Luton vs Bradford result

Full-time · Luton 0–1 Bradford

League One · · Kenilworth Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Luton · Bradford

Luton 0–1 Bradford — Bradford won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

The numbers

Luton 0–1 Bradford (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 7.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · R. Martin
1.71 home / 2.29 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLuton for / againstLineBradford for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7.38 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Martin — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 7 matches (1.71 to the home side, 2.29 to the away side).

Luton
Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Mendel-Idowu n 512.8
2.82/0
73/2
—
C. Marshall n 842.5
2.47/2
0.52/0
—
N. Wells n 851.5
1.55/2
0.73/0
—
S. Morris n 844.3
1.53/2
1.35/0
—
I. Jones n 866.1
1.46/2
1.96/3
—
Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Wells n 851.5
3.56/5
2.45/4
G. Kodua n 841.4
35/4
1.44/1
C. Marshall n 842.5
2.64/4
0.82/1
K. Palmer n 864.6
2.48/5
0.73/1
S. Morris n 844.3
24/2
1.54/1
Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Wells n 851.5
1.14/1
0.21/0
S. Morris n 844.3
0.52/0
0.51/1
G. Kodua n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
K. Palmer n 864.6
0.31/1
0.32/0
C. Marshall n 842.5
0.52/0
00/0
Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Sandal n 839.9
5.15/4
T. Mendel-Idowu n 512.8
4.21/1
H. Ashby n 838.8
3.23/2
K. Naismith n 884.4
2.96/3
J. Johnson n 869
2.66/4
Luton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joshua Keeley n 890
2.15/1
Bradford
Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Powell n 822.3
5.67/2
35/1
—
Henry Cartwright n 833
2.75/3
0.31/0
—
H. Cartwright n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
—
G. Lapslie n 867.8
2.26/4
1.76/2
—
B. Pointon n 851.6
25/2
1.74/3
—
Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Powell n 822.3
5.15/2
3.54/1
W. Swan n 848.1
2.35/4
1.24/1
A. Phillips n 846.9
2.26/2
13/1
J. Beesley n 872.5
1.96/3
0.83/2
R. Welch n 839
1.43/1
0.31/0
Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Powell n 822.3
12/0
00/0
W. Swan n 848.1
0.52/0
00/0
H. Cartwright n 822.8
0.51/0
00/0
M. Gillesphey n 865.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. O'Keeffe n 864
0.21/0
0.21/0
Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Lapslie n 867.8
48/6
R. Welch n 839
45/3
H. Cartwright n 822.8
3.54/2
A. Sarcevic n 879.1
38/6
J. Neufville n 882.3
2.66/5
Bradford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon McCracken n 890
2.35/3

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Luton vs Bradford across 246 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.87 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 64.8% of 630 landed (95% range 61–68.4%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LutonBradford
64%Possession36%
0.83Expected goals (xG)0.29
15Shots5
3Shots on target3
3Shots off target2
9Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box4
14Corners3
17Fouls15
3Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
2Saves3
498Passes285
81%Pass accuracy65%

Luton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Andersen9000100006.7
H. Ashby90000000RY6.2
G. Johnston9000001106.3
C. Marshall9000001006.3
J. Shea9000000006.2
L. Walsh9000001007.5
H. Odoffin8400000106.6
J. Richards7500002006.6
Daniel Gore75000002Y6.3
Emilio Lawrence7500111006.5
K. Palmer6600214006.6
J. Clark sub2400100106.9
J. Donley sub1500001006.3
I. Jones sub1500000007
N. Wells sub1500000006.7
G. Kodua sub1400110106.6

Bradford player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sarcevic90000011Y6
C. Connolly90001104Y7.5
K. Jackson9001112006.9
M. Pennington9000000007
George Christopher John Pratt9000000006.9
Jon McCracken9000001007.2
I. Touray9000100307.5
A. Baldwin8400000107.9
B. Pointon8410111108.2
J. Beesley6200000106.5
J. Neufville6200000307
Kieran Morgan sub28000000Y6.7
N. Powell sub2800100006.9
M. Gillesphey sub14000000Y6.3
C. O'Keeffe sub1400000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Luton v Bradford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
BradfordLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Luton 3 · 0 draws · Bradford 1 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Luton 2–1 Bradford
  • 2025-08-16 Bradford 2–1 Luton
  • 2019-03-12 Bradford 0–1 Luton
  • 2018-11-27 Luton 4–0 Bradford
League standing · 2026/27
Luton#16 pos8 pts7 pl-2 GD
Bradford#2 pos16 pts8 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Luton scored1.71
Bradford scored1
Luton conceded2
Bradford conceded0.63

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Luton vs Bradford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Luton vs Bradford was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.87 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Bradford?
In their last 4 meetings, Luton won 3, Bradford won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Bradford?
Recent form — Luton 1W 1D 3L; Bradford 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

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