ModenaHellas Verona

Modena v Hellas Verona result

Full-time · Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Modena · Hellas Verona

The model’s pre-match pick

Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona — Modena won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.30 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Modena beat Hellas Verona 3–2 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 11 October. Hellas Verona have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Modena came from behind: Hellas Verona led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Modena: G. Caso (13’, assisted by G. Brugman), D. Montevago (85’, assisted by G. Caso) and A. Belotti (90’); Hellas Verona: D. Mosquera (24’, 28’). A. Edmundsson (77’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Belotti’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Modena 2.58, Hellas Verona 1.83, from 23 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Modena: A. Bianco (16’) and A. Belotti (90+7’); Hellas Verona: A. Le Borgne (45+2’), A. Edmundsson (54’) and A. Edmundsson (77’).

What it changes

Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hellas Verona have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Hellas Verona have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Mosquera (Hellas Verona) 10.1, G. Caso (Modena) 9.4 and G. Brugman (Modena) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Modena or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Hellas Verona next travel to Mantova on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Hellas Verona: Mantova v Hellas Verona, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
  • Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Modena 3W 1D 1L · Hellas Verona 3W 1D 1L

Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.29
Corners
against 5.63 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.25 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 2.71
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameModena for / againstLineHellas Verona for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
16.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 10.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.14 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
15.14 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy.

Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Chichizola690540 min172.8 /9071.2 /9000 /90
Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 890
3.18/3

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bryant Nieling690540 min91.5 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90233.8 /9040.7 /9000 /90
D. Tonoli690540 min111.8 /9061 /9030.5 /90264.3 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
S. Nador689536 min111.8 /90122 /9061 /90315.2 /9050.8 /9000 /90
F. Zampano680479 min91.7 /9010.2 /9000 /90163 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
G. Caso677463 min10.2 /9000 /9000 /90193.7 /9010.2 /9000 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Tonoli n 890
1.16/3
15/2
A. Edmundsson
Bryant Nieling n 890
16/1
0.11/0
A. Edmundsson
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Nador n 889.5
0.96/1
0.63/1
A. Edmundsson
G. Ambrosino n 883.9
28/4
2.17/6
A. Le Borgne
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
1.86/5
Bryant Nieling n 890
1.66/5
S. Nador n 889.5
1.67/4
G. Ambrosino n 883.9
0.53/1
F. Zampano n 881.5
1.47/3
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Ambrosino686513 min40.7 /9020.4 /90183.2 /9081.4 /90142.5 /9050.9 /90
G. Olzer574371 min20.5 /9000 /90102.4 /9051.2 /9061.5 /9041 /90
A. Belotti22957 min11.6 /9000 /9023.2 /9023.2 /9011.6 /9000 /90
Stênio22243 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.1 /90
G. Caso677463 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.5 /9061.2 /9091.7 /90101.9 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
1.36/3
0.42/1
Bryant Nieling n 890
0.63/1
0.32/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 889.5
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 883.9
2.87/5
1.25/4
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Tonoli n 890
00/0
0.32/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
Bryant Nieling n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Nador n 889.5
00/0
00/0
G. Ambrosino n 883.9
0.74/1
0.31/1
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Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Leali590450 min91.8 /9061.2 /9000 /90
S. Perilli19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Leali n 590
1.82/2
S. Perilli n 790
46/6

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Edmundsson688530 min81.4 /9081.4 /9010.2 /90274.6 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
G. Zappa574370 min30.7 /9041 /9000 /90133.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
D. Bradarić490360 min51.3 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90205 /9010.3 /9000 /90
S. Korač479315 min82.3 /9051.4 /9000 /90216 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
P. Dawidowicz275149 min31.8 /9010.6 /9000 /9084.8 /9095.4 /9000 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Edmundsson n 888.8
0.83/2
0.11/0
S. Nador
S. Mulattieri n 675
13/2
0.83/1
—
A. Sarr n 861.8
1.65/3
0.94/1
—
A. Le Borgne n 669.5
1.55/2
0.42/0
G. Ambrosino
D. Livramento n 839.3
2.96/3
0.62/0
—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Edmundsson n 888.8
1.96/5
S. Mulattieri n 675
24/4
A. Sarr n 861.8
0.52/1
A. Le Borgne n 669.5
2.86/4
D. Livramento n 839.3
1.74/2
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Mulattieri675450 min30.6 /9010.2 /9081.6 /9061.2 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
D. Livramento645269 min00 /9010.3 /9062 /9020.7 /9041.3 /9041.3 /90
M. Compagnon376228 min00 /9000 /9052 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
S. Cerbone23162 min22.9 /9000 /9034.4 /9034.4 /9000 /9022.9 /90
K. Sezonienko19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Edmundsson n 888.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Mulattieri n 675
1.65/2
1.24/2
A. Sarr n 861.8
2.28/3
1.14/2
A. Le Borgne n 669.5
0.42/0
00/0
D. Livramento n 839.3
1.73/2
0.62/0
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Edmundsson n 888.8
00/0
00/0
S. Mulattieri n 675
0.63/0
0.21/0
A. Sarr n 861.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Le Borgne n 669.5
00/0
0.42/0
D. Livramento n 839.3
00/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ModenaHellas Verona
62%Possession38%
2.58Expected goals (xG)1.83
23Shots14
6Shots on target7
14Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box10
3Corners4
3Offsides0
5Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
5Saves2
515Passes310
85%Pass accuracy76%

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Chichizola9000000007.3
S. Nador9000000206.9
Bryant Nieling9000111107.3
D. Tonoli9000001207.3
G. Caso9011322008.3
S. Santoro9000310007
G. Ambrosino9000504006.9
G. Brugman8901203107.2
Paulo Azzi8100101106.7
A. Bianco53000010Y6.3
G. Olzer5300302206.9
A. Belotti sub37101110Y8
F. Folino sub3700000106.9
D. Montevago sub910110007.5
W. Acquah sub800000106.6

Hellas Verona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Iannoni9000004208
A. Le Borgne90000001Y6.3
S. Perilli9000000006.9
A. Sarr9000112006.3
G. Zappa9000110106
P. Dawidowicz9000100106.3
D. Mosquera7920330008
A. Edmundsson77001116RY7.2
D. De Battisti6800100206.7
N. Lella6800111206.3
D. Livramento6800200006.3
A. Bernede sub2200001106.9
K. Sezonienko sub2200000006.5
N. Calabrese sub1600000006.3
T. Slotsager sub1100000006.3
D. Bradarić sub60000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Modena v Hellas Verona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ModenaWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Hellas VeronaDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD
Hellas Verona#7 pos15 pts10 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Modena scored1.8
Hellas Verona scored1.9
Modena conceded1
Hellas Verona conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Modena v Hellas Verona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Hellas Verona was Home or Draw (best price 1.30 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Modena and Hellas Verona?
Recent form — Modena 3W 1D 1L; Hellas Verona 3W 1D 1L.

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