Recent form — Leyton Orient 0W 3D 2L; Rotherham 0W 1D 4L.

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