Mansfield Town vs Luton result

Full-time · Mansfield Town 5–2 Luton

League One · · One Call Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mansfield Town · Luton

Mansfield Town 5–2 Luton — Mansfield Town won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

The numbers

Mansfield Town 5–2 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.13
Corners
against 5.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · Richard Eley, England
2.8 home / 1.4 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMansfield Town for / againstLineLuton for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Richard Eley, England — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 28 fouls over 5 matches (2.8 to the home side, 1.4 to the away side).

Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Hewitt n 847.5
2.46/2
0.21/0
—
N. Moriah-Welsh n 823
2.43/1
12/0
—
W. Evans n 875.3
1.97/3
0.64/0
—
L. Thompson n 852
1.97/1
1.55/2
—
Joseph Charles Gardner n 840.9
1.96/1
1.14/0
—
Mansfield Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Irow n 832.3
3.15/3
1.44/0
D. McGoldrick n 881
2.98/7
16/1
W. Evans n 875.3
1.97/5
0.63/1
R. Oates n 856.4
1.86/3
0.84/0
T. Roberts n 843.6
1.84/3
12/2
Mansfield Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Oates n 856.4
0.42/0
0.62/1
O. Irow n 832.3
13/0
00/0
L. Akins n 888.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
L. Reed n 885
0.11/0
0.52/1
N. Moriah-Welsh n 823
00/0
0.51/0
Mansfield Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bowery n 835.4
3.55/2
N. Moriah-Welsh n 823
3.44/2
L. Reed n 885
3.38/7
R. Sweeney n 886.3
2.38/6
Joseph Charles Gardner n 840.9
2.25/2
Mansfield Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Roberts n 890
2.86/6
H. Lewis n 890
1.94/3
Luton
Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Cole n 831.5
3.26/2
2.94/3
—
C. Marshall n 837.4
2.16/1
0.62/0
—
N. Wells n 860.3
1.96/3
0.94/1
—
D. van den Berg n 853.8
1.75/2
14/1
—
H. Ashby n 833.1
1.74/1
1.73/1
—
Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Kodua n 828.6
3.15/3
1.23/0
K. Palmer n 879.8
2.78/6
1.15/3
N. Wells n 860.3
2.67/4
1.55/2
Ali Al Hamadi n 841.5
2.25/3
0.31/0
S. Morris n 844.3
24/2
1.54/1
Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Palmer n 879.8
0.84/2
0.32/0
S. Morris n 844.3
0.52/0
0.51/1
N. Wells n 860.3
0.63/0
0.21/0
G. Kodua n 828.6
0.82/0
00/0
B. Benagr n 446.8
0.51/0
00/0
Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Sandal n 839.9
5.15/4
I. Jones n 877.4
3.36/5
K. Naismith n 890
37/4
G. Kodua n 828.6
2.86/1
H. Ashby n 833.1
2.74/1
Luton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joshua Keeley n 880.8
3.55/3

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Mansfield Town vs Luton across 246 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 64.8% of 630 landed (95% range 61–68.4%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mansfield TownLuton
42%Possession58%
1.37Expected goals (xG)1.35
21Shots12
6Shots on target4
7Shots off target4
8Blocked shots4
18Shots inside the box7
4Corners7
1Offsides1
13Fouls13
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
325Passes469
74%Pass accuracy81%

Mansfield Town player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Roberts9000000006.9
A. Oshilaja9000000206.3
N. Moriah-Welsh9021324209.9
L. Thompson9000000206.9
S. McLaughlin9000002007
R. Hendry90010052Y7.3
K. Knoyle85001001Y6
J. Russell68214312010
M. Smith6800100106.7
R. Sweeney53000001Y6.6
L. Reed53101100Y7.7
F. Blake-Tracy sub3700000106.2
E. Hewitt sub3700000006
D. McGoldrick sub2200200006.3
R. Oates sub2200000006.5
L. Bolton sub1100100006.3

Luton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joshua Keeley9000000004.9
H. Odoffin9000110406.2
G. Johnston9000000206.5
L. Walsh9000003107.5
J. Richards9000102206.3
K. Palmer9000210105.6
J. Donley6200000005.9
C. Marshall6200000106.2
I. Jones45000021Y6.2
K. Naismith4500000005.9
Emilio Lawrence4500100006
H. Ashby sub4500001005.9
J. Johnson sub4500000006.5
B. Benagr sub4500000006
G. Kodua sub28000011Y6.2
N. Wells sub2820320008

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mansfield Town v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Mansfield TownDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
LutonWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Mansfield Town 1 · 2 draws · Luton 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton
  • 2025-10-18 Luton 0–2 Mansfield Town
  • 2018-04-02 Luton 2–1 Mansfield Town
  • 2017-08-26 Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton
League standing · 2026/27
Mansfield Town#17 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD
Luton#16 pos8 pts7 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Mansfield Town scored1.43
Luton scored1.71
Mansfield Town conceded1.86
Luton conceded2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mansfield Town vs Luton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mansfield Town vs Luton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Mansfield Town and Luton?
In their last 4 meetings, Mansfield Town won 1, Luton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mansfield Town and Luton?
Recent form — Mansfield Town 2W 1D 2L; Luton 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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