Free model picks
Ligue 1 stats 2026/27
8 Ligue 1 fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Auxerre v Paris FC (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT). 8 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Paris Saint-Germain lead the table on 20 points after 9 games, 2 points clear of Lille.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Ligue 1 fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Our Ligue 1 predictions list every French top-flight fixture in the next ten days: 8 fixtures as of today, each with a free model pick and the best UK price available. The model states a probability for each outcome, and the free pick is the likeliest one, graded in public after the match.
Key Facts
Figures as of
Ligue 1’s top scorer is L. Sinayoko with eight goals, one goal ahead of Esteban Lepaul (this season so far).
Goals per game in Ligue 1 this season so far: 3.05, over 82 matches.
This Round at a Glance
- Closest call: Le Havre v Lorient (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Le Havre v Lorient (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Rennes v Lille (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 552 of 859 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s seven matches (from Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:05 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Auxerre have scored in their last 14 (all competitions we cover)
Paris Saint-Germain have scored in their last 13 (all competitions we cover)
Nice have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Stade Brestois 29 have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Le Havre are winless in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
About TACTIX’s Ligue 1 Predictions
Rather than a cherry-picked accuracy number, TACTIX publishes calibration: how well the stated probabilities match what actually happens, tracked live and in full on the scoreboard.
What the Data Says About Ligue 1
TACTIX lists eight upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures in the next ten days, eight of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Ligue 1 specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 26 from 37, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 7 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Eight fixtures in Ligue 1 fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Auxerre v Paris FC (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 8 of the eight fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Ligue 1 pick landed 26 of 37 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Paris Saint-Germain lead Ligue 1 on 20 points from nine games, two points clear of Lille (this season so far). Ligue 1 is averaging 3.05 goals a game across 82 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: L. Sinayoko on eight goals, Esteban Lepaul on 7.
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Ligue 1 at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Ligue 1 — the baseline every Ligue 1 match starts from before team form.
Ligue 1 Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Current Ligue 1 standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Ligue 1 pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- L. Sinayoko8 G
- Esteban Lepaul7 G
- A. Gouiri6 G
- Cameron Archer6 G
- E. Wahi6 G
Top Assists
- F. Thauvin7 A
- C. Cásseres6 A
- L. Sinayoko5 A
- A. Golovin3 A
- A. Gouiri3 A
How Are These Ligue 1 Predictions Made?
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Ligue 1 Player Stats
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Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.